Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sweden vs Poland, European Championship 2021 GROUP STAGE

3 – 2
Full Time
Wed 23 Jun 2021 · 16:00 UTC Saint Petersburg Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sweden vs Poland — European Championship at Saint Petersburg Stadium.

  • Sweden 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Poland 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Chris Kavanagh
  • Referee Stuart Burt
  • Referee Anthony Taylor
  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Referee Simon Bennett
  • Referee Christian Dingert
5 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 12.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jun Poland H 3–2 W
18 Jun Slovakia H 1–0 W
14 Jun Spain A 0–0 D
07 Jul England H 0–2 L
03 Jul Switzerland H 1–0 W
27 Jun Mexico A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jun Sweden A 2–3 L
19 Jun Spain A 1–1 D
14 Jun Slovakia H 1–2 L
28 Jun Japan A 1–0 W
24 Jun Colombia H 0–3 L
19 Jun Senegal H 1–2 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Poland this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Poland
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Poland
Krzysztof Piatek 1 G
Adam Buksa 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Poland kicks off things out of here…
  • 2' GOAL! Emil Forsberg scores on 2.
  • 7' Sweden currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' Sweden receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 10.
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 20' Mateusz Klich needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 25' Sweden are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 40' Jan Bednarek is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sweden so far.
  • 45' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 46' Przemyslaw Frankowski is replacing Tymoteusz Puchacz for the Poland side.
  • 51' With 2 assists to his name this season, Piotr Zielinski is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Poland.
  • 55' The whistle greets Robin Quaison as he departs to be replaced by Dejan Kulusevski.
  • 59' Emil Forsberg adds to his 3 season tally! Sweden lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 61' What a strike from Robert Lewandowski! The score is 2-1.
  • 61' Jakub Swierczok gets the nod from Poland. He replaces Kamil Jozwiak and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 66' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Poland needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 68' The crowd applauds Alexander Isak as he leaves the pitch. Markus Berg steps in for Sweden.
  • 73' Poland ring the changes. Mateusz Klich has done his job and it is now time for Kacper Kozlowski to step up.
  • 74' The referee has no hesitation. Grzegorz Krychowiak is booked for Poland — Yellow card on 74.
  • 77' A change in the Sweden ranks — Emil Forsberg exits the field as Viktor Claesson enters on 77.
  • 78' A tactical swap from Sweden — Viktor Claesson on, Emil Forsberg off on 78 minutes.
  • 83' Poland player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 84' Robert Lewandowski adds to his 6 season tally! Poland lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 89' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sweden side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • Full Time. Sweden beats Poland

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.33 Sweden xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Poland xG
I would bet for: Sweden or Poland 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sweden42% Draw27% Poland31%
Actual: Sweden win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Sweden or Draw
69%
Draw or Poland
58%
Sweden or Poland
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sweden26% Draw47% Poland27%
Actual: Sweden win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 0
6.1%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Sweden

Handicap Sweden covers Push Poland covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Sweden keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Poland keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.