Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, 2018

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J. League · 2018

Sagan Tosu FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sat 15 Sep 2018 · 08:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League .

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Takahiro Okano
Referee Masuya Ueda
Referee Yusuke Hamamoto
Referee Keigo Sendachi

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.1 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2018-09-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2018-04-21 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2018-03-05 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2017-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Sep	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–0	W
02 Sep	FC Tokyo	A	0–0	D
26 Aug	Gamba Osaka	H	3–0	W
19 Aug	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–3	L
15 Aug	Kawasaki Frontale	A	0–0	D
11 Aug	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–0	W

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Sep	Sagan Tosu FC	A	0–1	L
01 Sep	Kashima Antlers	H	3–1	W
25 Aug	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–0	W
19 Aug	Kawasaki Frontale	H	1–2	L
15 Aug	Vissel Kobe	A	1–1	D
11 Aug	V-Varen Nagasaki	H	2–0	W

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Sagan Tosu FC is hosting Sanfrecce Hiroshima for another epic battle.
5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
15' The travelling Sanfrecce Hiroshima supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Hiroshi Jofuku might look to freshen things up shortly.
30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Massimo Ficcadenti will be considering his options from the bench.
35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
40' Sho Sasaki needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
50' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
55' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past Sanfrecce Hiroshima's compact .
60' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
65' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Fernando Torres has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
70' Yoshifumi Kashiwa is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sanfrecce Hiroshima tonight.
75' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
80' The 38-year-old Teerasil Dangda has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
85' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is showing some good football. However, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
90' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
It finishes all square. Sagan Tosu FC and Sanfrecce Hiroshima share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Massimo Ficcadenti

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Hiroshi Jofuku

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Makoto Mitsuta	2
Douglas Vieira	2
Pieros Sotiriou	2
Taishi Matsumoto	1
Yuji Takahashi	1
Taisei Miyashiro	1
Yuki Ohashi	1
Yuji Takahashi	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2018-09-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2018-09-02 FC Tokyo 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2018-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 Gamba Osaka W 2018-08-19 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2018-08-15 Kawasaki Frontale 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2018-08-11 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Urawa Red Diamonds W

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2018-09-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2018-09-01 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Kashima Antlers W 2018-08-25 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2018-08-19 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Kawasaki Frontale L 2018-08-15 Vissel Kobe 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2018-08-11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 V-Varen Nagasaki W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.32 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.77 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC50% Draw29% Sanfrecce Hiroshima21%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes40% 0% No60%

Avg goals/match: 2.09

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	85%	15%
± 1.5	62%	38%
± 2.5	35%	65%
± 3.5	17%	83%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

79%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

50%

Sagan Tosu FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC32% Draw53% Sanfrecce Hiroshima15%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

14.7%

1 – 1

13.4%

2 – 0

10.4%

0 – 1

8.2%

2 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

4.6%

3 – 0

4.5%

3 – 1

3.7%

0 – 2

3.4%

2 – 2

3.2%

3 – 2

1.5%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	15%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	25%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	14%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

47% ✗

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.