San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

San Jose Earthquakes

4 – 1

Full Time

Portland Timbers

Sun 4 May 2025 · 02:30 UTC PayPal Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Ian Harkes 38' Y

Daniel Munie 40' Y

Dave Romney 55' Y

Y 90' Kamal Miller

Vitor Costa 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers — MLS at PayPal Park.

San Jose Earthquakes 27 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
Portland Timbers 27 games · 32 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

San Jose Earthquakes 20 games · Avg 3.2 goals Portland Timbers

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-04 San Jose Earthquakes 4–1 Portland Timbers 2024-06-20 San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 Portland Timbers 2024-05-16 Portland Timbers 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes 2023-09-21 Portland Timbers 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes 2023-06-18 San Jose Earthquakes 0–0 Portland Timbers

Recent Form

San Jose Earthquakes

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 May	Portland Timbers	H	4–1	W
26 Apr	Columbus Crew SC	A	1–2	L
20 Apr	Sporting Kansas City	H	3–5	L
13 Apr	Los Angeles FC	A	1–2	L
06 Apr	D.C. United SC	H	6–1	W
30 Mar	Seattle Sounders FC	H	1–1	D

Portland Timbers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 May	San Jose Earthquakes	A	1–4	L
28 Apr	Los Angeles Galaxy	A	4–2	W
20 Apr	Los Angeles FC	H	3–3	D
13 Apr	Sporting Kansas City	A	4–2	W
05 Apr	Austin FC	A	0–0	D
30 Mar	Houston Dynamo	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

San Jose Earthquakes		Portland Timbers
#18	Position	#26
45	Points	32
27	Played	27
13 / 6 / 8	W / D / L	9 / 5 / 13
49	Scored	48
39	Conceded	51
+10	GD	-3
1.67	PPG	1.19
48%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

26% Clean Sheets
San Jose Earthquakes this season

4% Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season

San Jose Earthquakes are 18th (45 pts). Portland Timbers are 26th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

San Jose Earthquakes

0-15

12/7

16-30

5/4

31-45

5/6

46-60

6/7

61-75

5/2

76+

8/11

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Portland Timbers

0-15

4/9

16-30

7/9

31-45

5/8

46-60

5/4

61-75

7/–

76+

10/8

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

San Jose Earthquakes

Preston Judd	15 G	3 A
Timo Werner	6 G	4 A
Ousseni Bouda	6 G	1 A

Portland Timbers

Kevin Kelsy	9 G	2 A
Kristoffer Velde	8 G	5 A

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at PayPal Park!
5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Portland Timbers that had 295 games and scored 475 goals.
10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
16' Magnificent from Cristian Espinoza! That is 42 goals in 182 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
21' The travelling Portland Timbers supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
24' Cristian Espinoza with the second goal in the match!
27' Cristian Arango adds to his 0 season tally! San Jose Earthquakes lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
32' Portland Timbers come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
37' It is a cagey affair so far. San Jose Earthquakes in their trying to find a way past Portland Timbers's compact .
38' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ian Harkes on 38 minutes.
40' The referee calls foul for Daniel Munie. He receives a card.
42' Felipe Mora makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and Portland Timbers are in front.
47' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
52' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with San Jose Earthquakes winning 100% of all matches.
55' Poor challenge from Dave Romney. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
60' San Jose Earthquakes are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Portland Timbers backline.
65' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
66' The crowd applauds Julio Ortiz as he leaves the pitch. Cristhian Paredes steps in for Portland Timbers.
71' San Jose Earthquakes has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
72' Another change for San Jose Earthquakes made on 72 minute. Max Floriani leaves to be changed by Rodrigues.
76' A change in the Portland Timbers ranks — Santiago Moreno exits the field as Omir Fernandez enters on 76.
77' Kevin Kelsy gets the nod from Portland Timbers. He replaces David Ayala and will look to change the dynamic.
82' A change in the Portland Timbers ranks — Juan Mosquera exits the field as Ariel Lassiter enters on 82.
87' The home supporters are growing impatient. San Jose Earthquakes must find a spark to ignite this game.
88' A goal from the Burkina Faso international Ousseni Bouda! He fires home on 88 to make it 4-1!
90' Kamal Miller was booked on 90.
90' The crowd applauds Beau Leroux as he leaves the pitch. Noel Buck steps in for San Jose Earthquakes.
The final score is 4-1.

Lineups

San Jose Earthquakes Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bruce Arena

Portland Timbers Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

17
Cristhian Paredes ↑ 66'
15
Eric Miller
13
Dario Zuparic
22
Omir Fernandez ↑ 76'
25
Trey Muse
7
Ariel Lassiter ↑ 82'
18
Zac McGraw
19
Kevin Kelsy ↑ 77'
23
Ian Smith ↑ 77'

Coach Phil Neville

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yimmi Chara	5
Preston Judd	5
Felipe Mora	4
Cristian Espinoza	3
Diego Valeri	3
Dairon Asprilla	3
Evander	3
Jonathan Rodriguez	3

Head to Head

San Jose Earthquakes Form

2025-05-04 San Jose Earthquakes 4–1 Portland Timbers W 2025-04-26 Columbus Crew SC 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes L 2025-04-20 San Jose Earthquakes 3–5 Sporting Kansas City L 2025-04-13 Los Angeles FC 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes L 2025-04-06 San Jose Earthquakes 6–1 D.C. United SC W 2025-03-30 San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Seattle Sounders FC D

Portland Timbers Form

2025-05-04 San Jose Earthquakes 4–1 Portland Timbers L 2025-04-28 Los Angeles Galaxy 2–4 Portland Timbers W 2025-04-20 Portland Timbers 3–3 Los Angeles FC D 2025-04-13 Sporting Kansas City 2–4 Portland Timbers W 2025-04-05 Austin FC 0–0 Portland Timbers D 2025-03-30 Portland Timbers 3–1 Houston Dynamo W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.49 San Jose Earthquakes xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.82 Portland Timbers xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct

San Jose Earthquakes48% Draw23% Portland Timbers29%

Actual: San Jose Earthquakes win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.31

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	79%	21%
± 3.5	61%	39%
± 4.5	43%	57%

Double Chance

San Jose Earthquakes or Draw

71%

Draw or Portland Timbers

52%

San Jose Earthquakes or Portland Timbers

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

San Jose Earthquakes40% Draw36% Portland Timbers24%

Actual: San Jose Earthquakes win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

7.4%

1 – 1

6.8%

2 – 2

6.6%

3 – 1

1 – 2

5.5%

3 – 2

5.4%

2 – 0

4.3%

2 – 3

4 – 1

Actual

3 – 0

3.5%

4 – 2

3.4%

3 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — San Jose Earthquakes

Handicap	San Jose Earthquakes covers	Push	Portland Timbers covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	15%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	19%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	14%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	8%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

San Jose Earthquakes keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.