Saturday , 14 November 2026

SM Caen vs FC Lorient, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
1 – 2
Full Time
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 12:00 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs FC Lorient — Ligue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Florent Batta

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct FC Lorient H 1–2 L
30 Sep En Avant Guingamp A 1–3 L
24 Sep Amiens SC H 2–1 W
20 Sep AC Ajaccio H 1–0 W
16 Sep Grenoble Foot 38 A 1–3 L
30 Aug FC Annecy H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct SM Caen A 2–1 W
27 Sep AC Ajaccio H 3–0 W
24 Sep Pau FC A 0–1 L
21 Sep FC Metz A 1–1 D
13 Sep Red Star FC H 2–1 W
31 Aug Amiens SC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between SM Caen and FC Lorient is underway.
  • 5' The 33-year-old Valentin Henry has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. SM Caen in their trying to find a way past FC Lorient's compact .
  • 15' FC Lorient are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 17' GOAL! Tidiam Gomis fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 22' SM Caen are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Lorient's shape.
  • 27' FC Lorient come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 32' SM Caen currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 35' Against the run of play, Julien Ponceau has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 38' Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 38.
  • 43' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 46' The SM Caen bench stirs into life. Godson Kyeremeh is withdrawn and Noe Lebreton gets his opportunity.
  • 49' That is a card for SM Caen. Quentin Lecoeuche will be fuming at that decision.
  • 54' FC Lorient is showing some good football. However, FC Lorient are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 59' Cameroon international Darlin Yongwa has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 61' The SM Caen manager makes a substitution. Bilal Brahimi departs to be replaced by Lorenzo Rajot.
  • 66' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Lorient that had 442 games and scored 391 goals.
  • 67' The FC Lorient bench stirs into life. Julien Ponceau is withdrawn and Mohamed Bamba gets his opportunity.
  • 72' SM Caen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 75' Diabe Bolumbu gets the nod from SM Caen. He replaces Quentin Lecoeuche and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 76' FC Lorient manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Aiyegun Tosin is hanging Eli Kroupi on the field on 76 minute.
  • 81' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 86' It is a substitution in FC Lorient team. Laurent Abergel is replaced by Enzo Genton on 86 minute.
  • 87' What composure from Mohamed Bamba! The Ivory Coast international strokes it home. 1-2.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Lorient players.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.21 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 FC Lorient xG
I would bet for: SM Caen or FC Lorient 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen33% Draw29% FC Lorient38%
Actual: FC Lorient win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
62%
Draw or FC Lorient
67%
SM Caen or FC Lorient
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen25% Draw49% FC Lorient26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
9.1%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push FC Lorient covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
FC Lorient keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.