FC Metz vs OGC Nice, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Stephanie Frappart
8 games this season
🟨 2.1/game
⚽ 8.9 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Monaco FC | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Olympique Lyonnais | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille OSC | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Angers SCO | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Le Mans FC | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | AJ Auxerre | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | FC Lorient | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse FC | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | OGC Nice | 5 | 5 |
| 15 | Racing Club de Lens | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | ES Troyes AC | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | Olympique de Marseille | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 5 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | OGC Nice | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | FC Nantes | A | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | Racing Club de Lens | H | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | Lille OSC | A | 1–6 | L |
| 19 Oct | Toulouse FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 04 Oct | Olympique de Marseille | H | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | FC Metz | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Nov | SC Freiburg | H | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Nov | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | Lille OSC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Oct | RC Celta de Vigo | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
OGC Nice this season
OGC Nice this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
OGC Nice
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Lineups
FC Metz Lineups
OGC Nice Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Amine Gouiri | 4 |
| Wylan Cyprien | 2 |
| Khephren Thuram-Ulie | 1 |
| Hicham Boudaoui | 1 |
| Evann Guessand | 1 |
| Pierre Lees Melou | 1 |
| Ignatius Ganago | 1 |
| Ibrahima Niane | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Metz Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.26
FC Metz xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
OGC Nice xG
I would bet for:
FC Metz or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Metz win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
FC Metz or Draw
72%
Draw or OGC Nice
57%
FC Metz or OGC Nice
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: OGC Nice win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12.1%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Metz
| Handicap | FC Metz covers | Push | OGC Nice covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 21% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 18% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Metz keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

