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Sao Paulo FC vs SC Recife, 2018

Campeonato Brasileiro da Serie A · 2018
1 0
Full Time
Sun 1 Oct 2017 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs SC Recife — Serie A .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Sao Paulo FC 1.61
Draw 4.30
SC Recife 7.00

Head-to-Head

6
4
Sao Paulo FC 10 games · Avg 1.4 goals SC Recife

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct SC Recife H 1–0 W
24 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–1 D
17 Sep EC Vitoria A 2–1 W
27 Aug SE Palmeiras A 2–4 L
13 Aug Cruzeiro EC H 3–2 W
06 Aug EC Bahia A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Sao Paulo FC A 0–1 L
26 Sep CR Vasco da Gama H 1–1 D
17 Sep CR Flamengo A 0–2 L
02 Sep Grêmio FBPA A 0–5 L
20 Aug Cruzeiro EC A 0–2 L
06 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–3 L

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

SC Recife Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC55% Draw28% SC Recife17%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
83%
Draw or SC Recife
45%
Sao Paulo FC or SC Recife
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC34% Draw53% SC Recife13%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
15.2%
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 0
11.6%
2 – 1
8%
0 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 2
2.8%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 26% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
51%
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.