Thursday , 2 July 2026

SSC Bari vs Frosinone Calcio, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
Sat 22 Nov 2025 · 18:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SSC Bari vs Frosinone CalcioSerie B .

Match Details

  • Referee Mario Perri (Italy)
16 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Frosinone Calcio H 2–3 L
07 Nov Spezia Calcio A 1–1 D
02 Nov AC Cesena H 1–0 W
26 Oct Mantova 1911 SSD H 1–0 W
18 Oct AC Reggiana A 1–3 L
04 Oct Padova Calcio H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov SSC Bari A 3–2 W
08 Nov Modena FC 2018 H 2–2 D
01 Nov Carrarese Calcio A 2–0 W
28 Oct ACD Virtus Entella H 4–0 W
25 Oct UC Sampdoria A 1–1 D
18 Oct AC Monza H 0–1 L

Season Stats

SSC Bari Frosinone Calcio
#17 Position #2
40 Points 81
38 Played 38
10 / 10 / 18 W / D / L 23 / 12 / 3
38 Scored 76
60 Conceded 34
-22 GD +42
1.05 PPG 2.13
26% Win % 61%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
SSC Bari this season
39% Clean Sheets
Frosinone Calcio this season

SSC Bari are 17th (40 pts). Frosinone Calcio are 2nd (81 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SSC Bari
0-15
/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Frosinone Calcio
0-15
1/
16-30
2/
31-45
/1
46-60
4/
61-75
4/
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SSC Bari Lineups

Frosinone Calcio Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.29 SSC Bari xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2 Frosinone Calcio xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SSC Bari28% Draw25% Frosinone Calcio47%
Actual: Frosinone Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

SSC Bari or Draw
54%
Draw or Frosinone Calcio
72%
SSC Bari or Frosinone Calcio
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SSC Bari20% Draw41% Frosinone Calcio39%
Actual: Frosinone Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.4%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 3
6.1%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 0
5.3%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — SSC Bari

Handicap SSC Bari covers Push Frosinone Calcio covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 13% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 47% 53%
+1 47% 21% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 16% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

SSC Bari keeps clean sheet
14%
Frosinone Calcio keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.