Qarabag Agdam FK vs Valletta FC, 2016

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Premier League 2016/17 · 2016

Qarabag Agdam FK

1 – 0

Full Time

Valletta FC

Fri 5 May 2017 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Qarabag Agdam FK vs Valletta FC — Premier League .

Qarabag Agdam FK 0 games · 0 pts
Valletta FC 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Qarabag Agdam FK 8.50

Draw 5.25

Valletta FC 1.40

Head-to-Head

Qarabag Agdam FK 8 games · Avg 3.0 goals Valletta FC

Last 5 meetings

2017-05-05 Qarabag Agdam FK 1–0 Valletta FC 2016-11-19 Valletta FC 3–2 Qarabag Agdam FK 2016-03-02 Qarabag Agdam FK 1–0 Valletta FC 2015-11-22 Valletta FC 4–1 Qarabag Agdam FK 2015-02-22 Valletta FC 2–2 Qarabag Agdam FK

Recent Form

Qarabag Agdam FK

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 May	Valletta FC	H	1–0	W
29 Apr	FK Crvena Zvezda	A	0–0	D
22 Apr	FK Spartaks Jurmala	H	0–0	D
15 Apr	FC Midtjylland	A	2–2	D
08 Apr	HSK Zrinjski Mostar	H	1–0	W
05 Apr	Helsingin JK	A	0–3	L

Valletta FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 May	Qarabag Agdam FK	A	0–1	L
30 Apr	Helsingin JK	H	2–0	W
26 Apr	Cork City FC	A	1–0	W
22 Apr	FK Suduva Marijampole	A	2–4	L
15 Apr	FK Sutjeska Niksic	H	4–0	W
08 Apr	The New Saints FC	H	4–0	W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Qarabag Agdam FK and Valletta FC.
Valletta FC will have plenty to reflect on. Qarabag Agdam FK were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Qarabag Agdam FK Lineups

Valletta FC Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

Qarabag Agdam FK Form

2017-05-05 Qarabag Agdam FK 1–0 Valletta FC W 2017-04-29 FK Crvena Zvezda 0–0 Qarabag Agdam FK D 2017-04-22 Qarabag Agdam FK 0–0 FK Spartaks Jurmala D 2017-04-15 FC Midtjylland 2–2 Qarabag Agdam FK D 2017-04-08 Qarabag Agdam FK 1–0 HSK Zrinjski Mostar W 2017-04-05 Helsingin JK 3–0 Qarabag Agdam FK L

Valletta FC Form

2017-05-05 Qarabag Agdam FK 1–0 Valletta FC L 2017-04-30 Valletta FC 2–0 Helsingin JK W 2017-04-26 Cork City FC 0–1 Valletta FC W 2017-04-22 FK Suduva Marijampole 4–2 Valletta FC L 2017-04-15 Valletta FC 4–0 FK Sutjeska Niksic W 2017-04-08 Valletta FC 4–0 The New Saints FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.28 Qarabag Agdam FK xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.02 Valletta FC xG

I would bet for: Qarabag Agdam FK or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Qarabag Agdam FK44% Draw29% Valletta FC27%

Actual: Qarabag Agdam FK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.3

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	67%	33%
± 2.5	40%	60%
± 3.5	21%	79%
± 4.5	9%	91%

Double Chance

Qarabag Agdam FK or Draw

73%

Draw or Valletta FC

56%

Qarabag Agdam FK or Valletta FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Qarabag Agdam FK28% Draw51% Valletta FC21%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14%

0 – 0

12.3%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

9.1%

2 – 1

8.1%

2 – 0

7.9%

1 – 2

6.5%

0 – 2

5.1%

2 – 2

4.2%

3 – 1

3.5%

3 – 0

3.3%

1 – 3

2.2%

Asian Handicap — Qarabag Agdam FK

Handicap	Qarabag Agdam FK covers	Push	Valletta FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	22%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	17%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet

37% ✗

Valletta FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.