Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at Exploria Stadium.
- Orlando City SC 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Atlanta United FC 34 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 May | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 May | Montreal Impact FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 May | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | D.C. United SC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Apr | Charlotte FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | Orlando City SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 May | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 May | Montreal Impact FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Apr | New England Revolution | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | Nashville SC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Orlando City SC | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #13 |
| 46 | Points | 33 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 13 / 7 / 14 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 19 |
| 63 | Scored | 43 |
| 78 | Conceded | 60 |
| -15 | GD | -17 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 38% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
Orlando City SC are 9th (46 pts). Atlanta United FC are 13th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Orlando City SC
0-15
5/5
16-30
10/10
31-45
5/8
46-60
10/10
61-75
7/5
76+
13/15
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
5/6
31-45
4/7
46-60
5/12
61-75
6/8
76+
7/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 16 G | 4 A |
| Antoine Griezmann | 14 G | 6 A |
| Tyrese Spicer | 6 G |
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 6 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Orlando City SC and Atlanta United FC is underway.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Atlanta United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' Wilder Cartagena needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tristan Muyumba, as he is very good at scoring at Exploria Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 18' Brilliant from the ! Griffin Dorsey makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 18.
- 23' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 28' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marco Pasalic on 28.
- 33' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Óscar Pareja will be considering his options from the bench.
- 38' The 35-year-old Fafa Picault has been sensational this season — 4 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 41' The referee has no hesitation. Will Reilly is booked for Atlanta United FC — card on 41.
- 46' Croatia international Marco Pasalic has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 51' Iago is ready to make an impact after coming on for Robin Jansson at the 51 minute mark.
- 56' Tomas Jacob, a Argentina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 59' Orlando City SC make a change. Marco Pasalic trudges off to be replaced by Tyrese Spicer on 59 minutes.
- 60' Time for substitution for Atlanta United FC. Will Reilly is replaced by Fafa Picault.
- 65' Over 65 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 68' Matthew Edwards is replacing Tomas Jacob for the Atlanta United FC side.
- 69' Time for substitution for Orlando City SC. Justin Ellis is replaced by Duncan McGuire.
- 74' It looks like no one’s ball. Orlando City SC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 78' A tactical swap from Atlanta United FC — Cayman Togashi on, Fafa Picault off on 78 minutes.
- 82' Orlando City SC ring the changes. Braian Ojeda has done his job and it is now time for Wilder Cartagena to step up.
- 84' Maxime Crepeau has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 84.
- 86' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ajani Fortune makes it 1-1.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
Orlando City SC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3
- 10
-
20
Eduard Atuesta ↓ Luis Aquino 69'
-
6
Robin Jansson ↓ Iago 51'
- 24
- 71
-
8
Braian Ojeda ↓ Wilder Cartagena 82'
- 77
- 4
-
87
Marco Pasalic ↓ Tyrese Spicer 59'
-
22
Justin Ellis ↓ Duncan McGuire 69'
Bench
-
16
Wilder Cartagena ↑ 82'
-
13
Duncan McGuire ↑ 69'
- 12
- 11
-
14
Tyrese Spicer ↑ 59'
- 29
-
57
Iago ↑ 51'
-
5
Luis Aquino ↑ 69'
- 19
Coach
Óscar Pareja
Atlanta United FC Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 6
- 59
- 1
-
4
Enea Mihaj ↓ Stian Gregersen 68'
- 8
- 88
-
55
Tomas Jacob ↓ Matthew Edwards 68'
- 35
- 3
- 11
-
28
Will Reilly ↓ Fafa Picault 60'
Bench
- 7
-
9
Emmanuel Latte Lath ↑ 68'
- 30
-
22
Fafa Picault ↑ 60'
-
5
Stian Gregersen ↑ 68'
- 2
- 18
- 42
-
47
Matthew Edwards ↑ 68'
Coach
Gerardo Martino
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 5 |
| Josef Martinez | 3 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 3 |
| Kyle Smith | 2 |
| Christopher Mueller | 2 |
| Saba Lobzhanidze | 2 |
| Miguel Almiron | 2 |
| Jamal Thiare | 2 |
Head to Head
Orlando City SC Form
2026-05-16
Orlando City SC
1–1
Atlanta United FC
D
2026-05-13
Orlando City SC
1–0
Philadelphia Union
W
2026-05-09
Montreal Impact FC
2–0
Orlando City SC
L
2026-05-02
Internacional CF Miami
2–0
Orlando City SC
L
2026-04-25
D.C. United SC
3–2
Orlando City SC
L
2026-04-22
Orlando City SC
4–1
Charlotte FC
W
Atlanta United FC Form
2026-05-16
Orlando City SC
1–1
Atlanta United FC
D
2026-05-09
Atlanta United FC
0–0
Los Angeles Galaxy
D
2026-05-02
Atlanta United FC
0–1
Montreal Impact FC
L
2026-04-25
Toronto FC
1–2
Atlanta United FC
W
2026-04-22
Atlanta United FC
1–2
New England Revolution
L
2026-04-18
Atlanta United FC
0–2
Nashville SC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.86
Orlando City SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5
Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for:
Orlando City SC or Atlanta United FC 75% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.36
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Orlando City SC or Draw
70%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
55%
Orlando City SC or Atlanta United FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Orlando City SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6%
1 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.3%
0 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC
| Handicap | Orlando City SC covers | Push | Atlanta United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 20% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

