Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SM Caen vs AS Saint-Étienne, Ligue 1 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2018-19
Sat 16 Mar 2019 · 19:00 UTC Stade Michel d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs AS Saint-Étienne — Ligue 1 at Stade Michel d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Mehdi Rahmouni
  • Referee Florent Batta
  • Referee Julien Aube
  • Referee Karim Abed
  • Referee Guillaume Paradis

Head-to-Head

2
4
SM Caen 6 games · Avg 3.0 goals AS Saint-Étienne

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar AS Saint-Étienne H 0–5 L
10 Mar Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 1–3 L
02 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–2 L
24 Feb Toulouse FC A 1–1 D
17 Feb RC Strasbourg Alsace H 0–0 D
13 Feb FC Nantes H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar SM Caen A 5–0 W
10 Mar Lille OSC H 0–1 L
03 Mar Olympique de Marseille A 0–2 L
22 Feb Dijon Football Cote d'Or A 1–0 W
17 Feb Paris Saint-Germain FC H 0–1 L
13 Feb RC Strasbourg Alsace H 2–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' SM Caen have kicked off against AS Saint-Etienne. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 4' The deadlock is broken! Romain Hamouma gets on the scoresheet on 4 minutes.
  • 9' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AS Saint-Etienne that had 431 games and scored 393 goals.
  • 14' The energy levels are beginning to show. Fabien Mercadal might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 19' Jonathan Gradit is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SM Caen tonight.
  • 20' Robert Beric has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 20 minutes.
  • 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 30' Arnaud Nordin makes no mistake. The score reads 0-3 and AS Saint-Etienne are in front.
  • 35' It looks surprising AS Saint-Etienne does not make any changes. Stephane Ruffier has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Fabien Mercadal will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 41' SM Caen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Younn Zahary is hanging Romain Genevois on the field on 41 minute.
  • 46' Time for substitution for SM Caen. Evens Joseph is replaced by Emmanuel Imorou.
  • 51' It’s high time Fabien Mercadal made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 56' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 61' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 64' A tactical swap from SM Caen — Claudio Beauvue on, Malik Tchokounte off on 64 minutes.
  • 69' Brice Samba needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Valentin Vada. He replaces Arnaud Nordin on 74 minute.
  • 78' The AS Saint-Etienne manager makes a substitution. Romain Hamouma departs to be replaced by Lamine Ghezali.
  • 83' Time for substitution for AS Saint-Etienne. Robert Beric is replaced by Makhtar Gueye.
  • 85' Lamine Ghezali makes no mistake. The score reads 0-4 and AS Saint-Etienne are in front.
  • 90' Against the run of play, Valentin Vada has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for SM Caen.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.89 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.01 AS Saint-Étienne xG
I would bet for: AS Saint-Étienne to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen20% Draw24% AS Saint-Étienne56%
Actual: AS Saint-Étienne win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
44%
Draw or AS Saint-Étienne
80%
SM Caen or AS Saint-Étienne
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen13% Draw43% AS Saint-Étienne44%
Actual: AS Saint-Étienne win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–5 not predicted
0 – 5
Actual
0 – 2
10.9%
1 – 1
10.6%
0 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
7.2%
0 – 3
7.2%
1 – 3
6.4%
2 – 2
4.3%
2 – 1
4.2%
1 – 0
4.1%
0 – 4
3.6%
1 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push AS Saint-Étienne covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 10% 85%
-0.5 15% — 85%
+0.5 38% — 62%
+1 38% 23% 39%
+1.5 61% — 39%
+2 61% 19% 19%
+2.5 81% — 19%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
AS Saint-Étienne keeps clean sheet
42% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.