RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Akron Tolyatti, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2025-26

RFK Akhmat Grozny

3 – 0

Full Time

FK Akron Tolyatti

Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 11:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Akron Tolyatti — RFPL .

RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
FK Akron Tolyatti 30 games · 27 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

RFK Akhmat Grozny 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals FK Akron Tolyatti

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-27 RFK Akhmat Grozny 3–0 FK Akron Tolyatti 2025-05-11 FK Akron Tolyatti 3–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2024-08-31 RFK Akhmat Grozny 0–0 FK Akron Tolyatti

Recent Form

RFK Akhmat Grozny

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	FK Akron Tolyatti	H	3–0	W
20 Sep	FK Nizhny Novgorod	A	2–1	W
13 Sep	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	H	1–1	D
30 Aug	FK Rostov	A	1–1	D
22 Aug	FK Orenburg	A	2–2	D
16 Aug	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	H	3–1	W

FK Akron Tolyatti

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	0–3	L
20 Sep	FK Rubin Kazan	H	2–2	D
13 Sep	FK Krasnodar	A	1–2	L
31 Aug	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	H	0–2	L
24 Aug	PFC CSKA Moskva	A	1–3	L
17 Aug	FK Orenburg	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

RFK Akhmat Grozny		FK Akron Tolyatti
#9	Position	#13
37	Points	27
30	Played	30
9 / 10 / 11	W / D / L	6 / 9 / 15
35	Scored	35
39	Conceded	53
-4	GD	-18
1.23	PPG	0.90
30%	Win %	20%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts). FK Akron Tolyatti are 13th (27 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. FK Akron Tolyatti kicks off things out of here…
FK Akron Tolyatti will have plenty to reflect on. RFK Akhmat Grozny were simply the better side today.

Lineups

RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups

FK Akron Tolyatti Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Georgi Melkadze	1
Vladimir Khubulov	1
Dmitriy Pestryakov	1
Ifet Dakovac	1
Mohamed Amine Talal	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.07 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.95 FK Akron Tolyatti xG

I would bet for: RFK Akhmat Grozny to win 62% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

RFK Akhmat Grozny62% Draw22% FK Akron Tolyatti16%

Actual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 3.02

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	36%	64%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw

84%

Draw or FK Akron Tolyatti

38%

RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Akron Tolyatti

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

RFK Akhmat Grozny44% Draw42% FK Akron Tolyatti14%

Actual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.4%

2 – 0

10.3%

2 – 1

9.6%

1 – 0

9.5%

3 – 0

Actual

3 – 1

6.6%

0 – 0

6.5%

2 – 2

4.5%

1 – 2

4.4%

0 – 1

3.9%

4 – 0

3.6%

4 – 1

3.5%

Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny

Handicap	RFK Akhmat Grozny covers	Push	FK Akron Tolyatti covers
-2.5	20%	—	80%
-2	20%	19%	61%
-1.5	39%	—	61%
-1	39%	23%	38%
-0.5	62%	—	38%
+0.5	84%	—	16%
+1	84%	10%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet

39% ✗

FK Akron Tolyatti keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.