SC Recife vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Recife vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Ilha do Retiro.
- SC Recife 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 34 games · 73 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Dec | CA Paranaense | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Dec | Chapecoense AF | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Dec | CR Flamengo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | SC Recife | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Dec | Fluminense FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Dec | Cruzeiro EC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Nov | Botafogo FR | H | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Nov | AC Goianiense | A | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
47%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 10 G | 7 A |
| Mauricio | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 6 G | 3 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | 1 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — SC Recife and SE Palmeiras get this one started.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SE Palmeiras that had 400 games and scored 600 goals.
- 8' The referee has no hesitation. Facundo Torres Perez is booked for SE Palmeiras — card on 8.
- 13' SE Palmeiras have won 600 goals from 400 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 18' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 20' Murilo Cerqueira catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 20.
- 21' SC Recife player sees a card in front of him.
- 26' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 29' The SC Recife bench stirs into life. Diogo Hereda is withdrawn and Matheus Alexandre gets his opportunity.
- 32' Chico has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 32.
- 33' Magnificent from Jose Manuel Lopez! That is 33 goals in 192 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 38' Chrystian Barletta does the damage! The net is bulging and SC Recife surge ahead!
- 43' Poor challenge from Bruno Fuchs. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 45' The referee calls foul for Lucas Lima. He receives a card.
- 46' Estevao gets the nod from SE Palmeiras. He replaces Felipe Anderson and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' Pablo Felipe has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 25 cards already picked up this season.
- 56' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 59' A change in the SE Palmeiras ranks — Emiliano Martinez exits the field as Anibal Moreno enters on 59.
- 64' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 69' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 73' SC Recife receives a card for a hard tackle on 73.
- 73' The crowd applauds Lucas Evangelista as he leaves the pitch. Vitor Roque steps in for SE Palmeiras.
- 78' Fabricio Dominguez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Du Queiroz at the 78 minute mark.
- 83' Another substitution for SC Recife to replace Chrystian Barletta by Carlos Alberto on 83 minute.
- 84' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Sergio Oliveira on 84 minutes.
- 89' SE Palmeiras is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Vitor Roque.
- Another three points for SE Palmeiras.
Lineups
SC Recife Lineups
Starting XI
-
92
Pablo Felipe ↓ Arthur 78'
- 16
-
10
Lucas Lima ↓ Lenny Lobato 83'
- 27
- 44
- 22
-
37
Du Queiroz ↓ Fabricio Dominguez 78'
- 6
- 30
- 32
- 14
Bench
- 19
-
33
Matheus Alexandre ↑ 29'
- 91
-
8
Fabricio Dominguez ↑ 78'
-
17
Carlos Alberto ↑ 83'
- 11
- 12
-
77
Lenny Lobato ↑ 83'
- 3
- 59
- 13
-
38
Arthur ↑ 78'
Coach
Pepa
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↓ Estevao 46'
-
30
Lucas Evangelista ↓ Vitor Roque 73'
-
3
Bruno Fuchs ↓ Raphael Veiga 59'
-
6
Vanderlan ↓ Joaquin Piquerez 46'
- 17
- 42
- 26
- 32
- 13
- 4
Bench
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↑ 59'
- 15
- 14
-
5
Anibal Moreno ↑ 59'
-
22
Joaquin Piquerez ↑ 46'
- 34
-
9
Vitor Roque ↑ 73'
-
41
Estevao ↑ 46'
- 31
- 43
- 39
- 40
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 3 |
| Willian | 3 |
| Anselmo | 2 |
| Anselmo | 2 |
| Hyoran | 1 |
| Gustavo Scarpa | 1 |
| Keno | 1 |
| Leandro Barcia | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Recife Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.09
SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
SC Recife or Draw
58%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
71%
SC Recife or SE Palmeiras
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
10.6%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.9%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
2.5%
Asian Handicap — SC Recife
| Handicap | SC Recife covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 17% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 22% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.
