Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Padova Calcio vs Palermo FC, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
Padova Calcio
0 – 1
Full Time
Palermo FC
Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Padova Calcio vs Palermo FC — Serie B .

Match Details

  • Referee Livio Marinelli

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Palermo FC 5 13
2 FC Südtirol 5 11
3 Mantova 1911 SSD 5 11
4 Modena FC 2018 5 10
5 Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC 5 10
6 Padova Calcio 5 7
7 Benevento Calcio 5 7
8 Hellas Verona FC 5 7
9 AC Cesena 5 7
10 Calcio Avellino SSD 5 7
11 AC Pisa 1909 5 7
12 SS Arezzo 5 6
13 Empoli FC 5 6
14 ACD Virtus Entella 5 5
15 L.R. Vicenza Virtus 5 5
16 US Cremonese 5 5
17 UC Sampdoria 5 4
18 SS Juve Stabia 5 3
19 US Catanzaro 5 3
20 Carrarese Calcio 5 1

Head-to-Head

3
Padova Calcio 3 games · Avg 1.7 goals Palermo FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-21 Padova Calcio 0–1 Palermo FC 2025-12-27 Palermo FC 1–0 Padova Calcio

Recent Form

Padova Calcio
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Palermo FC H 0–1 L
17 Mar Venezia FC A 1–3 L
14 Mar US Catanzaro H 1–3 L
07 Mar Calcio Avellino SSD A 0–1 L
03 Mar Spezia Calcio H 2–2 D
28 Feb Modena FC 2018 A 2–1 W
Palermo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Padova Calcio A 1–0 W
17 Mar SS Juve Stabia H 2–2 D
14 Mar AC Monza A 0–3 L
08 Mar Carrarese Calcio A 1–0 W
04 Mar Mantova 1911 SSD H 2–1 W
01 Mar Delfino Pescara 1936 A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Padova Calcio Palermo FC
#6 Position #1
7 Points 13
5 Played 5
2 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 0
5 Scored 10
6 Conceded 5
-1 GD +5
1.40 PPG 2.60
40% Win % 80%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Padova Calcio this season
20% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season

Padova Calcio are 6th (7 pts). Palermo FC are 1st (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Padova Calcio
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Palermo FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/2
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Padova Calcio
Pietro Fusi 1 G
Palermo FC
Dennis Johnsen 3 G 4 A
Dominic Vavassori 2 G
Tommaso Augello 1 G 1 A
Filippo Ranocchia 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Padova Calcio Lineups

Palermo FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.74 Padova Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 Palermo FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Padova Calcio21% Draw29% Palermo FC50%
Actual: Palermo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Padova Calcio or Draw
50%
Draw or Palermo FC
79%
Padova Calcio or Palermo FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Padova Calcio14% Draw50% Palermo FC36%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.9%
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 2
11.5%
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
6.8%
0 – 3
5.6%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
3.3%
2 – 0
2.8%
0 – 4
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Padova Calcio

Handicap Padova Calcio covers Push Palermo FC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 12% 83%
-0.5 17% — 83%
+0.5 46% — 54%
+1 46% 25% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 17% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Padova Calcio keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
48% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.