SC Bastia vs Le Mans FC, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Bastia vs Le Mans FC — Ligue 2 at Stade Armand Cesari.
- SC Bastia 34 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Le Mans FC 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ruddy Buquet
- Assistant 1 Camille Soriano (France)
- Assistant 2 Quentin Guidou (France)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ES Troyes AC | 34 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans FC | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Bastia | 34 | 28 |
| 4 | Amiens SC | 34 | 24 |
| 5 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | FC Metz | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Nantes | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | FC Sochaux-Montbeliard | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | AS Saint-Étienne | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Red Star FC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Stade de Reims | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | FC Annecy | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Montpellier HSC | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | USL Dunkerque | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | En Avant Guingamp | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Clermont Foot 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | US Boulogne Cote d'Opale | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | En Avant Guingamp | A | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Apr | Clermont Foot 63 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Apr | AS Saint-Étienne | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Red Star FC | A | 3–4 | L |
| 03 Apr | Amiens SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Mar | Rodez Aveyron Football | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | Stade de Reims | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Apr | Grenoble Foot 38 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Apr | Clermont Foot 63 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | US Boulogne Cote d'Opale | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Pau FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 20 Mar | Amiens SC | A | 4–3 | W |
Season Stats
| SC Bastia | Le Mans FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #2 |
| 28 | Points | 62 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 5 / 13 / 16 | W / D / L | 16 / 14 / 4 |
| 23 | Scored | 50 |
| 42 | Conceded | 31 |
| -19 | GD | +19 |
| 0.82 | PPG | 1.82 |
| 15% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
SC Bastia are 3rd (28 pts). Le Mans FC are 2nd (62 pts).
H2H
Head to Head
SC Bastia Form
Predictions
0.76
SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28
Le Mans FC xG
I would bet for:
Le Mans FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.04
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
SC Bastia or Draw
58%
Draw or Le Mans FC
73%
SC Bastia or Le Mans FC
69%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
0 – 1
15.5%
0 – 0
15.4%
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 2
10.2%
1 – 0
8.6%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
4.6%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
3.5%
2 – 2
3.1%
2 – 3
1.4%
Asian Handicap — SC Bastia
| Handicap | SC Bastia covers | Push | Le Mans FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 14% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 25% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
29%
Le Mans FC keeps clean sheet
47%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.
