Saturday , 14 November 2026

Poland vs Netherlands, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE

1 – 2
Full Time
Sun 16 Jun 2024 · 13:00 UTC Volksparkstadion 48,117 HT 45' · FT 45'
Adam Buksa 16' 1–0
1–1 29' Cody Gakpo
1–2 83' Wout Weghorst
Y 15' Joey Veerman

Overview

Match Preview

Poland vs Netherlands — European Championship at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Artur Dias (Portugal)
  • Assistant 1 Paulo Soares
  • Assistant 2 Pedro Ribeiro
3 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 7.7 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
Poland 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Netherlands

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jun Netherlands H 1–2 L
04 Dec France A 1–3 L
30 Nov Argentina H 0–2 L
26 Nov Saudi Arabia H 2–0 W
22 Nov Mexico A 0–0 D
23 Jun Sweden A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jun Poland A 2–1 W
09 Dec Argentina H 5–6 L
03 Dec United States H 3–1 W
29 Nov Qatar H 2–0 W
25 Nov Ecuador H 1–1 D
21 Nov Senegal A 2–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Poland this season
33% Clean Sheets
Netherlands this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Poland
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Netherlands
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Poland
Krzysztof Piatek 1 G
Adam Buksa 1 G
Netherlands
Cody Gakpo 3 G 1 A
Donyell Malen 2 G
Wout Weghorst 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Poland is hosting Netherlands for another epic battle.
  • 5' Netherlands are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' Kacper Urbanski has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' That is a card for Netherlands. Joey Veerman will be fuming at that decision.
  • 16' Adam Buksa doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 21' The 23-year-old Xavi Simons has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 3 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 26' Netherlands are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 29' A stunning finish from Cody Gakpo — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 34' It looks surprising Netherlands does not make any changes. Jan Bednarek has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 39' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Poland and Netherlands are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 44' Poland are deployed in a 5-3-2 today, looking to exploit space against Netherlands's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Poland team. Sebastian Szymanski is replaced by Jakub Moder on 46 minute.
  • 51' Tijjani Reijnders needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 55' Fresh legs for Poland! Karol Swiderski comes on to replace Kacper Urbanski.
  • 60' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 62' Fresh legs for Netherlands! Georginio Wijnaldum comes on to replace Joey Veerman.
  • 67' Denzel Dumfries, a Netherlands defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 72' Poland started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 72.
  • 77' Jeremie Frimpong is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Poland so far.
  • 78' Jakub Piotrowski is ready to make an impact after coming on for Piotr Zielinski at the 78 minute mark.
  • 81' Fresh legs for Netherlands! Jeremie Frimpong comes on to replace Cody Gakpo.
  • 83' A goal from the Netherlands international Wout Weghorst! He fires home on 83 to make it 1-2!
  • 86' Poland make a change. Bartosz Salamon trudges off to be replaced by Bartosz Bereszynski on 86 minutes.
  • 87' Netherlands make a change. Nathan Ake trudges off to be replaced by Mickey van de Ven on 87 minutes.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Poland.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.11 Poland xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 Netherlands xG
I would bet for: Netherlands or Draw 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Poland28% Draw29% Netherlands43%
Actual: Netherlands win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Poland or Draw
57%
Draw or Netherlands
72%
Poland or Netherlands
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Poland21% Draw48% Netherlands31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
10.1%
0 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
8%
1 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.5%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Poland

Handicap Poland covers Push Netherlands covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 16% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 22% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Poland keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Netherlands keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.