Portugal vs France, European Championship 2024 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Portugal vs France — European Championship at Volksparkstadion.
Match Details
- Referee Michael Oliver
- Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
- Assistant 2 Dan Cook
20 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 10.4 goals/game
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
Portugal this season
Portugal this season
50%
Clean Sheets
France this season
France this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portugal
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
France
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portugal
| Francisco Conceicao | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Portugal welcome France for this crunch clash at Volksparkstadion.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. France is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Portugal and France are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 15' France looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 20' Dayot Upamecano is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for France tonight.
- 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Portugal side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering France that had 178 games and scored 94 goals.
- 40' Both keepers have barely been tested. Portugal and France are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 45' Cristiano Ronaldo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 50' Nuno Mendes has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 55' Over 55 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 60' France are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 65' Eduardo Camavinga is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Portugal so far.
- 67' The France bench stirs into life. Antoine Griezmann is withdrawn and Ousmane Dembele gets his opportunity.
- 72' Portugal started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 72.
- 74' A change in the Portugal ranks — Joao Cancelo exits the field as Nelson Semedo enters on 74.
- 79' Joao Palhinha has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 79.
- 84' A meaty challenge results in booking for William Saliba on 84.
- 86' Time for substitution for France. Randal Kolo Muani is replaced by Marcus Thuram-Ulien.
- 90' Fresh legs for Portugal! Ruben Neves comes on to replace Joao Palhinha.
- France celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Portugal Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
-
17
Rafael Leao ↓ Joao Felix 106'
- 7
-
20
Joao Cancelo ↓ Nelson Semedo 74'
- 8
- 3
- 4
-
6
Joao Palhinha ↓ Ruben Neves 90'
- 22
- 19
-
23
Vitinha ↓ Matheus Nunes 119'
Bench
- 5
- 1
-
18
Ruben Neves ↑ 90'
- 21
-
2
Nelson Semedo ↑ 74'
- 25
- 13
-
16
Matheus Nunes ↑ 119'
- 12
-
11
Joao Felix ↑ 106'
- 9
- 14
-
26
Francisco Conceicao ↑ 74'
- 24
- 15
Coach
Roberto Martínez
France Lineups
4-3-1-2Starting XI
- 13
-
10
Kylian Mbappe ↓ Bradley Barcola 106'
- 17
- 16
- 12
- 5
- 8
- 4
- 22
- 7
- 6
Bench
- 9
- 23
- 1
- 3
-
19
Youssouf Fofana ↑ 91'
- 20
- 2
- 24
- 21
-
11
Ousmane Dembele ↑ 67'
-
15
Marcus Thuram-Ulien ↑ 86'
-
25
Bradley Barcola ↑ 106'
- 18
Coach
Didier Deschamps
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Karim Benzema | 3 |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 2 |
| Eder | 1 |
| Eder | 1 |
Head to Head
Portugal Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.87
Portugal xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84
France xG
I would bet for:
Portugal or France 75% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: France win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.71
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
Portugal or Draw
63%
Draw or France
62%
Portugal or France
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–5 not predicted3 – 5Actual
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
4.4%
3 – 2
4.3%
2 – 3
4.3%
0 – 2
4.2%
1 – 0
4%
0 – 1
4%
Asian Handicap — Portugal
| Handicap | Portugal covers | Push | France covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 12% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 18% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 17% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Portugal keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
France keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.