Wednesday , 11 November 2026

São Paulo FC vs Chapecoense AF, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 12 Mar 2026 · 23:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs Chapecoense AF — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Lucas Casagrande (Brazil)
7 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 8.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Chapecoense AF H 2–0 W
25 Feb Coritiba FBC A 1–0 W
12 Feb Gremio FBPA H 2–0 W
04 Feb Santos FC A 1–1 D
29 Jan CR Flamengo H 2–1 W
07 Dec EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar São Paulo FC A 0–2 L
11 Feb Coritiba FBC H 3–3 D
05 Feb CR Vasco da Gama A 1–1 D
28 Jan Santos FC H 4–2 W
10 Dec Fluminense FC A 0–3 L
07 Dec SC Recife H 0–1 L

Season Stats

São Paulo FC Chapecoense AF
#10 Position #20
44 Points 21
34 Played 33
12 / 8 / 14 W / D / L 4 / 9 / 20
39 Scored 33
39 Conceded 68
+0 GD -35
1.29 PPG 0.64
35% Win % 12%

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
9% Clean Sheets
Chapecoense AF this season

São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts). Chapecoense AF are 20th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chapecoense AF
0-15
3/7
16-30
4/12
31-45
4/8
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/8
76+
5/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 2 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Artur Guimaraes 4 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Chapecoense AF
Marcinho 5 G 2 A
Walter Clar 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

São Paulo FC Lineups

Chapecoense AF Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.09 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.58 Chapecoense AF xG
I would bet for: São Paulo FC to win 69% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
São Paulo FC69% Draw20% Chapecoense AF11%
Actual: São Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
89%
Draw or Chapecoense AF
31%
São Paulo FC or Chapecoense AF
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
São Paulo FC50% Draw42% Chapecoense AF8%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
14.1%
3 – 0
10%
1 – 1
9%
0 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
6%
4 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
3.3%
4 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
2.5%
1 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push Chapecoense AF covers
-2.5 25% — 75%
-2 25% 22% 53%
-1.5 47% — 53%
-1 47% 25% 29%
-0.5 71% — 29%
+0.5 92% — 8%
+1 92% 6% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
56% ✓
Chapecoense AF keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.