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SM Caen vs FC Sochaux-Montbeliard, 2014

Ligue 1 2014/15 · 2014
Fri 9 Jan 2015 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs FC Sochaux-Montbeliard — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

SM Caen 4.33
Draw 3.40
FC Sochaux-Montbeliard 1.91

Head-to-Head

4
5
5
SM Caen 14 games · Avg 2.4 goals FC Sochaux-Montbeliard

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Jan FC Sochaux-Montbeliard H 2–1 W
20 Dec FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 0–0 D
13 Dec SV 07 Elversberg H 3–3 D
06 Dec Valenciennes FC A 4–0 W
03 Dec La Berrichonne de Chateauroux H 0–2 L
29 Nov AS Nancy-Lorraine A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Jan SM Caen A 1–2 L
21 Dec Paris FC H 2–1 W
14 Dec Nimes Olympique A 0–1 L
07 Dec AJ Auxerre H 3–1 W
02 Dec VfR Wormatia 08 Worms A 1–1 D
28 Nov Red Star FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. FC Sochaux-Montbeliard kicks off things out of here…
  • SM Caen celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

SM Caen Lineups

FC Sochaux-Montbeliard Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.57 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 FC Sochaux-Montbeliard xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen51% Draw26% FC Sochaux-Montbeliard23%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
77%
Draw or FC Sochaux-Montbeliard
49%
SM Caen or FC Sochaux-Montbeliard
74%

Half-Time Result

SM Caen34% Draw47% FC Sochaux-Montbeliard19%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push FC Sochaux-Montbeliard covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 23% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
36%
FC Sochaux-Montbeliard keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.