Saturday , 14 November 2026

Portugal vs France, European Championship 2024 QUARTER FINALS

3 – 5
3 – 5 pen
Full Time
Fri 5 Jul 2024 · 19:00 UTC Volksparkstadion 47,789 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Portugal vs France — European Championship at Volksparkstadion.

  • Portugal 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • France 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2 Dan Cook
23 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 12.2 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul France H 3–5 L
01 Jul Slovenia H 3–0 W
26 Jun Georgia A 0–2 L
22 Jun Turkey A 3–0 W
18 Jun Czechia H 2–1 W
10 Dec Morocco A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul Portugal A 5–3 W
01 Jul Belgium H 1–0 W
25 Jun Poland H 1–1 D
21 Jun Netherlands A 0–0 D
17 Jun Austria A 1–0 W
18 Dec Argentina A 5–7 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Portugal this season
50% Clean Sheets
France this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Portugal
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
France
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Portugal
Francisco Conceicao 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Volksparkstadion will turn into a battlefield for Portugal and France.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' Portugal are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against France's 4-3-1-2 shape.
  • 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Portugal and France are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ousmane Dembele made 525 appearances and scored 85 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Portugal side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 40' Mike Maignan has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 45' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with France winning 100% of all matches.
  • 50' France is showing some good football. However, France are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 55' The home supporters are growing impatient. Portugal must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 60' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 65' France are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 67' It is a substitution in France team. Antoine Griezmann is replaced by Ousmane Dembele on 67 minute.
  • 72' Cristiano Ronaldo is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for France tonight.
  • 74' Nelson Semedo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joao Cancelo on 74 minute.
  • 79' Portugal receives a card for a hard tackle on 79.
  • 84' William Saliba picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 86' The France manager makes a substitution. Randal Kolo Muani departs to be replaced by Marcus Thuram-Ulien.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Portugal team. Joao Palhinha is replaced by Ruben Neves on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-5.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.87 Portugal xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84 France xG
I would bet for: Portugal or France 75% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Portugal38% Draw25% France37%
Actual: France win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Portugal or Draw
63%
Draw or France
62%
Portugal or France
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Portugal31% Draw40% France29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–5 not predicted
3 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
4.4%
3 – 2
4.3%
2 – 3
4.3%
0 – 2
4.2%
1 – 0
4%
0 – 1
4%

Asian Handicap — Portugal

Handicap Portugal covers Push France covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 18% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 17% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 11% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Portugal keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
France keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.