Thursday , 2 July 2026

Padova Calcio vs US Catanzaro, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
Padova Calcio
1 – 3
Full Time
US Catanzaro
Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Padova Calcio vs US Catanzaro — Serie B .

Match Details

  • Referee Maria Caputi (Italy)
18 games this season 🟨 0.9/game ⚽ 3.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Venezia FC 38 82
2 Frosinone Calcio 38 81
3 AC Monza 38 76
4 Palermo FC 38 72
5 US Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena FC 2018 38 55
7 SS Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Calcio Avellino SSD 38 49
9 Mantova 1911 SSD 38 46
10 Padova Calcio 38 46
11 AC Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Calcio 38 44
13 UC Sampdoria 38 44
14 ACD Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli FC 38 41
16 FC Sudtirol 38 41
17 SSC Bari 38 40
18 AC Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Calcio 38 35
20 Delfino Pescara 1936 38 35

Head-to-Head

1
1
Padova Calcio 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals US Catanzaro
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-14 Padova Calcio 1–3 US Catanzaro 2025-10-19 US Catanzaro 0–1 Padova Calcio

Recent Form

Padova Calcio
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar US Catanzaro H 1–3 L
07 Mar Calcio Avellino SSD A 0–1 L
03 Mar Spezia Calcio H 2–2 D
28 Feb Modena FC 2018 A 2–1 W
21 Feb SSC Bari H 1–1 D
14 Feb UC Sampdoria A 0–1 L
US Catanzaro
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Padova Calcio A 3–1 W
08 Mar Empoli FC H 3–2 W
04 Mar Carrarese Calcio A 3–3 D
01 Mar Frosinone Calcio H 2–2 D
21 Feb ACD Virtus Entella A 3–1 W
14 Feb Mantova 1911 SSD H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Padova Calcio US Catanzaro
#10 Position #5
46 Points 59
38 Played 38
12 / 10 / 16 W / D / L 15 / 14 / 9
39 Scored 62
49 Conceded 51
-10 GD +11
1.21 PPG 1.55
32% Win % 39%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Padova Calcio this season
24% Clean Sheets
US Catanzaro this season

Padova Calcio are 10th (46 pts). US Catanzaro are 5th (59 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Padova Calcio
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
US Catanzaro
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/–
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Padova Calcio Lineups

US Catanzaro Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.3 Padova Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.92 US Catanzaro xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Padova Calcio27% Draw26% US Catanzaro47%
Actual: US Catanzaro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.22
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Padova Calcio or Draw
53%
Draw or US Catanzaro
73%
Padova Calcio or US Catanzaro
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Padova Calcio21% Draw42% US Catanzaro37%
Actual: US Catanzaro win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
7.4%
0 – 1
7%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
5.6%
0 – 3
4.6%
1 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
3.9%
2 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Padova Calcio

Handicap Padova Calcio covers Push US Catanzaro covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 21% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Padova Calcio keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
US Catanzaro keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.