Sunday , 16 August 2026

Santos FC vs EC Juventude, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

3 1
Full Time
Mon 4 Aug 2025 · 23:00 UTC Urbano Caldeira HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Santos FC vs EC JuventudeSerie A at Urbano Caldeira.

Match Details

  • Referee Paulo Zanovelli da Silva (Brazil)
7 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 6.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Aug EC Juventude H 3–1 W
26 Jul SC Recife A 2–2 D
24 Jul SC Internacional H 1–2 L
19 Jul Mirassol FC A 0–3 L
16 Jul CR Flamengo H 1–0 W
12 Jun Fortaleza EC A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Aug Santos FC A 1–3 L
27 Jul EC Bahia A 0–3 L
24 Jul Sao Paulo FC H 0–1 L
20 Jul Cruzeiro EC A 0–4 L
14 Jul SC Recife H 2–0 W
01 Jun Gremio FBPA H 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Santos FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/4
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Santos FC
Gabriel Barbosa 7 G 2 A
Neymar 6 G 2 A
Alvaro Barreal 4 G 1 A
Benjamin Rollheiser 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Urbano Caldeira. Santos FC are looking to make home advantage count against EC Juventude.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 6' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Marcos Paulo.
  • 11' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Santos FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 16' Gabriel Brazao has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 21' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Cesar Sampaio will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 22' That looks like a foul for a card for Wilker Angel.
  • 27' The travelling EC Juventude supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 29' Gabriel Bontempo is having his name booked by the referee on 29.
  • 34' Benjamin Rollheiser was booked on 34.
  • 37' Neymar doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 40' Alvaro Barreal does the damage! The net is bulging and Santos FC surge ahead!
  • 45' EC Juventude are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 46' What composure from Wilker Angel! The Venezuela international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 46' Mayke has so much to prove this time. He replaces Benjamin Rollheiser on 46 minute.
  • 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 52' Neymar has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 52.
  • 57' It looks surprising Santos FC does not make any changes. Marlon has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 62' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 64' Gustavo Caballero is replacing Igor Vinicius for the Santos FC side.
  • 65' The EC Juventude manager makes a substitution. Gilberto departs to be replaced by Gabriel Taliari.
  • 70' The 31-year-old Marcelo Hermes has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 73' Santos FC ring the changes. Tiquinho Soares has done his job and it is now time for Luca Meirelles to step up.
  • 75' EC Juventude make a change. Wilker Angel trudges off to be replaced by Abner on 75 minutes.
  • 80' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Neymar makes it 3-1.
  • 83' The whistle greets Caique as he departs to be replaced by Marlon.
  • 85' A tactical swap from Santos FCGonzalo Escobar on, Alvaro Barreal off on 85 minutes.
  • 90' Over 90 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.83 Santos FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 EC Juventude xG
I would bet for: Santos FC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Santos FC57% Draw24% EC Juventude19%
Actual: Santos FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Santos FC or Draw
81%
Draw or EC Juventude
43%
Santos FC or EC Juventude
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Santos FC39% Draw44% EC Juventude17%
Actual: Santos FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.8%
1 – 2
5.2%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
3%
0 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Santos FC

Handicap Santos FC covers Push EC Juventude covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 23% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Santos FC keeps clean sheet
37%
EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.