Sunday , 16 August 2026

SSC Bari vs US Catanzaro, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
1 1
Full Time
Fri 18 Oct 2024 · 18:30 UTC San Nicola 18,615 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mehdi Dorval 30' 1–0
1–1 74' Pietro Iemmello

Overview

Match Preview

SSC Bari vs US CatanzaroSerie B at San Nicola.

Match Details

  • Referee Andrea Colombo (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Marco D'Ascanio (Italy)
  • Assistant 2 Claudio Barone (Italy)

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct US Catanzaro H 1–1 D
06 Oct US Cremonese A 1–1 D
28 Sep Cosenza Calcio H 1–1 D
22 Sep Frosinone Calcio A 3–0 W
14 Sep Mantova 1911 SSD H 2–0 W
31 Aug UC Sampdoria A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct SSC Bari A 1–1 D
06 Oct Modena FC 2018 H 2–2 D
29 Sep US Salernitana 1919 A 0–0 D
20 Sep US Cremonese H 1–2 L
14 Sep AS Cittadella A 0–0 D
01 Sep Carrarese Calcio H 3–1 W

Season Stats

SSC Bari US Catanzaro
#4 Position #9
40 Points 0
38 Played 0
10 / 10 / 18 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
38 Scored 0
60 Conceded 0
-22 GD +0
1.05 PPG
26% Win %

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SSC Bari are 4th (40 pts). US Catanzaro are 9th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at San Nicola. SSC Bari are looking to make home advantage count against US Catanzaro.
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Costantino Favasuli is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SSC Bari.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Raffaele Pucino suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 30' What a strike from Mehdi Dorval! The score is 1-0.
  • 30' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tommaso Biasci.
  • 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. US Catanzaro needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 45' Jacopo Petriccione catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
  • 46' Another substitution for US Catanzaro to replace Tommaso Biasci by Andrea La Mantia on 46 minute.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SSC Bari side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 58' US Catanzaro make a change. Mattia Compagnon trudges off to be replaced by Marco D'Alessandro on 58 minutes.
  • 62' Poor challenge from Mattia Maita. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 64' A change in the SSC Bari ranks — Giuseppe Sibilli exits the field as Giacomo Manzari enters on 64.
  • 67' A tactical swap from US Catanzaro — Mamadou Coulibaly on, Simone Pontisso off on 67 minutes.
  • 72' SSC Bari are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against US Catanzaro's 3-5-2 shape.
  • 74' Magnificent from Pietro Iemmello! That is 32 goals in 233 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 75' A tactical swap from SSC Bari — Andrea Favilli on, Kevin Lasagna off on 75 minutes.
  • 76' SSC Bari make a change. Costantino Favasuli trudges off to be replaced by Alessandro Tripaldelli on 76 minutes.
  • 81' Ilias Koutsoupias has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 5 cards already picked up this season.
  • 82' Another change for SSC Bari made on 82 minute. Mehdi Dorval leaves to be changed by Nosa Obaretin.
  • 87' SSC Bari currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Raffaele Pucino on 90 minutes.
  • 90' US Catanzaro ring the changes. Pietro Iemmello has done his job and it is now time for Nicolo Buso to step up.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.47 SSC Bari xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.52 US Catanzaro xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 91% + Under — clean sheet likely 82%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SSC Bari30% Draw44% US Catanzaro26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes18% 0% No82%
Avg goals/match: 0.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 60%
40%
± 1.5 27%
73%
± 2.5 9%
91%
± 3.5 2%
98%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

SSC Bari or Draw
73%
Draw or US Catanzaro
70%
SSC Bari or US Catanzaro
56%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SSC Bari12% Draw73% US Catanzaro15%
Actual: SSC Bari win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
39.9%
0 – 1
17.5%
1 – 0
15.4%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
3.5%
1 – 2
2.7%
2 – 1
2.4%
2 – 2
0.8%
0 – 3
0.8%
3 – 0
0.5%
1 – 3
0.5%

Asian Handicap — SSC Bari

Handicap SSC Bari covers Push US Catanzaro covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 18% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 20% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

SSC Bari keeps clean sheet
59%
US Catanzaro keeps clean sheet
63%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.