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EC Bahia vs Sao Paulo FC, 2018

Campeonato Brasileiro da Serie A · 2018
2 1
Full Time
Sun 6 Aug 2017 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

EC Bahia 2.73
Draw 3.43
Sao Paulo FC 2.80

Head-to-Head

3
8
7
EC Bahia 18 games · Avg 2.2 goals Sao Paulo FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
03 Aug Chapecoense AF A 1–1 D
30 Jul SC Recife H 1–3 L
22 Jul Santos FC A 0–3 L
20 Jul CA Mineiro A 2–0 W
09 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug EC Bahia A 1–2 L
29 Jul Botafogo FR A 4–3 W
25 Jul Grêmio FBPA H 1–1 D
20 Jul CR Vasco da Gama H 1–0 W
16 Jul Chapecoense AF A 0–2 L
08 Jul Santos FC A 2–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and EC Bahia launch into their encounter with Sao Paulo FC.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

EC Bahia Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.67 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia48% Draw25% Sao Paulo FC27%
Actual: EC Bahia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
73%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
52%
EC Bahia or Sao Paulo FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia33% Draw44% Sao Paulo FC23%
Actual: EC Bahia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 0
6.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
28%
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.