Thursday , 2 July 2026

Port Vale FC vs Exeter City FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 1

FA Cup · 2022-23
Sat 5 Nov 2022 · 15:00 UTC Vale Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Port Vale FC vs Exeter City FCFA Cup at Vale Park.

Head-to-Head

3
4
Port Vale FC 7 games · Avg 3.3 goals Exeter City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov Exeter City FC H 2–3 L
01 Nov Wycombe Wanderers FC A 2–2 D
29 Oct Lincoln City FC H 1–0 W
25 Oct Ipswich Town FC H 2–3 L
22 Oct Cambridge United FC A 1–0 W
15 Oct Forest Green Rovers FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov Port Vale FC A 3–2 W
31 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC A 2–4 L
25 Oct Derby County FC A 0–0 D
22 Oct Fleetwood Town FC H 2–1 W
15 Oct Oxford United FC H 2–4 L
11 Oct Charlton Athletic FC A 2–4 L

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
67% Clean Sheets
Port Vale FC this season
67% Clean Sheets
Exeter City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Port Vale FC
Ben Waine 3 G
Devante Cole 2 G 2 A
Ruari Paton 2 G
Exeter City FC
Jack Aitchison 2 G
Jayden Wareham 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Port Vale FC Lineups

Exeter City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.51 Port Vale FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85 Exeter City FC xG
I would bet for: Port Vale FC or Exeter City FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC32% Draw26% Exeter City FC42%
Actual: Exeter City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Port Vale FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Exeter City FC
68%
Port Vale FC or Exeter City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC25% Draw42% Exeter City FC33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.8%
1 – 3
5.3%
0 – 0
5%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4%
0 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Port Vale FC

Handicap Port Vale FC covers Push Exeter City FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 16% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 20% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
17%
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.