San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

San Jose Earthquakes

4 – 1

Full Time

Portland Timbers

Sun 4 May 2025 · 02:30 UTC PayPal Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Ian Harkes 38' Y

Daniel Munie 40' Y

Dave Romney 55' Y

Y 90' Kamal Miller

Vitor Costa 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers — MLS at PayPal Park.

San Jose Earthquakes 18 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Portland Timbers 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

San Jose Earthquakes 19 games · Avg 3.2 goals Portland Timbers

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-04 San Jose Earthquakes 4–1 Portland Timbers 2024-06-20 San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 Portland Timbers 2024-05-16 Portland Timbers 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes 2023-09-21 Portland Timbers 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes 2023-06-18 San Jose Earthquakes 0–0 Portland Timbers

Recent Form

San Jose Earthquakes

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 May	Portland Timbers	H	4–1	W
26 Apr	Columbus Crew SC	A	1–2	L
20 Apr	Sporting Kansas City	H	3–5	L
13 Apr	Los Angeles FC	A	1–2	L
06 Apr	D.C. United SC	H	6–1	W
30 Mar	Seattle Sounders FC	H	1–1	D

Portland Timbers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 May	San Jose Earthquakes	A	1–4	L
28 Apr	Los Angeles Galaxy	A	4–2	W
20 Apr	Los Angeles FC	H	3–3	D
13 Apr	Sporting Kansas City	A	4–2	W
05 Apr	Austin FC	A	0–0	D
30 Mar	Houston Dynamo	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

San Jose Earthquakes		Portland Timbers
#18	Position	#23
33	Points	24
18	Played	18
10 / 3 / 5	W / D / L	7 / 3 / 8
37	Scored	33
24	Conceded	33
+13	GD	+0
1.83	PPG	1.33
56%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

26% Clean Sheets
San Jose Earthquakes this season

6% Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season

San Jose Earthquakes are 18th (33 pts). Portland Timbers are 23rd (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

San Jose Earthquakes

0-15

7/6

16-30

3/4

31-45

3/2

46-60

6/6

61-75

4/1

76+

7/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Portland Timbers

0-15

2/5

16-30

4/5

31-45

4/4

46-60

3/2

61-75

5/–

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

San Jose Earthquakes

Preston Judd	11 G	2 A
Ousseni Bouda	5 G	1 A

Portland Timbers

Kevin Kelsy

8 G

2 A

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — San Jose Earthquakes and Portland Timbers get this one started.
5' San Jose Earthquakes is showing some good football. However, San Jose Earthquakes are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
10' San Jose Earthquakes seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
15' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
16' A goal from the Argentina international Cristian Espinoza! He fires home on 16 to make it 1-0!
21' Portland Timbers have won 469 goals from 291 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
24' Cristian Espinoza doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
27' Cristian Arango does the damage! The net is bulging and San Jose Earthquakes surge ahead!
32' Both keepers have barely been tested. San Jose Earthquakes and Portland Timbers are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
37' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
38' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ian Harkes.
40' San Jose Earthquakes receives a card for a hard tackle on 40.
42' Felipe Mora has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 42 minutes.
47' Portland Timbers fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
52' It is a cagey affair so far. San Jose Earthquakes in their trying to find a way past Portland Timbers's compact .
55' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Dave Romney on 55 minutes.
60' Cristhian Paredes has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
65' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both San Jose Earthquakes and Portland Timbers are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
66' The whistle greets Julio Ortiz as he departs to be replaced by Cristhian Paredes.
71' The travelling Portland Timbers supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
72' The San Jose Earthquakes bench stirs into life. Max Floriani is withdrawn and Rodrigues gets his opportunity.
76' The Portland Timbers bench stirs into life. Santiago Moreno is withdrawn and Omir Fernandez gets his opportunity.
77' Another substitution for Portland Timbers to replace David Ayala by Kevin Kelsy on 77 minute.
82' A tactical swap from Portland Timbers — Ariel Lassiter on, Juan Mosquera off on 82 minutes.
87' Over 87 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
88' What composure from Ousseni Bouda! The Burkina Faso international strokes it home. 4-1.
90' Portland Timbers player sees a card in front of him.
90' A tactical swap from San Jose Earthquakes — Noel Buck on, Beau Leroux off on 90 minutes.
Game over. The scoreline of 4-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

San Jose Earthquakes Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bruce Arena

Portland Timbers Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

17
Cristhian Paredes ↑ 66'
15
Eric Miller
13
Dario Zuparic
22
Omir Fernandez ↑ 76'
25
Trey Muse
7
Ariel Lassiter ↑ 82'
18
Zac McGraw
19
Kevin Kelsy ↑ 77'
23
Ian Smith ↑ 77'

Coach Phil Neville

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yimmi Chara	5
Felipe Mora	4
Cristian Espinoza	3
Diego Valeri	3
Dairon Asprilla	3
Evander	3
Jonathan Rodriguez	3
Preston Judd	3

Head to Head

San Jose Earthquakes Form

2025-05-04 San Jose Earthquakes 4–1 Portland Timbers W 2025-04-26 Columbus Crew SC 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes L 2025-04-20 San Jose Earthquakes 3–5 Sporting Kansas City L 2025-04-13 Los Angeles FC 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes L 2025-04-06 San Jose Earthquakes 6–1 D.C. United SC W 2025-03-30 San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Seattle Sounders FC D

Portland Timbers Form

2025-05-04 San Jose Earthquakes 4–1 Portland Timbers L 2025-04-28 Los Angeles Galaxy 2–4 Portland Timbers W 2025-04-20 Portland Timbers 3–3 Los Angeles FC D 2025-04-13 Sporting Kansas City 2–4 Portland Timbers W 2025-04-05 Austin FC 0–0 Portland Timbers D 2025-03-30 Portland Timbers 3–1 Houston Dynamo W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.61 San Jose Earthquakes xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.79 Portland Timbers xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct

San Jose Earthquakes50% Draw22% Portland Timbers28%

Actual: San Jose Earthquakes win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.4

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	80%	20%
± 3.5	63%	37%
± 4.5	44%	56%

Double Chance

San Jose Earthquakes or Draw

73%

Draw or Portland Timbers

50%

San Jose Earthquakes or Portland Timbers

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

San Jose Earthquakes42% Draw35% Portland Timbers23%

Actual: San Jose Earthquakes win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

7.4%

1 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

6.4%

3 – 1

6.3%

3 – 2

5.5%

1 – 2

5.1%

2 – 0

4.4%

4 – 1

Actual

2 – 3

3.8%

3 – 0

3.7%

4 – 2

3.7%

3 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — San Jose Earthquakes

Handicap	San Jose Earthquakes covers	Push	Portland Timbers covers
-2.5	20%	—	80%
-2	20%	16%	64%
-1.5	36%	—	64%
-1	36%	19%	45%
-0.5	55%	—	45%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	13%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

San Jose Earthquakes keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.