Sunday , 16 August 2026

Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 16 May 2026 · 23:30 UTC Exploria Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Griffin Dorsey 18' 1–0
1–1 86' Ajani Fortune

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May Atlanta United FC H 1–1 D
13 May Philadelphia Union H 1–0 W
09 May Montreal Impact FC A 0–2 L
02 May Internacional CF Miami A 0–2 L
25 Apr D.C. United SC A 2–3 L
22 Apr Charlotte FC H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May Orlando City SC A 1–1 D
09 May Los Angeles Galaxy H 0–0 D
02 May Montreal Impact FC H 0–1 L
25 Apr Toronto FC A 2–1 W
22 Apr New England Revolution H 1–2 L
18 Apr Nashville SC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Orlando City SC Atlanta United FC
#11 Position #15
20 Points 12
18 Played 18
6 / 2 / 10 W / D / L 3 / 3 / 12
30 Scored 19
47 Conceded 33
-17 GD -14
1.11 PPG 0.67
33% Win % 17%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
16% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
11% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

Orlando City SC are 11th (20 pts). Atlanta United FC are 15th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Orlando City SC
0-15
2/2
16-30
5/6
31-45
/6
46-60
6/3
61-75
5/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
/4
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/6
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Orlando City SC
Martin Ojeda 11 G
Atlanta United FC
Aleksei Miranchuk 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.79 Orlando City SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for: Orlando City SC or Atlanta United FC 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Orlando City SC44% Draw26% Atlanta United FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Orlando City SC or Draw
70%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
56%
Orlando City SC or Atlanta United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Orlando City SC33% Draw42% Atlanta United FC25%
Actual: Orlando City SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 0
5.4%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC

Handicap Orlando City SC covers Push Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 20% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 16% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
24%
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.