Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Bastia vs AC Ajaccio, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2023-24
1 0
Full Time
Mon 5 Feb 2024 · 19:45 UTC Armand Cesari HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Bastia vs AC AjaccioLigue 2 at Armand Cesari.

Match Details

  • Referee Olivier Thual

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Feb AC Ajaccio H 1–0 W
27 Jan Valenciennes FC A 1–3 L
23 Jan SM Caen H 1–2 L
13 Jan Angers SCO H 2–0 W
19 Dec AS Saint-Étienne A 2–3 L
16 Dec US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Feb SC Bastia A 0–1 L
27 Jan US Concarneau H 1–0 W
23 Jan USL Dunkerque A 0–2 L
13 Jan ES Troyes AC A 1–3 L
19 Dec Valenciennes FC H 2–1 W
16 Dec AJ Auxerre A 0–2 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! SC Bastia welcome AC Ajaccio for this crunch clash at Armand Cesari.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' AC Ajaccio come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Valentin Jacob, as he is very good at scoring at Armand Cesari with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SC Bastia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 29' Poor challenge from Christophe Vincent. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 34' The travelling AC Ajaccio supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 39' A quiet spell here at Armand Cesari. SC Bastia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 44' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 49' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 54' Migouel Alfarela has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 54 minutes.
  • 59' Al Hassan Toure makes way for Ben Hamed Toure at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Ajaccio.
  • 64' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Christophe Vincent made 174 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 69' SC Bastia have won 197 goals from 174 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 71' A tactical swap from SC BastiaFlorian Bianchini on, Migouel Alfarela off on 71 minutes.
  • 76' The referee has no hesitation. Christopher Ibayi is booked for AC Ajaccio — card on 76.
  • 76' The AC Ajaccio manager makes a substitution. Thomas Mangani departs to be replaced by Yoann Touzghar.
  • 78' The supporters are chanting for Anthony Roncaglia. He replaces Gaetan Charbonnier on 78 minute.
  • 82' A moment of madness from Maxime Chanot on 82 minutes earns him a card. AC Ajaccio will be frustrated.
  • 87' The AC Ajaccio bench stirs into life. Christopher Ibayi is withdrawn and Riad Nouri gets his opportunity.
  • 90' Florian Bianchini is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 90' Felix Tomi is replacing Benjamin Santelli for the SC Bastia side.
  • It finishes all square. SC Bastia and AC Ajaccio share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.32 SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75 AC Ajaccio xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia51% Draw29% AC Ajaccio20%
Actual: SC Bastia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

SC Bastia or Draw
80%
Draw or AC Ajaccio
49%
SC Bastia or AC Ajaccio
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia32% Draw53% AC Ajaccio15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
15%
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 1
8%
3 – 0
4.6%
1 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 2
3.3%
2 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
1.5%

Asian Handicap — SC Bastia

Handicap SC Bastia covers Push AC Ajaccio covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 25% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
48%
AC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.