Sunday , 15 November 2026

Padova Calcio vs US Catanzaro, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
Padova Calcio
1 – 3
Full Time
US Catanzaro
Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Padova Calcio vs US Catanzaro — Serie B .

Match Details

  • Referee Maria Caputi (Italy)
7 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 4.1 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Palermo FC 11 27
2 Modena FC 2018 11 23
3 Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC 11 20
4 Mantova 1911 SSD 11 19
5 Benevento Calcio 11 16
6 Calcio Avellino SSD 11 16
7 Hellas Verona FC 11 16
8 AC Pisa 1909 11 16
9 US Cremonese 11 15
10 Padova Calcio 11 15
11 AC Cesena 11 15
12 FC Südtirol 11 15
13 SS Juve Stabia 11 12
14 SS Arezzo 11 11
15 UC Sampdoria 11 11
16 ACD Virtus Entella 11 10
17 Carrarese Calcio 11 10
18 L.R. Vicenza Virtus 11 9
19 Empoli FC 11 9
20 US Catanzaro 11 6

Head-to-Head

1
1
1
Padova Calcio 3 games · Avg 2.3 goals US Catanzaro
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-14 Padova Calcio 1–3 US Catanzaro 2025-10-19 US Catanzaro 0–1 Padova Calcio

Recent Form

Padova Calcio
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar US Catanzaro H 1–3 L
07 Mar Calcio Avellino SSD A 0–1 L
03 Mar Spezia Calcio H 2–2 D
28 Feb Modena FC 2018 A 2–1 W
21 Feb SSC Bari H 1–1 D
14 Feb UC Sampdoria A 0–1 L
US Catanzaro
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Padova Calcio A 3–1 W
08 Mar Empoli FC H 3–2 W
04 Mar Carrarese Calcio A 3–3 D
01 Mar Frosinone Calcio H 2–2 D
21 Feb ACD Virtus Entella A 3–1 W
14 Feb Mantova 1911 SSD H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Padova Calcio US Catanzaro
#10 Position #20
15 Points 6
11 Played 11
4 / 3 / 4 W / D / L 1 / 3 / 7
12 Scored 11
13 Conceded 23
-1 GD -12
1.36 PPG 0.55
36% Win % 9%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
Padova Calcio this season
9% Clean Sheets
US Catanzaro this season

Padova Calcio are 10th (15 pts). US Catanzaro are 20th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Padova Calcio
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
2/1
46-60
–/3
61-75
3/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
US Catanzaro
0-15
1/–
16-30
4/3
31-45
–/7
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Padova Calcio
Christian Pastina 2 G
Pietro Fusi 1 G
US Catanzaro
Pietro Iemmello 2 G
Marco D'Alessandro 1 G
Bruno Verrengia 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Padova Calcio Lineups

US Catanzaro Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.68 Padova Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57 US Catanzaro xG
I would bet for: Padova Calcio or US Catanzaro 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Padova Calcio38% Draw26% US Catanzaro36%
Actual: US Catanzaro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Padova Calcio or Draw
64%
Draw or US Catanzaro
62%
Padova Calcio or US Catanzaro
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Padova Calcio30% Draw42% US Catanzaro28%
Actual: US Catanzaro win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 0
5.8%
2 – 0
5.5%
0 – 0
5.5%
0 – 1
5.3%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
Actual
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Padova Calcio

Handicap Padova Calcio covers Push US Catanzaro covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 17% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Padova Calcio keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
US Catanzaro keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.