Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Portugal vs France, European Championship 2024 QUARTER FINALS

3 – 5
3 – 5 pen
Full Time
Fri 5 Jul 2024 · 19:00 UTC Volksparkstadion 47,789 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Portugal vs France — European Championship at Volksparkstadion.

  • Portugal 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • France 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2 Dan Cook
17 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul France H 3–5 L
01 Jul Slovenia H 3–0 W
26 Jun Georgia A 0–2 L
22 Jun Turkey A 3–0 W
18 Jun Czechia H 2–1 W
10 Dec Morocco A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul Portugal A 5–3 W
01 Jul Belgium H 1–0 W
25 Jun Poland H 1–1 D
21 Jun Netherlands A 0–0 D
17 Jun Austria A 1–0 W
18 Dec Argentina A 5–7 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Portugal this season
50% Clean Sheets
France this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Portugal
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
France
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Portugal
Francisco Conceicao 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Portugal welcome France for this crunch clash at Volksparkstadion.
  • 5' France is showing some good football. However, France are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' Portugal are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' Joao Palhinha is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Portugal so far.
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 25' Randal Kolo Muani, a France forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' France started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 40' France fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 45' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 50' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 50 minutes.
  • 55' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 60' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 65' The energy levels are beginning to show. Didier Deschamps might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 67' Ousmane Dembele has so much to prove this time. He replaces Antoine Griezmann on 67 minute.
  • 72' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 74' The whistle greets Joao Cancelo as he departs to be replaced by Nelson Semedo.
  • 79' That is a card for Portugal. Joao Palhinha will be fuming at that decision.
  • 84' It’s gonna be a card for William Saliba.
  • 86' Fresh legs for France! Marcus Thuram-Ulien comes on to replace Randal Kolo Muani.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Portugal — Ruben Neves on, Joao Palhinha off on 90 minutes.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-5 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.87 Portugal xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84 France xG
I would bet for: Portugal or France 75% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Portugal38% Draw25% France37%
Actual: France win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Portugal or Draw
63%
Draw or France
62%
Portugal or France
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Portugal31% Draw40% France29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–5 not predicted
3 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
4.4%
3 – 2
4.3%
2 – 3
4.3%
0 – 2
4.2%
1 – 0
4%
0 – 1
4%

Asian Handicap — Portugal

Handicap Portugal covers Push France covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 18% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 17% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 11% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Portugal keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
France keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.