ES Troyes AC vs Red Star FC, 2017

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Ligue 1 2017/18 · 2017

ES Troyes AC

3 – 2

Full Time

Red Star FC

Sun 7 May 2017 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ES Troyes AC vs Red Star FC — Ligue 1 .

ES Troyes AC 0 games · 0 pts
Red Star FC 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

ES Troyes AC 1.67

Draw 4.00

Red Star FC 5.00

Head-to-Head

ES Troyes AC 14 games · Avg 2.5 goals Red Star FC

Last 5 meetings

2017-05-07 ES Troyes AC 3–2 Red Star FC 2016-11-30 Red Star FC 0–6 ES Troyes AC 2016-03-19 ES Troyes AC 2–0 Red Star FC 2015-12-01 Red Star FC 0–0 ES Troyes AC 2015-02-22 ES Troyes AC 1–0 Red Star FC

Recent Form

ES Troyes AC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 May	Red Star FC	H	3–2	W
28 Apr	Chamois Niortais FC	A	2–1	W
23 Apr	Nimes Olympique	H	1–2	L
16 Apr	Senegal	A	0–0	D
08 Apr	VfR Wormatia 08 Worms	H	1–4	L
05 Apr	AJ Auxerre	A	3–0	W

Red Star FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 May	ES Troyes AC	A	2–3	L
29 Apr	VfR Wormatia 08 Worms	H	1–0	W
22 Apr	AS Nancy-Lorraine	A	2–0	W
16 Apr	Grenoble Foot 38	H	0–1	L
09 Apr	La Berrichonne de Chateauroux	A	1–1	D
02 Apr	Chamois Niortais FC	H	2–1	W

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for ES Troyes AC and Red Star FC.
It finishes all square. ES Troyes AC and Red Star FC share the spoils 3-2.

Lineups

ES Troyes AC Lineups

Red Star FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yoann Touzghar	2
Kevin Fortune	2
Jaures Assoumou	1
Youssouf M'Changama	1
Cyriaque Irie	1
Hianga Mananga Mbock	1
Merwan Ifnaoui	1
Bryan Pele	1

Head to Head

ES Troyes AC Form

2017-05-07 ES Troyes AC 3–2 Red Star FC W 2017-04-28 Chamois Niortais FC 1–2 ES Troyes AC W 2017-04-23 ES Troyes AC 1–2 Nimes Olympique L 2017-04-16 Senegal 0–0 ES Troyes AC D 2017-04-08 ES Troyes AC 1–4 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms L 2017-04-05 AJ Auxerre 0–3 ES Troyes AC W

Red Star FC Form

2017-05-07 ES Troyes AC 3–2 Red Star FC L 2017-04-29 Red Star FC 1–0 VfR Wormatia 08 Worms W 2017-04-22 AS Nancy-Lorraine 0–2 Red Star FC W 2017-04-16 Red Star FC 0–1 Grenoble Foot 38 L 2017-04-09 La Berrichonne de Chateauroux 1–1 Red Star FC D 2017-04-02 Red Star FC 2–1 Chamois Niortais FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.68 ES Troyes AC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.29 Red Star FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

ES Troyes AC50% Draw25% Red Star FC25%

Actual: ES Troyes AC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 2.97

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

ES Troyes AC or Draw

75%

Draw or Red Star FC

50%

ES Troyes AC or Red Star FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

ES Troyes AC33% Draw44% Red Star FC23%

Actual: Red Star FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.1%

2 – 1

1 – 0

7.8%

2 – 0

7.2%

0 – 0

6.9%

1 – 2

6.9%

0 – 1

5.8%

2 – 2

5.8%

3 – 1

0 – 2

4.2%

3 – 0

3.9%

3 – 2

Actual

Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC

Handicap	ES Troyes AC covers	Push	Red Star FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	21%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	16%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Red Star FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.