Monday , 5 October 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs CR Vasco da Gama, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 00:00 UTC Morumbi

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs CR Vasco da Gama — Serie A at Morumbi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Santos FC H 1–2 L
20 Sep SC Internacional H 1–0 W
12 Sep SE Palmeiras A 0–2 L
05 Sep CA Mineiro H 2–0 W
29 Aug RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
23 Aug Chapecoense AF A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Coritiba FBC H 5–0 W
12 Sep Gremio FBPA A 2–1 W
06 Sep Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
30 Aug Cruzeiro EC H 3–1 W
23 Aug SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
16 Aug Santos FC H 0–3 L

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC CR Vasco da Gama
#10 Position #16
36 Points 31
28 Played 27
10 / 6 / 12 W / D / L 8 / 7 / 12
33 Scored 34
32 Conceded 41
+1 GD -7
1.29 PPG 1.15
36% Win % 30%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
19% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season

Sao Paulo FC are 10th (36 pts). CR Vasco da Gama are 16th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
–/10
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
4/6
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
CR Vasco da Gama
Carlos Gomez 5 G 3 A
Thiago Mendes 4 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G

H2H

Predictions

1.6 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 CR Vasco da Gama xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

Sao Paulo FC45% Draw27% CR Vasco da Gama28%

Both Teams to Score

Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.78

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
72%
Draw or CR Vasco da Gama
55%
Sao Paulo FC or CR Vasco da Gama
73%

Half-Time Result

Sao Paulo FC33% Draw46% CR Vasco da Gama21%

Correct Score

1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
9%
0 – 0
8.1%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push CR Vasco da Gama covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
31%
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.