Coritiba FBC vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

Coritiba FBC

0 – 1

Full Time

São Paulo FC

Wed 25 Feb 2026 · 22:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Coritiba FBC vs São Paulo FC — Serie A .

Coritiba FBC 28 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Wilton Pereira Sampaio

16 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 10.1 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CR Flamengo	28	60
2	SE Palmeiras	28	57
3	CA Paranaense	28	49
4	Fluminense FC	28	48
5	EC Bahia	28	46
6	Cruzeiro EC	28	45
7	CA Mineiro	27	40
8	Santos FC	27	38
9	Coritiba FBC	28	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	36
11	São Paulo FC	27	36
12	Botafogo FR	28	35
13	EC Vitoria	28	33
14	SC Corinthians Paulista	28	32
15	Mirassol FC	28	32
16	CR Vasco da Gama	27	31
17	Gremio FBPA	28	29
18	SC Internacional	28	28
19	Clube do Remo	28	23
20	Chapecoense AF	27	18

Head-to-Head

Coritiba FBC 8 games · Avg 2.3 goals São Paulo FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-25 Coritiba FBC 0–1 São Paulo FC 2023-09-27 São Paulo FC 2–1 Coritiba FBC 2023-04-29 Coritiba FBC 1–1 São Paulo FC 2022-10-20 São Paulo FC 3–1 Coritiba FBC 2022-06-09 Coritiba FBC 1–1 São Paulo FC

Recent Form

Coritiba FBC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	São Paulo FC	H	0–1	L
11 Feb	Chapecoense AF	A	3–3	D
06 Feb	Cruzeiro EC	A	2–1	W
28 Jan	RB Bragantino	H	0–1	L
07 Dec	SC Corinthians Paulista	H	0–2	L
03 Dec	RB Bragantino	A	0–1	L

São Paulo FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Coritiba FBC	A	1–0	W
12 Feb	Gremio FBPA	H	2–0	W
04 Feb	Santos FC	A	1–1	D
29 Jan	CR Flamengo	H	2–1	W
07 Dec	EC Vitoria	A	0–1	L
03 Dec	SC Internacional	H	3–0	W

Season Stats

Coritiba FBC		São Paulo FC
#9	Position	#11
38	Points	36
28	Played	27
10 / 8 / 10	W / D / L	10 / 6 / 11
37	Scored	32
43	Conceded	30
-6	GD	+2
1.36	PPG	1.33
36%	Win %	37%

Key Stats

88% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

25% Clean Sheets
Coritiba FBC this season

26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Coritiba FBC are 9th (38 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Coritiba FBC

0-15

2/3

16-30

2/5

31-45

6/3

46-60

2/3

61-75

4/10

76+

6/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

São Paulo FC

0-15

5/–

16-30

3/4

31-45

4/3

46-60

–/9

61-75

5/2

76+

4/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Coritiba FBC

Breno Lopes	8 G	2 A
Pedro Rocha	8 G	1 A
Joaquin Lavega	5 G	2 A

São Paulo FC

Luciano	8 G	1 A
Jonathan Calleri	8 G	1 A
Ferreira	4 G
Artur Guimaraes	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Coritiba FBC get us underway at .
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Coritiba FBC.

Lineups

Coritiba FBC Lineups

São Paulo FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jonathan Calleri	4
Bruno Gomes	2
Luciano	2
Luciano Neves	2
Marcos Paulo	1
Alan Franco	1
Reinaldo	1
Islam Slimani	1

Head to Head

Coritiba FBC Form

2026-02-25 Coritiba FBC 0–1 São Paulo FC L 2026-02-11 Chapecoense AF 3–3 Coritiba FBC D 2026-02-06 Cruzeiro EC 1–2 Coritiba FBC W 2026-01-28 Coritiba FBC 0–1 RB Bragantino L 2023-12-07 Coritiba FBC 0–2 SC Corinthians Paulista L 2023-12-03 RB Bragantino 1–0 Coritiba FBC L

São Paulo FC Form

2026-02-25 Coritiba FBC 0–1 São Paulo FC W 2026-02-12 São Paulo FC 2–0 Gremio FBPA W 2026-02-04 Santos FC 1–1 São Paulo FC D 2026-01-29 São Paulo FC 2–1 CR Flamengo W 2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 São Paulo FC L 2025-12-03 São Paulo FC 3–0 SC Internacional W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

0.88 Coritiba FBC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.3 São Paulo FC xG

I would bet for: São Paulo FC or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Coritiba FBC25% Draw30% São Paulo FC45%

Actual: São Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes44% 0% No56%

Avg goals/match: 2.18

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	64%	36%
± 2.5	37%	63%
± 3.5	18%	82%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Coritiba FBC or Draw

55%

Draw or São Paulo FC

75%

Coritiba FBC or São Paulo FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Coritiba FBC18% Draw52% São Paulo FC30%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.9%

0 – 0

13.6%

0 – 1

Actual

0 – 2

9.1%

1 – 0

8.7%

1 – 2

8.2%

2 – 1

5.5%

2 – 0

4.2%

0 – 3

3.9%

2 – 2

3.7%

1 – 3

3.6%

2 – 3

1.7%

Asian Handicap — Coritiba FBC

Handicap	Coritiba FBC covers	Push	São Paulo FC covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	6%	92%
-1.5	8%	—	92%
-1	8%	16%	76%
-0.5	24%	—	76%
+0.5	56%	—	44%
+1	56%	24%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	13%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Coritiba FBC keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet

42% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.