Sunday , 16 August 2026

SC Bastia vs Valenciennes FC, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2023-24
Sat 12 Aug 2023 · 17:00 UTC Armand Cesari HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Bastia vs Valenciennes FCLigue 2 at Armand Cesari.

Match Details

  • Referee Romain Lissorgue

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Valenciennes FC H 3–0 W
05 Aug US Concarneau A 0–0 D
02 Jun FC Metz A 2–3 L
26 May Le Havre AC H 1–1 D
20 May Pau FC A 6–2 W
13 May Chamois Niortais FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug SC Bastia A 0–3 L
05 Aug AJ Auxerre H 1–4 L
02 Jun AS Saint-Étienne A 0–2 L
26 May Grenoble Foot 38 H 1–0 W
22 May Le Havre AC A 2–0 W
13 May Pau FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Armand Cesari. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The travelling Valenciennes FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' SC Bastia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' It looks surprising SC Bastia does not make any changes. Kevin Van Den Kerkhof has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SC Bastia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 30' It’s high time Regis Brouard made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Valenciennes FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 40' Dimitri Lienard is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 45' Migouel Alfarela is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Bastia tonight.
  • 46' Ilyes Hamache is ready to make an impact after coming on for Sofiane Boudraa at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' Poor challenge from Julien Masson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 56' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 61' Anthony Roncaglia has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Migouel Alfarela as he leaves the pitch. Benjamin Santelli steps in for SC Bastia.
  • 69' Supporters expect more eagerness from Julien Masson, as he is very good at scoring at Armand Cesari with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 74' The home supporters are growing impatient. SC Bastia must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 76' Valenciennes FC make a change. Jason Berthomier trudges off to be replaced by Issouf Macalou on 76 minutes.
  • 77' A goal from the France international Benjamin Santelli! He fires home on 77 to make it 2-0!
  • 77' Florian Bianchini is replacing Kapitbafan Djoco for the SC Bastia side.
  • 82' Allan Linguet has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 82.
  • 84' The whistle greets Aymen Boutoutaou as he departs to be replaced by Tidyane Diagouraga.
  • 85' It is a substitution in SC Bastia team. Dimitri Lienard is replaced by Jocelyn Janneh on 85 minute.
  • 90' Valenciennes FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. SC Bastia take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.63 SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Valenciennes FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia55% Draw26% Valenciennes FC19%
Actual: SC Bastia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

SC Bastia or Draw
81%
Draw or Valenciennes FC
45%
SC Bastia or Valenciennes FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Bastia37% Draw47% Valenciennes FC16%
Actual: SC Bastia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
12.2%
2 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — SC Bastia

Handicap SC Bastia covers Push Valenciennes FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 17% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 24% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
42%
Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.