SC Recife vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Recife vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Ilha do Retiro.
- SC Recife 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 28 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov | EC Vitoria | H | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Nov | Botafogo FR | A | 2–3 | L |
| 15 Nov | CR Flamengo | H | 1–5 | L |
| 08 Nov | CA Mineiro | H | 2–4 | L |
| 05 Nov | EC Juventude | H | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Nov | CR Flamengo | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov | SC Recife | A | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Nov | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Nov | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Oct | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 4 G | 2 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Ilha do Retiro. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' SC Recife currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' SC Recife player sees a card in front of him.
- 13' Magnificent from Luan Candido! That is 23 goals in 396 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 15' A goal from the Spain international Aitor Cantalapiedra! He fires home on 15 to make it 1-1!
- 20' A quiet spell here at Ilha do Retiro. EC Vitoria seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 25' Lucas Braga needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 29' Assisted by Matheusinho with the perfectly-timed delivery and Pablo Felipe makes no mistake. 2-1!
- 34' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Vitoria that had 182 games and scored 135 goals.
- 44' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 46' Kevyson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ramon at the 46 minute mark.
- 48' Magnificent from Renato Kayzer! That is 36 goals in 260 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 53' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SC Recife side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 54' Christian Rivera picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 59' Ramon is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Recife tonight.
- 61' Erick is having his name booked by the referee on 61.
- 65' The EC Vitoria manager makes a substitution. Erick departs to be replaced by Lucas Braga.
- 68' Kevyson picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 73' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 74' Another substitution for SC Recife to replace Christian Rivera by Adriel on 74 minute.
- 79' Matheuzinho has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 81' It is a substitution in EC Vitoria team. Gabriel Baralhas is replaced by Dudu on 81 minute.
- 86' The SC Recife bench stirs into life. Lucas Kal is withdrawn and Sergio Oliveira gets his opportunity.
- 1-3 the final result. SC Recife will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
SC Recife Lineups
Starting XI
- 40
-
21
Lucas Kal ↓ Sergio Oliveira 86'
- 92
- 15
- 10
- 36
- 33
- 38
- 22
-
17
Matheusinho ↓ Romarinho 46'
-
14
Christian Rivera ↓ Adriel 74'
Bench
- 19
- 7
-
27
Sergio Oliveira ↑ 86'
-
11
Romarinho ↑ 46'
- 42
- 9
- 13
-
3
Kevyson ↑ 46'
- 6
-
30
Chrystian Barletta ↑ 86'
- 20
-
54
Adriel ↑ 74'
Coach
Cesar Lucena
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
-
33
Erick ↓ Lucas Braga 65'
- 17
- 27
- 43
- 5
- 13
-
31
Renzo Lopez ↓ Renato Kayzer 46'
-
8
Ronald ↓ Ricardo Ryller 81'
-
44
Gabriel Baralhas ↓ Dudu 81'
- 12
- 4
Bench
- 77
-
28
Ricardo Ryller ↑ 81'
- 23
- 6
-
79
Renato Kayzer ↑ 46'
- 11
- 3
- 71
-
22
Lucas Braga ↑ 65'
-
21
Dudu ↑ 81'
-
10
Matheuzinho ↑ 65'
- 66
Coach
Jair Ventura
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Erick | 2 |
| Romarinho | 2 |
| Erick | 1 |
| Renzo Lopez | 1 |
| Aitor Cantalapiedra | 1 |
| Renato Kayzer | 1 |
| Pablo Felipe | 1 |
| Luan Candido | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Recife Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.19
SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
SC Recife or EC Vitoria 73% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
SC Recife or Draw
56%
Draw or EC Vitoria
72%
SC Recife or EC Vitoria
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Vitoria win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 1
8.9%
0 – 0
8%
0 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — SC Recife
| Handicap | SC Recife covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 16% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 22% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.