Thursday , 2 July 2026

SM Caen vs ES Troyes AC, 2016

Ligue 1 2016/17 · 2016
1 3
Full Time
Sun 14 May 2017 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs ES Troyes AC — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

SM Caen 3.10
Draw 3.60
ES Troyes AC 2.25

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May ES Troyes AC H 1–3 L
07 May Valenciennes FC A 0–1 L
29 Apr Paris FC H 0–3 L
22 Apr FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 0–2 L
15 Apr VfR Wormatia 08 Worms H 2–0 W
08 Apr AS Nancy-Lorraine A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May SM Caen A 3–1 W
07 May Red Star FC H 3–2 W
28 Apr Chamois Niortais FC A 2–1 W
23 Apr Nimes Olympique H 1–2 L
16 Apr Senegal A 0–0 D
08 Apr VfR Wormatia 08 Worms H 1–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SM Caen Lineups

ES Troyes AC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89 ES Troyes AC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen25% Draw26% ES Troyes AC49%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
51%
Draw or ES Troyes AC
75%
SM Caen or ES Troyes AC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen19% Draw43% ES Troyes AC38%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.1%
0 – 1
7.9%
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 3
5%
1 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push ES Troyes AC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 13% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 22% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
16%
ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.