Real Salt Lake vs Portland Timbers, MLS 2026 CONFERENCE QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Real Salt Lake vs Portland Timbers — MLS at Rio Tinto Stadium.
- Real Salt Lake 27 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
- Portland Timbers 27 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Ismail Elfath
- Referee Corey Parker
- Referee David Gantar
- Referee Kyle Atkins
- Referee Ramy Touchan
14 games this season
🟨 2.1/game
⚽ 6.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct | Portland Timbers | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Oct | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | Houston Dynamo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | New England Revolution | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Sep | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct | Real Salt Lake | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Oct | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | Sporting Kansas City | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | New England Revolution | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Sep | Minnesota United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | New York Red Bulls | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Real Salt Lake | Portland Timbers | |
|---|---|---|
| #27 | Position | #26 |
| 32 | Points | 32 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 9 / 5 / 13 | W / D / L | 9 / 5 / 13 |
| 40 | Scored | 48 |
| 44 | Conceded | 51 |
| -4 | GD | -3 |
| 1.19 | PPG | 1.19 |
| 33% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Real Salt Lake this season
Real Salt Lake this season
4%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
Real Salt Lake are 27th (32 pts). Portland Timbers are 26th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Salt Lake
0-15
5/6
16-30
4/5
31-45
5/5
46-60
5/6
61-75
5/7
76+
6/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Portland Timbers
0-15
4/9
16-30
7/9
31-45
5/8
46-60
5/4
61-75
7/–
76+
10/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Salt Lake
| Sergi Solans | 11 G | 3 A |
| Zavier Gozo | 6 G | 3 A |
Portland Timbers
| Kevin Kelsy | 9 G | 2 A |
| Kristoffer Velde | 8 G | 5 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Rio Tinto Stadium as Real Salt Lake face off against Portland Timbers in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' Real Salt Lake are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Portland Timbers backline.
- 15' Real Salt Lake are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Portland Timbers's shape.
- 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Real Salt Lake side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 25' Sebastian Blanco has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 28' Real Salt Lake is taking the lead after the goal scored by Damir Kreilach on 28.
- 33' Marvin Loria has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 23 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 38' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 39' Sebastian Blanco picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 44' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Jefferson Savarino on 44 minutes.
- 47' A goal from the Colombia international Dairon Asprilla! He fires home on 47 to make it 1-1!
- 52' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 57' Real Salt Lake receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 57.
- 62' Cristhian Paredes has been relatively quiet despite scoring 18 goals in his last 296 appearances.
- 63' Another substitution for Portland Timbers to replace Jeremy Ebobisse by Diego Valeri on 63 minute.
- 68' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Portland Timbers winning 50% of all matches.
- 73' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 77' Time for substitution for Real Salt Lake. Damir Kreilach is replaced by Sam Johnson.
- 82' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jeremy Ebobisse, as he is very good at scoring at Rio Tinto Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 87' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jefferson Savarino makes it 2-1.
- 89' A tactical swap from Real Salt Lake — Kelyn Rowe on, Albert Rusnak off on 89 minutes.
- 90' The Portland Timbers bench stirs into life. Jorge Villafana is withdrawn and Claude Dielna gets his opportunity.
- Another three points for Real Salt Lake.
Lineups
Real Salt Lake Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 14
-
8
Damir Kreilach ↓ Sam Johnson 77'
- 18
- 5
-
11
Albert Rusnak ↓ Kelyn Rowe 89'
- 30
- 7
- 22
-
17
Corey Baird ↓ Joao Plata 77'
- 4
Bench
- 15
-
10
Joao Plata ↑ 77'
- 12
- 23
- 51
-
6
Kelyn Rowe ↑ 89'
-
50
Sam Johnson ↑ 77'
Coach
Freddy Juarez
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Andy Polo ↓ Marvin Loria 89'
-
4
Jorge Villafana ↓ Claude Dielna 90'
- 21
- 33
- 25
- 27
- 22
- 12
- 10
-
17
Jeremy Ebobisse ↓ Diego Valeri 63'
- 2
Bench
-
5
Claude Dielna ↑ 90'
-
8
Diego Valeri ↑ 63'
- 16
- 14
- 40
-
44
Marvin Loria ↑ 89'
- 31
Coach
Giovanni Savarese
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Felipe Mora | 7 |
| Sebastian Blanco | 7 |
| Damir Kreilach | 5 |
| Dairon Asprilla | 4 |
| Diego Chara | 3 |
| Yimmi Chara | 3 |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 |
| Rubio Rubin | 2 |
Head to Head
Real Salt Lake Form
2019-10-20
Real Salt Lake
2–1
Portland Timbers
W
2019-10-06
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
0–1
Real Salt Lake
W
2019-09-29
Real Salt Lake
2–1
Houston Dynamo
W
2019-09-26
Real Salt Lake
1–2
Los Angeles Galaxy
L
2019-09-21
New England Revolution
0–0
Real Salt Lake
D
2019-09-15
Minnesota United FC
3–1
Real Salt Lake
L
Portland Timbers Form
2019-10-20
Real Salt Lake
2–1
Portland Timbers
L
2019-10-06
Portland Timbers
3–1
San Jose Earthquakes
W
2019-09-29
Sporting Kansas City
2–2
Portland Timbers
D
2019-09-26
Portland Timbers
2–2
New England Revolution
D
2019-09-22
Portland Timbers
0–0
Minnesota United FC
D
2019-09-19
Portland Timbers
0–2
New York Red Bulls
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.76
Real Salt Lake xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73
Portland Timbers xG
I would bet for:
Real Salt Lake or Portland Timbers 76% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Salt Lake win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
Real Salt Lake or Draw
66%
Draw or Portland Timbers
59%
Real Salt Lake or Portland Timbers
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Real Salt Lake win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 0
4.7%
0 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
4.5%
0 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4%
Asian Handicap — Real Salt Lake
| Handicap | Real Salt Lake covers | Push | Portland Timbers covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 18% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 18% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Real Salt Lake keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

