SC Recife vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Recife vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Ilha do Retiro.
- SC Recife 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 28 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Dec | CA Paranaense | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Dec | Chapecoense AF | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Dec | CR Flamengo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | SC Recife | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Dec | Fluminense FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Dec | Cruzeiro EC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Nov | Botafogo FR | H | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Nov | AC Goianiense | A | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 8 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. SC Recife get us underway at Ilha do Retiro.
- 5' Chrystian Barletta has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
- 8' That looks like a foul for a card for Facundo Torres Perez.
- 13' The travelling SE Palmeiras supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 18' The -year-old Diogo Hereda has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 20' That looks like a foul for a card for Murilo Cerqueira.
- 21' Christian Rivera has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 21.
- 26' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 26 minutes.
- 29' SC Recife make a change. Diogo Hereda trudges off to be replaced by Matheus Alexandre on 29 minutes.
- 32' That looks like a foul for a card for Chico.
- 33' SE Palmeiras is taking the lead after the goal scored by Jose Manuel Lopez on 33.
- 38' What a strike from Chrystian Barletta! The score is 1-1.
- 43' Bruno Fuchs catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 43.
- 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Lucas Lima.
- 46' The crowd applauds Felipe Anderson as he leaves the pitch. Estevao steps in for SE Palmeiras.
- 51' It is a cagey affair so far. SC Recife in their trying to find a way past SE Palmeiras's compact .
- 56' Micael has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 482 appearances.
- 59' Anibal Moreno gets the nod from SE Palmeiras. He replaces Emiliano Martinez and will look to change the dynamic.
- 64' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 69' Over 69 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 73' The referee shows SC Recife player a card on 73.
- 73' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Lucas Evangelista is replaced by Vitor Roque.
- 78' Fresh legs for SC Recife! Fabricio Dominguez comes on to replace Du Queiroz.
- 83' Time for substitution for SC Recife. Chrystian Barletta is replaced by Carlos Alberto.
- 84' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sergio Oliveira on 84.
- 89' Pablo Felipe is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SE Palmeiras tonight.
- 90' That is a card for SE Palmeiras. Vitor Roque will be fuming at that decision.
- Another three points for SE Palmeiras.
Lineups
SC Recife Lineups
Starting XI
-
92
Pablo Felipe ↓ Arthur 78'
- 16
-
10
Lucas Lima ↓ Lenny Lobato 83'
- 27
- 44
- 22
-
37
Du Queiroz ↓ Fabricio Dominguez 78'
- 6
- 30
- 32
- 14
Bench
- 19
-
33
Matheus Alexandre ↑ 29'
- 91
-
8
Fabricio Dominguez ↑ 78'
-
17
Carlos Alberto ↑ 83'
- 11
- 12
-
77
Lenny Lobato ↑ 83'
- 3
- 59
- 13
-
38
Arthur ↑ 78'
Coach
Pepa
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↓ Estevao 46'
-
30
Lucas Evangelista ↓ Vitor Roque 73'
-
3
Bruno Fuchs ↓ Raphael Veiga 59'
-
6
Vanderlan ↓ Joaquin Piquerez 46'
- 17
- 42
- 26
- 32
- 13
- 4
Bench
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↑ 59'
- 15
- 14
-
5
Anibal Moreno ↑ 59'
-
22
Joaquin Piquerez ↑ 46'
- 34
-
9
Vitor Roque ↑ 73'
-
41
Estevao ↑ 46'
- 31
- 43
- 39
- 40
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 3 |
| Willian | 3 |
| Anselmo | 2 |
| Anselmo | 2 |
| Joaquin Piquerez | 1 |
| Willian | 1 |
| Gustavo Gomez | 1 |
| Iago Maidana | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Recife Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.09
SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
SC Recife or Draw
58%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
71%
SC Recife or SE Palmeiras
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
10.6%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.9%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
2.5%
Asian Handicap — SC Recife
| Handicap | SC Recife covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 17% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 22% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.
