Thursday , 2 July 2026

ES Troyes AC vs SM Caen, 2016

Ligue 1 2016/17 · 2016
ES Troyes AC
5 – 1
Full Time
SM Caen
Wed 21 Sep 2016 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ES Troyes AC vs SM Caen — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

ES Troyes AC 1.57
Draw 4.00
SM Caen 6.00

Head-to-Head

11
4
1
ES Troyes AC 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals SM Caen
Last 5 meetings
2016-09-21 ES Troyes AC 5–1 SM Caen 2016-04-08 SM Caen 0–2 ES Troyes AC 2015-11-27 ES Troyes AC 2–4 SM Caen 2015-03-08 SM Caen 1–5 ES Troyes AC 2014-10-19 ES Troyes AC 5–1 SM Caen

Recent Form

ES Troyes AC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep SM Caen H 5–1 W
18 Sep FC Sochaux-Montbeliard A 0–0 D
14 Sep SV Todesfelde H 3–0 W
10 Sep Grenoble Foot 38 H 1–3 L
27 Aug US Orleans Loiret A 2–4 L
19 Aug AS Nancy-Lorraine H 2–0 W
SM Caen
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep ES Troyes AC A 1–5 L
18 Sep GFC Ajaccio H 1–1 D
10 Sep AC Ajaccio A 1–1 D
27 Aug Valenciennes FC H 1–1 D
21 Aug La Berrichonne de Chateauroux A 1–3 L
13 Aug Chamois Niortais FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! ES Troyes AC welcome SM Caen for this crunch clash at .
  • ES Troyes AC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

ES Troyes AC Lineups

SM Caen Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafiki Said Ahamada 2
Lenny Pintor 2
Dylan Chambost 1
Tristan Dingome 1
Alex Mendy 1
Luka Ilic 1
Jaures Assoumou 1
Youssouf M'Changama 1

Head to Head

2016-09-21 ES Troyes AC 5–1 SM Caen 2016-04-08 SM Caen 0–2 ES Troyes AC 2015-11-27 ES Troyes AC 2–4 SM Caen 2015-03-08 SM Caen 1–5 ES Troyes AC 2014-10-19 ES Troyes AC 5–1 SM Caen

ES Troyes AC Form

2016-09-21 ES Troyes AC 5–1 SM Caen W 2016-09-18 FC Sochaux-Montbeliard 0–0 ES Troyes AC D 2016-09-14 ES Troyes AC 3–0 SV Todesfelde W 2016-09-10 ES Troyes AC 1–3 Grenoble Foot 38 L 2016-08-27 US Orleans Loiret 4–2 ES Troyes AC L 2016-08-19 ES Troyes AC 2–0 AS Nancy-Lorraine W

SM Caen Form

2016-09-21 ES Troyes AC 5–1 SM Caen L 2016-09-18 SM Caen 1–1 GFC Ajaccio D 2016-09-10 AC Ajaccio 1–1 SM Caen D 2016-08-27 SM Caen 1–1 Valenciennes FC D 2016-08-21 La Berrichonne de Chateauroux 3–1 SM Caen L 2016-08-13 SM Caen 1–0 Chamois Niortais FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.42 ES Troyes AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + ES Troyes AC to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC63% Draw20% SM Caen17%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

ES Troyes AC or Draw
83%
Draw or SM Caen
37%
ES Troyes AC or SM Caen
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC47% Draw38% SM Caen15%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
7.3%
3 – 0
6.6%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.2%
4 – 1
4.5%
1 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 0
4.2%
4 – 0
4%

Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC

Handicap ES Troyes AC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 24% — 76%
-2 24% 19% 57%
-1.5 43% — 57%
-1 43% 21% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.