San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

San Jose Earthquakes

4 – 1

Full Time

Portland Timbers

Sun 4 May 2025 · 02:30 UTC PayPal Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Ian Harkes 38' Y

Daniel Munie 40' Y

Dave Romney 55' Y

Y 90' Kamal Miller

Vitor Costa 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers — MLS at PayPal Park.

San Jose Earthquakes 15 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
Portland Timbers 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

San Jose Earthquakes 19 games · Avg 3.2 goals Portland Timbers

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-04 San Jose Earthquakes 4–1 Portland Timbers 2024-06-20 San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 Portland Timbers 2024-05-16 Portland Timbers 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes 2023-09-21 Portland Timbers 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes 2023-06-18 San Jose Earthquakes 0–0 Portland Timbers

Recent Form

San Jose Earthquakes

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 May	Portland Timbers	H	4–1	W
26 Apr	Columbus Crew SC	A	1–2	L
20 Apr	Sporting Kansas City	H	3–5	L
13 Apr	Los Angeles FC	A	1–2	L
06 Apr	D.C. United SC	H	6–1	W
30 Mar	Seattle Sounders FC	H	1–1	D

Portland Timbers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 May	San Jose Earthquakes	A	1–4	L
28 Apr	Los Angeles Galaxy	A	4–2	W
20 Apr	Los Angeles FC	H	3–3	D
13 Apr	Sporting Kansas City	A	4–2	W
05 Apr	Austin FC	A	0–0	D
30 Mar	Houston Dynamo	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

San Jose Earthquakes		Portland Timbers
#17	Position	#28
32	Points	14
15	Played	14
10 / 2 / 3	W / D / L	4 / 2 / 8
34	Scored	22
15	Conceded	28
+19	GD	-6
2.13	PPG	1.00
67%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
San Jose Earthquakes this season

7% Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season

San Jose Earthquakes are 17th (32 pts). Portland Timbers are 28th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

San Jose Earthquakes

0-15

7/3

16-30

2/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

4/4

61-75

3/–

76+

7/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Portland Timbers

0-15

2/5

16-30

3/3

31-45

3/3

46-60

–/2

61-75

2/–

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to PayPal Park that hosts another battle between San Jose Earthquakes and Portland Timbers.
5' San Jose Earthquakes currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both San Jose Earthquakes and Portland Timbers are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
16' San Jose Earthquakes is taking the lead after the goal scored by Cristian Espinoza on 16.
21' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. San Jose Earthquakes needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
24' Cristian Espinoza does the damage! The net is bulging and San Jose Earthquakes surge ahead!
27' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Cristian Arango makes it 3-0.
32' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with San Jose Earthquakes winning 100% of all matches.
37' Vitor Costa, a Brazil , has 32 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
38' It’s gonna be a card for Ian Harkes.
40' It’s gonna be a card for Daniel Munie.
42' Magnificent from Felipe Mora! That is 45 goals in 11 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
47' San Jose Earthquakes are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
52' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
55' San Jose Earthquakes player sees a card in front of him.
60' San Jose Earthquakes seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
65' Portland Timbers started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 65.
66' The whistle greets Julio Ortiz as he departs to be replaced by Cristhian Paredes.
71' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both San Jose Earthquakes and Portland Timbers are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
72' The San Jose Earthquakes manager makes a substitution. Max Floriani departs to be replaced by Rodrigues.
76' The whistle greets Santiago Moreno as he departs to be replaced by Omir Fernandez.
77' Fresh legs for Portland Timbers! Kevin Kelsy comes on to replace David Ayala.
82' It is a substitution in Portland Timbers team. Juan Mosquera is replaced by Ariel Lassiter on 82 minute.
87' It’s high time Phil Neville made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
88' Goal! Ousseni Bouda scores his 8 goal in 279 matches.
90' Controversy at the stadium! Kamal Miller argues furiously but the card stands.
90' The crowd applauds Beau Leroux as he leaves the pitch. Noel Buck steps in for San Jose Earthquakes.
It finishes all square. San Jose Earthquakes and Portland Timbers share the spoils 4-1.

Lineups

San Jose Earthquakes Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bruce Arena

Portland Timbers Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

17
Cristhian Paredes ↑ 66'
15
Eric Miller
13
Dario Zuparic
22
Omir Fernandez ↑ 76'
25
Trey Muse
7
Ariel Lassiter ↑ 82'
18
Zac McGraw
19
Kevin Kelsy ↑ 77'
23
Ian Smith ↑ 77'

Coach Phil Neville

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yimmi Chara	5
Felipe Mora	4
Preston Judd	3
Jaroslaw Niezgoda	3
Cristian Espinoza	3
Diego Valeri	3
Dairon Asprilla	3
Evander	3

Head to Head

San Jose Earthquakes Form

2025-05-04 San Jose Earthquakes 4–1 Portland Timbers W 2025-04-26 Columbus Crew SC 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes L 2025-04-20 San Jose Earthquakes 3–5 Sporting Kansas City L 2025-04-13 Los Angeles FC 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes L 2025-04-06 San Jose Earthquakes 6–1 D.C. United SC W 2025-03-30 San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Seattle Sounders FC D

Portland Timbers Form

2025-05-04 San Jose Earthquakes 4–1 Portland Timbers L 2025-04-28 Los Angeles Galaxy 2–4 Portland Timbers W 2025-04-20 Portland Timbers 3–3 Los Angeles FC D 2025-04-13 Sporting Kansas City 2–4 Portland Timbers W 2025-04-05 Austin FC 0–0 Portland Timbers D 2025-03-30 Portland Timbers 3–1 Houston Dynamo W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.85 San Jose Earthquakes xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.52 Portland Timbers xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct

San Jose Earthquakes57% Draw21% Portland Timbers22%

Actual: San Jose Earthquakes win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes73% 0% No27%

Avg goals/match: 4.37

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	80%	20%
± 3.5	62%	38%
± 4.5	43%	57%

Double Chance

San Jose Earthquakes or Draw

78%

Draw or Portland Timbers

43%

San Jose Earthquakes or Portland Timbers

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

San Jose Earthquakes49% Draw34% Portland Timbers17%

Actual: San Jose Earthquakes win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

7.7%

3 – 1

7.2%

1 – 1

6.3%

2 – 2

5.7%

3 – 2

5.4%

2 – 0

5.4%

4 – 1

Actual

3 – 0

4.9%

1 – 2

4.2%

4 – 2

3.9%

1 – 0

3.5%

4 – 0

3.5%

Asian Handicap — San Jose Earthquakes

Handicap	San Jose Earthquakes covers	Push	Portland Timbers covers
-2.5	27%	—	73%
-2	27%	18%	55%
-1.5	45%	—	55%
-1	45%	19%	36%
-0.5	64%	—	36%
+0.5	82%	—	18%
+1	82%	10%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	5%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

San Jose Earthquakes keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet

7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.