Friday , 28 August 2026

South Africa vs Italy, Women World Cup 2023 GROUP STAGE

3 2
Full Time
Wed 2 Aug 2023 · 07:00 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

South Africa vs ItalyWomen World Cup at Wellington Regional Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Armando Villarreal
  • Referee Maria Carvajal (Chile)
15 games this season 🟨 2.5/game 8.9 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
South Africa 1 games · Avg 5.0 goals Italy

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Aug Italy H 3–2 W
28 Jul Argentina A 2–2 D
23 Jul Sweden A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Aug South Africa A 2–3 L
29 Jul Sweden A 0–5 L
24 Jul Argentina H 1–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
South Africa this season
33% Clean Sheets
Italy this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

South Africa
0-15
/2
16-30
/
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/
61-75
2/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
1/3
46-60
/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

South Africa
Thembi Kgatlana 2 G 3 A
Hildah Magaia 2 G 1 A
Italy
Arianna Caruso 2 G
Cristiana Girelli 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — South Africa and Italy get this one started.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' Italy is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 11' A stunning finish from Arianna Caruso — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 16' It looks like no one’s ball. Italy is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 21' The home supporters are growing impatient. South Africa must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 26' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 31' Both keepers have barely been tested. South Africa and Italy are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 32' What composure from Benedetta Orsi! The international strokes it home. 0-2.
  • 37' It is a cagey affair so far. South Africa in their trying to find a way past Italy's compact .
  • 42' Italy come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 46' South Africa ring the changes. Robyn Moodaly has done his job and it is now time for Nomvula Kgoale to step up.
  • 51' Jermaine Seoposenwe has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 56' Giulia Dragoni has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 64' Cristiana Girelli is ready to make an impact after coming on for Barbara Bonansea at the 64 minute mark.
  • 67' What composure from Hildah Magaia! The international strokes it home. 1-2.
  • 72' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 74' What a moment for Arianna Caruso! That strike on 74 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 79' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Elisa Bartoli suffering a number of foals already.
  • 83' Italy manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Giada Greggi is hanging Arianna Caruso on the field on 83 minute.
  • 88' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 90' The South Africa bench stirs into life. Lebogang Ramalepe is withdrawn and Tiisetso Makhubela gets his opportunity.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Italy.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.36 South Africa xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Italy xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
South Africa57% Draw22% Italy21%
Actual: South Africa win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

South Africa or Draw
78%
Draw or Italy
43%
South Africa or Italy
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
South Africa43% Draw38% Italy19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 2
5.3%
1 – 0
5%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
4%
0 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — South Africa

Handicap South Africa covers Push Italy covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 17% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 20% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 12% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 6% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

South Africa keeps clean sheet
25%
Italy keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.