OGC Nice vs Olympique de Marseille, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 1 · 2025-26

OGC Nice

1 – 5

Full Time

Olympique de Marseille

Fri 21 Nov 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

OGC Nice vs Olympique de Marseille — Ligue 1 .

OGC Nice 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Olympique de Marseille 5 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Pignard Jeremie

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AS Monaco FC	5	13
2	Olympique Lyonnais	5	11
3	Paris FC	5	11
4	Lille OSC	5	10
5	Stade Rennais FC 1901	5	10
6	Paris Saint-Germain FC	5	8
7	Angers SCO	5	7
8	RC Strasbourg Alsace	5	7
9	Le Mans FC	5	6
10	AJ Auxerre	5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	5
12	FC Lorient	5	5
13	Toulouse FC	5	5
14	OGC Nice	5	5
15	Racing Club de Lens	5	4
16	ES Troyes AC	5	4
17	Olympique de Marseille	5	3
18	Le Havre AC	5	2

Head-to-Head

OGC Nice 23 games · Avg 3.1 goals Olympique de Marseille

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-21 OGC Nice 1–5 Olympique de Marseille 2025-01-26 OGC Nice 2–0 Olympique de Marseille 2024-09-14 Olympique de Marseille 2–0 OGC Nice 2024-04-24 Olympique de Marseille 2–2 OGC Nice 2023-10-21 OGC Nice 1–0 Olympique de Marseille

Recent Form

OGC Nice

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Nov	Olympique de Marseille	H	1–5	L
09 Nov	FC Metz	A	1–2	L
06 Nov	SC Freiburg	H	1–3	L
01 Nov	Paris Saint-Germain FC	A	0–1	L
29 Oct	Lille OSC	H	2–0	W
26 Oct	Stade Rennais FC 1901	A	2–1	W

Olympique de Marseille

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Nov	OGC Nice	A	5–1	W
08 Nov	Stade Brestois 29	H	3–0	W
05 Nov	Atalanta BC	H	0–1	L
01 Nov	AJ Auxerre	A	1–0	W
29 Oct	Angers SCO	H	2–2	D
25 Oct	Racing Club de Lens	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

OGC Nice		Olympique de Marseille
#14	Position	#17
5	Points	3
5	Played	5
1 / 2 / 2	W / D / L	1 / 0 / 4
3	Scored	7
6	Conceded	8
-3	GD	-1
1.00	PPG	0.60
20%	Win %	20%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)

61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
OGC Nice this season

0% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season

OGC Nice are 14th (5 pts). Olympique de Marseille are 17th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

OGC Nice

0-15

–/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/1

61-75

1/1

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Olympique de Marseille

0-15

1/2

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/2

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille

Amine Gouiri	4 G	1 A
Pierre Emile Hojbjerg	1 G
Keyliane Abdallah	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between OGC Nice and Olympique de Marseille is underway.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Olympique de Marseille take all three points.

Lineups

OGC Nice Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Amine Gouiri	3
Evann Guessand	2
Dimitri Payet	2
Alexis Sanchez	2
Saif-Eddine Khaoui	2
Sofiane Diop	1
Pierre Emile Hojbjerg	1
Gaetan Laborde	1

Head to Head

OGC Nice Form

2025-11-21 OGC Nice 1–5 Olympique de Marseille L 2025-11-09 FC Metz 2–1 OGC Nice L 2025-11-06 OGC Nice 1–3 SC Freiburg L 2025-11-01 Paris Saint-Germain FC 1–0 OGC Nice L 2025-10-29 OGC Nice 2–0 Lille OSC W 2025-10-26 Stade Rennais FC 1901 1–2 OGC Nice W

Olympique de Marseille Form

2025-11-21 OGC Nice 1–5 Olympique de Marseille W 2025-11-08 Olympique de Marseille 3–0 Stade Brestois 29 W 2025-11-05 Olympique de Marseille 0–1 Atalanta BC L 2025-11-01 AJ Auxerre 0–1 Olympique de Marseille W 2025-10-29 Olympique de Marseille 2–2 Angers SCO D 2025-10-25 Racing Club de Lens 2–1 Olympique de Marseille L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.97 OGC Nice xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.9 Olympique de Marseille xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

OGC Nice23% Draw26% Olympique de Marseille51%

Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.87

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

OGC Nice or Draw

49%

Draw or Olympique de Marseille

77%

OGC Nice or Olympique de Marseille

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

OGC Nice15% Draw44% Olympique de Marseille41%

Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted

1 – 5

Actual

1 – 1

11.3%

0 – 1

10%

0 – 2

10%

1 – 2

9.6%

0 – 0

7.4%

0 – 3

6.2%

1 – 3

6.1%

2 – 1

4.9%

1 – 0

4.7%

2 – 2

4.7%

2 – 3

0 – 4

2.9%

Asian Handicap — OGC Nice

Handicap	OGC Nice covers	Push	Olympique de Marseille covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	5%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	11%	82%
-0.5	18%	—	82%
+0.5	43%	—	57%
+1	43%	23%	34%
+1.5	66%	—	34%
+2	66%	18%	16%
+2.5	84%	—	16%

Clean Sheet

OGC Nice keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet

38% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.