Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs V-Varen Nagasaki, 2018

J. League · 2018
Sagan Tosu FC
1 – 0
Full Time
V-Varen Nagasaki
Sun 4 Nov 2018 · 07:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs V-Varen Nagasaki — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Hiroki Kasahara
  • Referee Jun Mihara
  • Referee Hiroyuki Kimura
  • Referee Yuki Tsukakoshi

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

1
2
1
Sagan Tosu FC 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals V-Varen Nagasaki
Last 5 meetings
2018-11-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 V-Varen Nagasaki 2018-03-03 V-Varen Nagasaki 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2018-02-17 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 V-Varen Nagasaki 2017-09-16 V-Varen Nagasaki 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov V-Varen Nagasaki H 1–0 W
20 Oct Vegalta Sendai A 3–2 W
06 Oct Shonan Bellmare H 0–1 L
29 Sep Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–2 L
22 Sep Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
15 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–0 W
V-Varen Nagasaki
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov Sagan Tosu FC A 0–1 L
21 Oct Jubilo Iwata H 0–0 D
06 Oct Vissel Kobe A 1–1 D
29 Sep Kawasaki Frontale H 1–2 L
22 Sep Vegalta Sendai H 1–0 W
15 Sep Nagoya Grampus A 4–3 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at . Sagan Tosu FC are looking to make home advantage count against V-Varen Nagasaki.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past V-Varen Nagasaki's compact .
  • 30' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against V-Varen Nagasaki's shape.
  • 35' With 0 assists to his name this season, Hideto Takahashi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 40' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 45' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 50' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering V-Varen Nagasaki that had 188 games and scored 49 goals.
  • 55' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 60' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 65' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and V-Varen Nagasaki are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 70' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 75' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 80' Shu Hiramatsu is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for V-Varen Nagasaki tonight.
  • 85' V-Varen Nagasaki come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 90' V-Varen Nagasaki are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Takuya Takagi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Riki Harakawa 1
Jung Seunghyun 1
Hideto Takahashi 1
Takashi Sawada 1
Musashi Suzuki 1
Takashi Sawada 1
Musashi Suzuki 1
Jung Seunghyun 1

Head to Head

2018-11-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 V-Varen Nagasaki 2018-03-03 V-Varen Nagasaki 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2018-02-17 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 V-Varen Nagasaki 2017-09-16 V-Varen Nagasaki 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2018-11-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 V-Varen Nagasaki W 2018-10-20 Vegalta Sendai 2–3 Sagan Tosu FC W 2018-10-06 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Shonan Bellmare L 2018-09-29 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2018-09-22 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2018-09-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

V-Varen Nagasaki Form

2018-11-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 V-Varen Nagasaki L 2018-10-21 V-Varen Nagasaki 0–0 Jubilo Iwata D 2018-10-06 Vissel Kobe 1–1 V-Varen Nagasaki D 2018-09-29 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–2 Kawasaki Frontale L 2018-09-22 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–0 Vegalta Sendai W 2018-09-15 Nagoya Grampus 3–4 V-Varen Nagasaki W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.18 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC44% Draw30% V-Varen Nagasaki26%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
73%
Draw or V-Varen Nagasaki
56%
Sagan Tosu FC or V-Varen Nagasaki
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC27% Draw53% V-Varen Nagasaki20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10%
2 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push V-Varen Nagasaki covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 22% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.