Monday , 10 August 2026

Real Sporting de Gijon vs Málaga CF, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
Sun 4 Jan 2026 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Sporting de Gijon vs Málaga CFSegunda Division .

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Morilla Turrion (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Málaga CF H 1–3 L
20 Dec CD Leganes A 1–0 W
13 Dec Granada CF H 1–0 W
06 Dec Real Sociedad B A 1–0 W
28 Nov Andorra CF H 1–1 D
23 Nov SD Huesca A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Real Sporting de Gijon A 3–1 W
21 Dec UD Almería H 2–1 W
14 Dec Albacete Balompie A 3–1 W
08 Dec Real Zaragoza H 1–1 D
29 Nov Real Valladolid CF A 1–1 D
23 Nov CD Mirandés H 3–2 W

Season Stats

Real Sporting de Gijon Málaga CF
#9 Position #4
61 Points 73
42 Played 42
18 / 7 / 17 W / D / L 21 / 10 / 11
60 Scored 75
54 Conceded 52
+6 GD +23
1.45 PPG 1.74
43% Win % 50%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Sporting de Gijon are 9th (61 pts). Málaga CF are 4th (73 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Real Sporting de Gijon Lineups

Málaga CF Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.3 Real Sporting de Gijon xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.02 Málaga CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Sporting de Gijon26% Draw25% Málaga CF49%
Actual: Málaga CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Real Sporting de Gijon or Draw
50%
Draw or Málaga CF
74%
Real Sporting de Gijon or Málaga CF
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Sporting de Gijon20% Draw41% Málaga CF39%
Actual: Málaga CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
7.4%
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
6%
2 – 1
5.9%
0 – 0
5.1%
0 – 3
4.9%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 0
4%
1 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Real Sporting de Gijon

Handicap Real Sporting de Gijon covers Push Málaga CF covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 13% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 47% 53%
+1 47% 21% 32%
+1.5 68% 32%
+2 68% 16% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

Real Sporting de Gijon keeps clean sheet
14%
Málaga CF keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.