San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

San Jose Earthquakes

3 – 2

Full Time

FC Dallas

Thu 3 Oct 2024 · 02:30 UTC PayPal Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 15' Nkosi Burgess

Paul Marie 37' Y

Y 55' Alan Velasco

Y 60' Sebastien Ibeagha

Carlos Gruezo 73' Y

Y 74' Paul Arriola

Overview

Match Preview

San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas — MLS at PayPal Park.

San Jose Earthquakes 27 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
FC Dallas 27 games · 47 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

San Jose Earthquakes 16 games · Avg 3.6 goals FC Dallas

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-03 San Jose Earthquakes 3–2 FC Dallas 2024-02-25 FC Dallas 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes 2023-10-08 FC Dallas 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes 2023-05-28 San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 FC Dallas 2022-09-18 San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 FC Dallas

Recent Form

San Jose Earthquakes

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Oct	FC Dallas	H	3–2	W
28 Sep	Montreal Impact FC	A	0–3	L
22 Sep	St. Louis City	H	1–2	L
19 Sep	Seattle Sounders FC	A	2–2	D
15 Sep	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	A	0–2	L
01 Sep	Minnesota United FC	H	1–2	L

FC Dallas

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Oct	San Jose Earthquakes	A	2–3	L
29 Sep	Orlando City SC	H	1–3	L
22 Sep	Los Angeles FC	H	3–1	W
19 Sep	Real Salt Lake	A	2–3	L
08 Sep	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	A	0–0	D
01 Sep	Colorado Rapids SC	H	2–3	L

Season Stats

San Jose Earthquakes		FC Dallas
#18	Position	#17
45	Points	47
27	Played	27
13 / 6 / 8	W / D / L	13 / 8 / 6
49	Scored	50
39	Conceded	42
+10	GD	+8
1.67	PPG	1.74
48%	Win %	48%

Key Stats

94% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

26% Clean Sheets
San Jose Earthquakes this season

22% Clean Sheets
FC Dallas this season

San Jose Earthquakes are 18th (45 pts). FC Dallas are 17th (47 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

San Jose Earthquakes

0-15

12/7

16-30

5/4

31-45

5/6

46-60

6/7

61-75

5/2

76+

8/11

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Dallas

0-15

4/5

16-30

8/6

31-45

10/7

46-60

3/3

61-75

2/7

76+

11/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

San Jose Earthquakes

Preston Judd	15 G	3 A
Timo Werner	6 G	4 A
Ousseni Bouda	6 G	1 A

FC Dallas

Petar Musa	18 G	5 A
Logan Farrington	9 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at PayPal Park!
5' Argentina international Alan Velasco has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 3 assists in the Array this season.
10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both San Jose Earthquakes and FC Dallas are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
14' Hernan Lopez Munoz has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 14 minutes.
15' Controversy at the stadium! Nkosi Burgess argues furiously but the card stands.
20' FC Dallas come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
25' FC Dallas has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ian Russell will be considering his options from the bench.
35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sebastien Ibeagha suffering a number of foals already.
37' A moment of madness from Paul Marie on 37 minutes earns him a card. San Jose Earthquakes will be frustrated.
41' The Argentina Alan Velasco breaks the deadlock on 41 minutes. 1-1!
46' Bernard Kamungo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ruan on 46 minute.
51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
55' The referee calls foul for Alan Velasco. He receives a card.
60' It’s a booking for FC Dallas player. Sebastien Ibeagha gets a card.
62' It is a substitution in San Jose Earthquakes team. Carlos Akapo is replaced by Vitor Costa on 62 minute.
63' San Jose Earthquakes manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jeremy Ebobisse is hanging Jack Skahan on the field on 63 minute.
68' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering San Jose Earthquakes that had 286 games and scored 429 goals.
71' It is a substitution in FC Dallas team. Petar Musa is replaced by Logan Farrington on 71 minute.
73' It’s a booking for San Jose Earthquakes player. Carlos Gruezo gets a card.
74' Paul Arriola was booked on 74.
75' Amahl Pellegrino has so much to prove this time. He replaces Paul Marie on 75 minute.
79' GOAL! Hernan Lopez Munoz scores on 79. Assisted by Amahl Pellegrino
80' FC Dallas make a change. Nkosi Burgess trudges off to be replaced by Ema Twumasi on 80 minutes.
81' Another change for San Jose Earthquakes made on 81 minute. Carlos Gruezo leaves to be changed by Alfredo Morales.
83' GOAL! Jeremy Ebobisse scores on 83. Assisted by Niko Tsakiris
84' Sebastian Lletget is replacing Illarramendi for the FC Dallas side.
89' Ruan is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Dallas tonight.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

San Jose Earthquakes Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ian Russell

FC Dallas Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Peter Luccin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Petar Musa	4
Vako Qazaishvili	4
Vako Qazaishvili	4
Jeremy Ebobisse	4
Chris Wondolowski	3
Jader Obrian	3
Oswaldo Alanis	2
Magnus Eriksson	2

Head to Head

San Jose Earthquakes Form

2024-10-03 San Jose Earthquakes 3–2 FC Dallas W 2024-09-28 Montreal Impact FC 3–0 San Jose Earthquakes L 2024-09-22 San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 St. Louis City L 2024-09-19 Seattle Sounders FC 2–2 San Jose Earthquakes D 2024-09-15 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 2–0 San Jose Earthquakes L 2024-09-01 San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 Minnesota United FC L

FC Dallas Form

2024-10-03 San Jose Earthquakes 3–2 FC Dallas L 2024-09-29 FC Dallas 1–3 Orlando City SC L 2024-09-22 FC Dallas 3–1 Los Angeles FC W 2024-09-19 Real Salt Lake 3–2 FC Dallas L 2024-09-08 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 0–0 FC Dallas D 2024-09-01 FC Dallas 2–3 Colorado Rapids SC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.95 San Jose Earthquakes xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.64 FC Dallas xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 69% + Over 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

San Jose Earthquakes47% Draw24% FC Dallas29%

Actual: San Jose Earthquakes win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.59

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

San Jose Earthquakes or Draw

70%

Draw or FC Dallas

53%

San Jose Earthquakes or FC Dallas

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

San Jose Earthquakes34% Draw40% FC Dallas26%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.7%

2 – 1

8.3%

1 – 2

2 – 2

6.7%

3 – 1

5.4%

2 – 0

5.3%

1 – 0

4.8%

3 – 2

Actual

0 – 0

4.1%

0 – 1

3.9%

1 – 3

3.8%

0 – 2

3.8%

Asian Handicap — San Jose Earthquakes

Handicap	San Jose Earthquakes covers	Push	FC Dallas covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	14%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	19%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	16%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

San Jose Earthquakes keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

FC Dallas keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.