Sunday , 15 November 2026

Padova Calcio vs Palermo FC, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
Padova Calcio
0 – 1
Full Time
Palermo FC
Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Padova Calcio vs Palermo FC — Serie B .

Match Details

  • Referee Livio Marinelli
4 games this season 🟨 5.8/game ⚽ 26.0 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Palermo FC 11 27
2 Modena FC 2018 11 23
3 Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC 11 20
4 Mantova 1911 SSD 11 19
5 Benevento Calcio 11 16
6 Calcio Avellino SSD 11 16
7 Hellas Verona FC 11 16
8 AC Pisa 1909 11 16
9 US Cremonese 11 15
10 Padova Calcio 11 15
11 AC Cesena 11 15
12 FC Südtirol 11 15
13 SS Juve Stabia 11 12
14 SS Arezzo 11 11
15 UC Sampdoria 11 11
16 ACD Virtus Entella 11 10
17 Carrarese Calcio 11 10
18 L.R. Vicenza Virtus 11 9
19 Empoli FC 11 9
20 US Catanzaro 11 6

Head-to-Head

3
Padova Calcio 3 games · Avg 1.7 goals Palermo FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-21 Padova Calcio 0–1 Palermo FC 2025-12-27 Palermo FC 1–0 Padova Calcio

Recent Form

Padova Calcio
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Palermo FC H 0–1 L
17 Mar Venezia FC A 1–3 L
14 Mar US Catanzaro H 1–3 L
07 Mar Calcio Avellino SSD A 0–1 L
03 Mar Spezia Calcio H 2–2 D
28 Feb Modena FC 2018 A 2–1 W
Palermo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Padova Calcio A 1–0 W
17 Mar SS Juve Stabia H 2–2 D
14 Mar AC Monza A 0–3 L
08 Mar Carrarese Calcio A 1–0 W
04 Mar Mantova 1911 SSD H 2–1 W
01 Mar Delfino Pescara 1936 A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Padova Calcio Palermo FC
#10 Position #1
15 Points 27
11 Played 11
4 / 3 / 4 W / D / L 8 / 3 / 0
12 Scored 25
13 Conceded 13
-1 GD +12
1.36 PPG 2.45
36% Win % 73%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
Padova Calcio this season
18% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season

Padova Calcio are 10th (15 pts). Palermo FC are 1st (27 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Padova Calcio
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
2/1
46-60
–/3
61-75
3/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Palermo FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
6/3
61-75
5/3
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Padova Calcio
Christian Pastina 2 G
Pietro Fusi 1 G
Palermo FC
Dennis Johnsen 7 G 5 A
Dominic Vavassori 6 G 1 A
Joel Pohjanpalo 2 G 3 A
Antonio Palumbo 2 G 1 A
Filippo Ranocchia 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Padova Calcio Lineups

Palermo FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.88 Padova Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61 Palermo FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Padova Calcio23% Draw28% Palermo FC49%
Actual: Palermo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Padova Calcio or Draw
50%
Draw or Palermo FC
77%
Padova Calcio or Palermo FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Padova Calcio15% Draw48% Palermo FC37%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
10.5%
0 – 0
10.4%
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 0
6.3%
0 – 3
5.5%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3.1%
2 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Padova Calcio

Handicap Padova Calcio covers Push Palermo FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 13% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 47% — 53%
+1 47% 24% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 17% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Padova Calcio keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.