Real Salt Lake vs Portland Timbers, MLS 2026 CONFERENCE QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Real Salt Lake vs Portland Timbers — MLS at Rio Tinto Stadium.
- Real Salt Lake 34 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
- Portland Timbers 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Ismail Elfath
- Referee Corey Parker
- Referee David Gantar
- Referee Kyle Atkins
- Referee Ramy Touchan
14 games this season
🟨 2.1/game
⚽ 6.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct | Portland Timbers | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Oct | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | Houston Dynamo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | New England Revolution | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Sep | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct | Real Salt Lake | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Oct | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | Sporting Kansas City | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | New England Revolution | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Sep | Minnesota United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | New York Red Bulls | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Real Salt Lake | Portland Timbers | |
|---|---|---|
| #24 | Position | #22 |
| 45 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 13 / 6 / 15 | W / D / L | 13 / 7 / 14 |
| 53 | Scored | 62 |
| 52 | Conceded | 61 |
| +1 | GD | +1 |
| 1.32 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 38% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
Real Salt Lake this season
Real Salt Lake this season
9%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
Real Salt Lake are 24th (45 pts). Portland Timbers are 22nd (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Salt Lake
0-15
9/7
16-30
5/7
31-45
6/6
46-60
8/7
61-75
7/7
76+
8/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Portland Timbers
0-15
7/10
16-30
8/10
31-45
9/9
46-60
6/5
61-75
10/4
76+
12/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Salt Lake
| Sergi Solans | 15 G | 4 A |
| Zavier Gozo | 6 G | 3 A |
Portland Timbers
| Kristoffer Velde | 12 G | 6 A |
| Ariel Lassiter | 9 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Kelsy | 9 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Real Salt Lake vs Portland Timbers — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' Kyle Beckerman is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Portland Timbers so far.
- 20' Real Salt Lake currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 25' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nick Rimando is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Portland Timbers.
- 28' Damir Kreilach adds to his 0 season tally! Real Salt Lake lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 33' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 38' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Giovanni Savarese will be considering his options from the bench.
- 39' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Sebastian Blanco.
- 44' Poor challenge from Jefferson Savarino. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 47' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Dairon Asprilla makes it 1-1.
- 52' It looks surprising Portland Timbers does not make any changes. Everton Luiz has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 57' A moment of madness from Kyle Beckerman on 57 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Real Salt Lake will be frustrated.
- 62' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Salt Lake needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 63' Another substitution for Portland Timbers to replace Jeremy Ebobisse by Diego Valeri on 63 minute.
- 68' Real Salt Lake are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Portland Timbers's shape.
- 73' Real Salt Lake seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 77' The crowd applauds Damir Kreilach as he leaves the pitch. Sam Johnson steps in for Real Salt Lake.
- 82' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 87' Real Salt Lake is taking the lead after the goal scored by Jefferson Savarino on 87.
- 89' A change in the Real Salt Lake ranks — Albert Rusnak exits the field as Kelyn Rowe enters on 89.
- 90' Claude Dielna is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jorge Villafana at the 90 minute mark.
- With this win, Real Salt Lake is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Real Salt Lake Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 14
-
8
Damir Kreilach ↓ Sam Johnson 77'
- 18
- 5
-
11
Albert Rusnak ↓ Kelyn Rowe 89'
- 30
- 7
- 22
-
17
Corey Baird ↓ Joao Plata 77'
- 4
Bench
- 15
-
10
Joao Plata ↑ 77'
- 12
- 23
- 51
-
6
Kelyn Rowe ↑ 89'
-
50
Sam Johnson ↑ 77'
Coach
Freddy Juarez
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Andy Polo ↓ Marvin Loria 89'
-
4
Jorge Villafana ↓ Claude Dielna 90'
- 21
- 33
- 25
- 27
- 22
- 12
- 10
-
17
Jeremy Ebobisse ↓ Diego Valeri 63'
- 2
Bench
-
5
Claude Dielna ↑ 90'
-
8
Diego Valeri ↑ 63'
- 16
- 14
- 40
-
44
Marvin Loria ↑ 89'
- 31
Coach
Giovanni Savarese
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Felipe Mora | 7 |
| Sebastian Blanco | 7 |
| Damir Kreilach | 5 |
| Dairon Asprilla | 4 |
| Diego Chara | 3 |
| Yimmi Chara | 3 |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 |
| Bode Davis | 2 |
Head to Head
Real Salt Lake Form
2019-10-20
Real Salt Lake
2–1
Portland Timbers
W
2019-10-06
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
0–1
Real Salt Lake
W
2019-09-29
Real Salt Lake
2–1
Houston Dynamo
W
2019-09-26
Real Salt Lake
1–2
Los Angeles Galaxy
L
2019-09-21
New England Revolution
0–0
Real Salt Lake
D
2019-09-15
Minnesota United FC
3–1
Real Salt Lake
L
Portland Timbers Form
2019-10-20
Real Salt Lake
2–1
Portland Timbers
L
2019-10-06
Portland Timbers
3–1
San Jose Earthquakes
W
2019-09-29
Sporting Kansas City
2–2
Portland Timbers
D
2019-09-26
Portland Timbers
2–2
New England Revolution
D
2019-09-22
Portland Timbers
0–0
Minnesota United FC
D
2019-09-19
Portland Timbers
0–2
New York Red Bulls
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.75
Real Salt Lake xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7
Portland Timbers xG
I would bet for:
Real Salt Lake or Portland Timbers 75% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Salt Lake win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
Real Salt Lake or Draw
66%
Draw or Portland Timbers
58%
Real Salt Lake or Portland Timbers
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Real Salt Lake win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 0
4.9%
2 – 0
4.9%
0 – 1
4.8%
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 2
3.9%
Asian Handicap — Real Salt Lake
| Handicap | Real Salt Lake covers | Push | Portland Timbers covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 12% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 18% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 18% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Real Salt Lake keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

