Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs AS Saint-Étienne, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 15 Feb 2025 · 16:00 UTC Orange Velodrome 66,199 HT 45' · FT 45'
Amine Gouiri 27' 1–0
Mason Greenwood pen 50' 2–0
Michael Murillo 58' 3–0
Amine Gouiri 60' 4–0
Adrien Rabiot 77' 5–0
5–1 79' Lucas Stassin

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs AS Saint-Étienne — Ligue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Abdelatif Kherradji
  • Assistant 1 Hicham Zakrani
  • Assistant 2 Christophe Mouysset

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb AS Saint-Étienne H 5–1 W
09 Feb Angers SCO A 2–0 W
02 Feb Olympique Lyonnais H 3–2 W
26 Jan OGC Nice A 0–2 L
19 Jan RC Strasbourg Alsace H 1–1 D
11 Jan Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Olympique de Marseille A 1–5 L
08 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–2 L
01 Feb Lille OSC A 1–4 L
24 Jan AJ Auxerre A 1–1 D
19 Jan FC Nantes H 1–1 D
12 Jan Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
Amine Gouiri 4 G 1 A
Pierre Emile Hojbjerg 1 G
Keyliane Abdallah 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Olympique de Marseille gets underway.
  • 5' AS Saint-Etienne are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' Olympique de Marseille are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AS Saint-Etienne backline.
  • 15' Controversy at the stadium! Lucas Stassin argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 27' Amine Gouiri does the damage! The net is bulging and Olympique de Marseille surge ahead!
  • 32' It looks like no one’s ball. AS Saint-Etienne is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 37' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ismael Bennacer is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Olympique de Marseille.
  • 42' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Florian Tardieu made 201 appearances and scored 23 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 46' AS Saint-Etienne make a change. Augustine Boakye trudges off to be replaced by Irvin Cardona on 46 minutes.
  • 50' GOAL! Mason Greenwood fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 55' A quiet spell here at Orange Velodrome. AS Saint-Etienne seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 58' Michael Murillo adds to his 1 season tally! Olympique de Marseille lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 60' GOAL! Amine Gouiri fires home to make it 4-0!
  • 62' Fresh legs for AS Saint-Etienne! Louis Mouton comes on to replace Benjamin Bouchouari.
  • 66' The whistle greets Quentin Merlin as he departs to be replaced by Amar Dedic.
  • 67' The Olympique de Marseille bench stirs into life. Ismael Bennacer is withdrawn and Valentin Rongier gets his opportunity.
  • 68' Derek Cornelius has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 68.
  • 72' The whistle greets Mason Greenwood as he departs to be replaced by Bilal Nadir.
  • 77' Adrien Rabiot has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 77 minutes.
  • 79' Assisted by Irvin Cardona with the perfectly-timed delivery and Lucas Stassin makes no mistake. 5-1!
  • 81' The AS Saint-Etienne manager makes a substitution. Florian Tardieu departs to be replaced by Lamine Fomba.
  • 86' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Olympique de Marseille to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.29 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 AS Saint-Étienne xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Olympique de Marseille to win 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille64% Draw20% AS Saint-Étienne16%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
84%
Draw or AS Saint-Étienne
36%
Olympique de Marseille or AS Saint-Étienne
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille46% Draw39% AS Saint-Étienne15%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.8%
1 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 0
4.8%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
4%
4 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push AS Saint-Étienne covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 19% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 22% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
AS Saint-Étienne keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.