PSV vs AZ, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Eredivisie · 2025-26

PSV

2 – 1

Full Time

Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs AZ — Eredivisie .

PSV 12 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
AZ 12 games · 23 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Van der Eijk

10 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 14.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	PSV	12	26
2	Feyenoord Rotterdam	12	25
3	AFC Ajax	12	25
4	FC Twente '65	12	24
5	AZ	12	23
6	SC Heerenveen	12	21
7	Fortuna Sittard	12	20
8	Go Ahead Eagles	12	17
9	FC Groningen	12	15
10	SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden	12	15
11	NEC	12	14
12	Sparta Rotterdam	12	12
13	PEC Zwolle	12	12
14	FC Utrecht	12	12
15	SBV Excelsior	12	11
16	Telstar 1963	12	10
17	ADO Den Haag	12	9
18	Willem II Tilburg	12	3

Head-to-Head

PSV 15 games · Avg 3.4 goals AZ

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-07 PSV 2–1 AZ 2025-11-09 AZ 1–5 PSV 2025-01-11 PSV 2–2 AZ 2024-10-19 AZ 1–2 PSV 2024-04-06 PSV 5–1 AZ

Recent Form

PSV

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	AZ	H	2–1	W
28 Feb	Heracles Almelo	A	3–1	W
21 Feb	SC Heerenveen	H	3–1	W
13 Feb	FC Volendam	A	1–2	L
08 Feb	FC Groningen	A	2–1	W
01 Feb	Feyenoord Rotterdam	H	3–0	W

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	PSV	A	1–2	L
01 Mar	FC Utrecht	A	0–2	L
22 Feb	Sparta Rotterdam	H	3–1	W
14 Feb	SBV Excelsior	A	2–1	W
08 Feb	AFC Ajax	H	1–1	D
31 Jan	NEC	H	1–3	L

Season Stats

PSV		AZ
#1	Position	#5
26	Points	23
12	Played	12
8 / 2 / 2	W / D / L	7 / 2 / 3
40	Scored	24
15	Conceded	16
+25	GD	+8
2.17	PPG	1.92
67%	Win %	58%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

17% Clean Sheets
PSV this season

25% Clean Sheets
AZ this season

PSV are 1st (26 pts). AZ are 5th (23 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

PSV

0-15

5/4

16-30

8/1

31-45

6/2

46-60

6/3

61-75

3/–

76+

10/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

0-15

3/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

3/1

46-60

4/3

61-75

5/1

76+

7/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

PSV

Sven Mijnans	9 G	2 A
Guus Til	7 G	1 A
Ruben van Bommel	4 G	3 A
Ricardo Pepi	4 G	1 A
Sergino Dest	2 G	2 A

Mexx Meerdink	6 G	3 A
Ro-Zangelo Daal	5 G	1 A
Ayoub Oufkir	3 G
Jizz Hornkamp	2 G
Calvin Stengs	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . PSV are looking to make home advantage count against AZ.
Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

PSV Lineups

AZ Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Luuk de Jong	7
Jesper Karlsson	4
Yorbe Vertessen	3
Vangelis Pavlidis	3
Teun Koopmeiners	3
Bruno Martins Indi	2
Xavi Simons	2
Ismael Saibari	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.64 PSV xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.13 AZ xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + PSV to win 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

PSV68% Draw18% AZ14%

Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.77

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	51%	49%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw

86%

Draw or AZ

32%

PSV or AZ

82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

PSV51% Draw36% AZ13%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

8.1%

3 – 1

7.7%

1 – 1

7.6%

3 – 0

6.9%

1 – 0

5.8%

4 – 1

5.1%

2 – 2

4.9%

4 – 0

4.5%

3 – 2

4.3%

1 – 2

3.8%

0 – 0

3.5%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap	PSV covers	Push	AZ covers
-2.5	28%	—	72%
-2	28%	19%	52%
-1.5	48%	—	52%
-1	48%	20%	32%
-0.5	68%	—	32%
+0.5	86%	—	14%
+1	86%	8%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

AZ keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.