Monday , 21 September 2026

SK Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe SK, Champions League Q 2026 QUALIFICATION

Tue 11 Aug 2026 · 18:30 UTC Merkur-Arena 15,599 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 66' Talisca pen

Overview

Match Preview

SK Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe SKChampions League Q at Merkur-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Hernandez

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Aug Fenerbahçe SK H 0–1 L
28 Jul Heart of Midlothian FC A 2–0 W
21 Jul Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W
29 Jan SK Brann H 1–0 W
22 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–3 L
11 Dec FK Crvena Zvezda H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Aug SK Sturm Graz A 1–0 W
29 Jul Górnik Zabrze A 1–1 D
21 Jul Górnik Zabrze H 0–0 D
26 Feb Nottingham Forest FC A 2–1 W
19 Feb Nottingham Forest FC H 0–3 L
29 Jan FCSB Bukarest A 1–1 D

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
67% Clean Sheets
SK Sturm Graz this season
67% Clean Sheets
Fenerbahçe SK this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SK Sturm Graz
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
2/1
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fenerbahçe SK
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fenerbahçe SK
Talisca 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! SK Sturm Graz welcome Fenerbahçe SK for this crunch clash at Merkur-Arena.
  • 5' France international Axel Kayombo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Fabio Ingolitsch will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 20' SK Sturm Graz seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 30' Nelson Semedo, a Portugal , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 35' Fenerbahçe SK is showing some good football. However, Fenerbahçe SK are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 40' The referee calls foul for Nelson Semedo. He receives a card.
  • 45' Archie Brown is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 50' It looks surprising SK Sturm Graz does not make any changes. Nathan Ake has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 55' It looks like no one’s ball. Fenerbahçe SK is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 60' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SK Sturm Graz and Fenerbahçe SK are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 61' It is a substitution in SK Sturm Graz team. Axel Kayombo is replaced by Nelson Weiper on 61 minute.
  • 62' Fresh legs for Fenerbahce SK! Mert Muldur comes on to replace Nelson Semedo.
  • 63' Fenerbahce SK manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Oguz Aydin is hanging Mason Greenwood on the field on 63 minute.
  • 66' Talisca doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 70' The crowd applauds Jon Gorenc-Stankovic as he leaves the pitch. Ryan Fosso steps in for SK Sturm Graz.
  • 73' The Fenerbahce SK bench stirs into life. N'Golo Kante is withdrawn and Ismail Yuksek gets his opportunity.
  • 77' It is a substitution in Fenerbahce SK team. Talisca is replaced by Vedat Muriqi on 77 minute.
  • 79' Paul Koller is ready to make an impact after coming on for Petar Petrovic at the 79 minute mark.
  • 80' Fabio Ingolitsch was booked on 80.
  • 84' It’s a booking for SK Sturm Graz player. Jeyland Mitchell gets a card.
  • 89' That is a card for Fenerbahce SK. Muhammed Kerem Akturkoglu will be fuming at that decision.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Fenerbahçe SK players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.03 SK Sturm Graz xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Fenerbahçe SK xG
I would bet for: SK Sturm Graz or Fenerbahçe SK 68% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SK Sturm Graz33% Draw32% Fenerbahçe SK35%
Actual: Fenerbahçe SK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

SK Sturm Graz or Draw
66%
Draw or Fenerbahçe SK
67%
SK Sturm Graz or Fenerbahçe SK
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SK Sturm Graz23% Draw54% Fenerbahçe SK23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.5%
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
12.1%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.6%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 1
2.4%
1 – 3
2.3%
3 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — SK Sturm Graz

Handicap SK Sturm Graz covers Push Fenerbahçe SK covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 20% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 20% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
37%
Fenerbahçe SK keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.