Thursday , 2 July 2026

SSC Bari vs US Catanzaro, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
1 2
Full Time
Fri 19 Dec 2025 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SSC Bari vs US CatanzaroSerie B .

Match Details

  • Referee Antonio Rapuano
11 games this season 🟨 0.5/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Dec US Catanzaro H 1–2 L
13 Dec FC Sudtirol A 0–0 D
08 Dec Delfino Pescara 1936 H 1–1 D
04 Dec SS Juve Stabia A 0–0 D
29 Nov Empoli FC A 0–5 L
22 Nov Frosinone Calcio H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Dec SSC Bari A 2–1 W
13 Dec Calcio Avellino SSD H 1–0 W
08 Dec Modena FC 2018 A 2–1 W
29 Nov ACD Virtus Entella H 3–2 W
21 Nov Delfino Pescara 1936 H 3–3 D
08 Nov Empoli FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

SSC Bari US Catanzaro
#17 Position #5
40 Points 59
38 Played 38
10 / 10 / 18 W / D / L 15 / 14 / 9
38 Scored 62
60 Conceded 51
-22 GD +11
1.05 PPG 1.55
26% Win % 39%

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
SSC Bari this season
24% Clean Sheets
US Catanzaro this season

SSC Bari are 17th (40 pts). US Catanzaro are 5th (59 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SSC Bari
0-15
/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
US Catanzaro
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SSC Bari Lineups

US Catanzaro Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 SSC Bari xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.92 US Catanzaro xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SSC Bari25% Draw25% US Catanzaro50%
Actual: US Catanzaro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

SSC Bari or Draw
51%
Draw or US Catanzaro
75%
SSC Bari or US Catanzaro
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SSC Bari20% Draw42% US Catanzaro38%
Actual: US Catanzaro win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.8%
0 – 1
7.5%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 3
6%
0 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 3
4.9%
1 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — SSC Bari

Handicap SSC Bari covers Push US Catanzaro covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 14% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 22% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

SSC Bari keeps clean sheet
16%
US Catanzaro keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.