SC Bastia vs Le Mans FC, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Bastia vs Le Mans FC — Ligue 2 at Stade Armand Cesari.
- SC Bastia 34 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Le Mans FC 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ruddy Buquet
- Assistant 1 Camille Soriano (France)
- Assistant 2 Quentin Guidou (France)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Étienne | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Annecy | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | USL Dunkerque | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | FC Metz | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Montpellier HSC | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Red Star FC | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | En Avant Guingamp | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Stade de Reims | 2 | 2 |
| 12 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot 63 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | FC Sochaux-Montbéliard | 2 | 1 |
| 18 | FC Nantes | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | En Avant Guingamp | A | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Apr | Clermont Foot 63 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Apr | AS Saint-Étienne | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Red Star FC | A | 3–4 | L |
| 03 Apr | Amiens SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Mar | Rodez Aveyron Football | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | Stade de Reims | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Apr | Grenoble Foot 38 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Apr | Clermont Foot 63 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Pau FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 20 Mar | Amiens SC | A | 4–3 | W |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
H2H
Head to Head
SC Bastia Form
Predictions
1.08
SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
Le Mans FC xG
I would bet for:
SC Bastia or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.1
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
SC Bastia or Draw
69%
Draw or Le Mans FC
62%
SC Bastia or Le Mans FC
69%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
0 – 0
14.6%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
11.9%
0 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
2.6%
3 – 0
2.4%
1 – 3
2.3%
Asian Handicap — SC Bastia
| Handicap | SC Bastia covers | Push | Le Mans FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 21% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 19% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
37%
Le Mans FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.
