Sweden vs Poland, European Championship 2021 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Sweden vs Poland — European Championship at Saint Petersburg Stadium.
Match Details
- Referee Chris Kavanagh
- Referee Stuart Burt
- Referee Anthony Taylor
- Referee Michael Oliver
- Referee Simon Bennett
- Referee Christian Dingert
5 games this season
🟨 3.2/game
⚽ 12.6 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Poland this season
Poland this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Poland
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Poland
| Krzysztof Piatek | 1 G |
| Adam Buksa | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Poland kicks off things out of here…
- 2' GOAL! Emil Forsberg scores on 2.
- 7' Sweden currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' Sweden receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 10.
- 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 20' Mateusz Klich needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 25' Sweden are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 40' Jan Bednarek is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sweden so far.
- 45' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 46' Przemyslaw Frankowski is replacing Tymoteusz Puchacz for the Poland side.
- 51' With 2 assists to his name this season, Piotr Zielinski is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Poland.
- 55' The whistle greets Robin Quaison as he departs to be replaced by Dejan Kulusevski.
- 59' Emil Forsberg adds to his 3 season tally! Sweden lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 61' What a strike from Robert Lewandowski! The score is 2-1.
- 61' Jakub Swierczok gets the nod from Poland. He replaces Kamil Jozwiak and will look to change the dynamic.
- 66' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Poland needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 68' The crowd applauds Alexander Isak as he leaves the pitch. Markus Berg steps in for Sweden.
- 73' Poland ring the changes. Mateusz Klich has done his job and it is now time for Kacper Kozlowski to step up.
- 74' The referee has no hesitation. Grzegorz Krychowiak is booked for Poland — Yellow card on 74.
- 77' A change in the Sweden ranks — Emil Forsberg exits the field as Viktor Claesson enters on 77.
- 78' A tactical swap from Sweden — Viktor Claesson on, Emil Forsberg off on 78 minutes.
- 83' Poland player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 84' Robert Lewandowski adds to his 6 season tally! Poland lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
- 89' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sweden side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- Full Time. Sweden beats Poland
Lineups
Sweden Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 3
-
11
Alexander Isak ↓ Markus Berg 68'
- 22
-
10
Emil Forsberg ↓ Viktor Claesson 78'
- 1
- 8
-
2
Mikael Lustig ↓ Emil Krafth 68'
- 7
- 20
- 24
Bench
- 15
- 23
- 18
-
16
Emil Krafth ↑ 68'
- 12
-
21
Dejan Kulusevski ↑ 55'
- 14
- 13
-
17
Viktor Claesson ↑ 78'
-
9
Markus Berg ↑ 68'
- 5
- 26
Coach
Janne Andersson
Poland Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 14
- 15
- 9
- 1
- 20
- 18
- 10
- 11
-
21
Kamil Jozwiak ↓ Jakub Swierczok 61'
- 26
Bench
- 22
- 3
- 12
- 8
- 23
- 4
- 13
-
24
Jakub Swierczok ↑ 61'
- 25
-
17
Przemyslaw Placheta ↑ 78'
-
19
Przemyslaw Frankowski ↑ 46'
-
6
Kacper Kozlowski ↑ 73'
Coach
Paulo Sousa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robert Lewandowski | 2 |
| Emil Forsberg | 2 |
| Viktor Claesson | 1 |
Sweden Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.33
Sweden xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
Poland xG
I would bet for:
Sweden or Poland 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sweden win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Sweden or Draw
69%
Draw or Poland
58%
Sweden or Poland
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sweden win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–2 not predicted3 – 2Actual
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 0
6.1%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Sweden
| Handicap | Sweden covers | Push | Poland covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 19% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 19% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Sweden keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Poland keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.