Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs RWDM Molenbeek FC, Jupiler League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Jupiler Pro League · 2023-24
Sat 5 Aug 2023 · 18:45 UTC Den Dreef HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals RWDM Molenbeek FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Aug RWDM Molenbeek FC H 1–2 L
29 Jul Sporting du Pays de Charleroi A 1–1 D
23 Apr Royal Standard de Liège H 3–2 W
15 Apr KV Oostende A 4–0 W
08 Apr KV Mechelen H 4–1 W
02 Apr KRC Genk A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Aug Oud-Heverlee Leuven A 2–1 W
29 Jul KRC Genk H 0–4 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Oud-Heverlee Leuven this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
2/–
46-60
–/3
61-75
1/2
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Wouter George 2 G 1 A
Oscar Gil Regano 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Den Dreef will turn into a battlefield for Oud-Heverlee Leuven and RWDM Molenbeek FC.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Oud-Heverlee Leuven in their trying to find a way past RWDM Molenbeek FC's compact .
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 17' Magnificent from Richie Sagrado! That is 4 goals in 191 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 20' Richie Sagrado picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Oud-Heverlee Leuven side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 30' Poor challenge from Hamza Mendyl. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 40' Oud-Heverlee Leuven are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RWDM Molenbeek FC backline.
  • 43' Against the run of play, Mickael Biron has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 47' Brilliant from the forward! Mickael Biron makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 47.
  • 52' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sada Diallo made 241 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 57' Belgium international Mathieu Maertens has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 62' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 63' Oud-Heverlee Leuven make a change. Mandela Keita trudges off to be replaced by Raphael Holzhauser on 63 minutes.
  • 68' Both keepers have barely been tested. Oud-Heverlee Leuven and RWDM Molenbeek FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 72' A tactical swap from RWDM Molenbeek FC — Florent Sanchez on, Xavier Mercier off on 72 minutes.
  • 75' The Oud-Heverlee Leuven manager makes a substitution. Richie Sagrado departs to be replaced by Nachon Nsingi.
  • 80' Abner Felipe, a Brazil defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 81' A moment of madness from Jonathan Heris on 81 minutes earns him a card. RWDM Molenbeek FC will be frustrated.
  • 86' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Zakaria El Ouahdi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for Shuto Abe. He replaces Niklo Dailly on 87 minute.
  • 89' Controversy at the stadium! Jon Dagur THorsteinsson argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Ewoud Pletinckx. He receives a card.
  • 90' RWDM Molenbeek FC ring the changes. Alexis De Sart has done his job and it is now time for Sada Diallo to step up.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.39 Oud-Heverlee Leuven xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 RWDM Molenbeek FC xG
I would bet for: Oud-Heverlee Leuven or RWDM Molenbeek FC 72% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Oud-Heverlee Leuven35% Draw28% RWDM Molenbeek FC37%
Actual: RWDM Molenbeek FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Oud-Heverlee Leuven or Draw
63%
Draw or RWDM Molenbeek FC
65%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven or RWDM Molenbeek FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Oud-Heverlee Leuven25% Draw45% RWDM Molenbeek FC30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 1
7.4%
0 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Handicap Oud-Heverlee Leuven covers Push RWDM Molenbeek FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 18% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 20% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Oud-Heverlee Leuven keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
RWDM Molenbeek FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.