Valletta FC vs Qarabag Agdam FK, 2016

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Premier League 2016/17 · 2016

Valletta FC

3 – 2

Full Time

Qarabag Agdam FK

Sat 19 Nov 2016 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Valletta FC vs Qarabag Agdam FK — Premier League .

Valletta FC 0 games · 0 pts
Qarabag Agdam FK 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Valletta FC 1.50

Draw 4.50

Qarabag Agdam FK 7.50

Head-to-Head

Valletta FC 8 games · Avg 3.0 goals Qarabag Agdam FK

Last 5 meetings

2016-11-19 Valletta FC 3–2 Qarabag Agdam FK 2016-03-02 Qarabag Agdam FK 1–0 Valletta FC 2015-11-22 Valletta FC 4–1 Qarabag Agdam FK 2015-02-22 Valletta FC 2–2 Qarabag Agdam FK 2014-08-16 Qarabag Agdam FK 0–1 Valletta FC

Recent Form

Valletta FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Nov	Qarabag Agdam FK	H	3–2	W
06 Nov	Helsingin JK	A	1–1	D
02 Nov	SV Drochtersen/Assel	H	0–1	L
29 Oct	KF Shkendija 79	H	1–1	D
22 Oct	FK Sutjeska Niksic	A	0–0	D
18 Oct	SV Drochtersen/Assel	A	0–0	D

Qarabag Agdam FK

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Nov	Valletta FC	A	2–3	L
05 Nov	FK Crvena Zvezda	H	1–1	D
30 Oct	FK Spartaks Jurmala	A	0–2	L
22 Oct	FC Midtjylland	H	1–0	W
15 Oct	Cork City FC	A	1–0	W
01 Oct	PSV	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Valletta FC and Qarabag Agdam FK get this one started.
It finishes all square. Valletta FC and Qarabag Agdam FK share the spoils 3-2.

Lineups

Valletta FC Lineups

Qarabag Agdam FK Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

Valletta FC Form

2016-11-19 Valletta FC 3–2 Qarabag Agdam FK W 2016-11-06 Helsingin JK 1–1 Valletta FC D 2016-11-02 Valletta FC 0–1 SV Drochtersen/Assel L 2016-10-29 Valletta FC 1–1 KF Shkendija 79 D 2016-10-22 FK Sutjeska Niksic 0–0 Valletta FC D 2016-10-18 SV Drochtersen/Assel 0–0 Valletta FC D

Qarabag Agdam FK Form

2016-11-19 Valletta FC 3–2 Qarabag Agdam FK L 2016-11-05 Qarabag Agdam FK 1–1 FK Crvena Zvezda D 2016-10-30 FK Spartaks Jurmala 2–0 Qarabag Agdam FK L 2016-10-22 Qarabag Agdam FK 1–0 FC Midtjylland W 2016-10-15 Cork City FC 0–1 Qarabag Agdam FK W 2016-10-01 Qarabag Agdam FK 1–1 PSV D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.61 Valletta FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.17 Qarabag Agdam FK xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Valletta FC49% Draw26% Qarabag Agdam FK25%

Actual: Valletta FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.78

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

Valletta FC or Draw

75%

Draw or Qarabag Agdam FK

51%

Valletta FC or Qarabag Agdam FK

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Valletta FC33% Draw46% Qarabag Agdam FK21%

Actual: Qarabag Agdam FK win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.6%

1 – 0

9.1%

2 – 1

0 – 0

8.1%

2 – 0

7.9%

1 – 2

6.6%

0 – 1

6.3%

2 – 2

5.3%

3 – 1

4.9%

0 – 2

4.2%

3 – 0

4.1%

3 – 2

Actual

Asian Handicap — Valletta FC

Handicap	Valletta FC covers	Push	Qarabag Agdam FK covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	22%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	16%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Valletta FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.