Saturday , 14 November 2026

EC Bahia vs Sao Paulo FC, 2018

Campeonato Brasileiro da Serie A · 2018
2 – 1
Full Time
Sun 6 Aug 2017 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

EC Bahia 2.73
Draw 3.43
Sao Paulo FC 2.80

Head-to-Head

4
8
7
EC Bahia 19 games · Avg 2.3 goals Sao Paulo FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
03 Aug Chapecoense AF A 1–1 D
30 Jul SC Recife H 1–3 L
22 Jul Santos FC A 0–3 L
20 Jul CA Mineiro A 2–0 W
09 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug EC Bahia A 1–2 L
29 Jul Botafogo FR A 4–3 W
25 Jul Gremio FBPA H 1–1 D
20 Jul CR Vasco da Gama H 1–0 W
16 Jul Chapecoense AF A 0–2 L
08 Jul Santos FC A 2–3 L

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for EC Bahia to score. At the same time, São Paulo FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

EC Bahia Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.67 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia48% Draw25% Sao Paulo FC27%
Actual: EC Bahia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
73%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
52%
EC Bahia or Sao Paulo FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia33% Draw44% Sao Paulo FC23%
Actual: EC Bahia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 0
6.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.