Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Newport County AFC vs Manchester United FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2023-24
Sun 28 Jan 2024 · 16:30 UTC Rodney Parade 9,086 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Bruno Fernandes
0–2 13' Kobbie Mainoo
Bryn Morris 36' 1–2
Will Evans 47' 2–2
2–3 68' Antony
2–4 90+4' Rasmus Hojlund
Y 72' Casemiro

Overview

Match Preview

Newport County AFC vs Manchester United FC — FA Cup at Rodney Parade.

Match Details

  • Referee David Coote
  • Assistant 1 Tim Wood
  • Assistant 2 Craig Taylor

Head-to-Head

1
Newport County AFC 1 games · Avg 6.0 goals Manchester United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan Manchester United FC H 2–4 L
16 Jan Eastleigh FC A 3–1 W
06 Jan Eastleigh FC H 1–1 D
12 Dec Barnet FC A 4–1 W
02 Dec Barnet FC H 1–1 D
04 Nov Oldham Athletic AFC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan Newport County AFC A 4–2 W
14 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–2 D
08 Jan Wigan Athletic FC A 2–0 W
30 Dec Nottingham Forest FC A 1–2 L
26 Dec Aston Villa FC H 3–2 W
23 Dec West Ham United FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Newport County AFC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Manchester United FC this season

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53 Newport County AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.98 Manchester United FC xG
I would bet for: Newport County AFC or Manchester United FC 75% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Newport County AFC32% Draw25% Manchester United FC43%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.51
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Newport County AFC or Draw
57%
Draw or Manchester United FC
68%
Newport County AFC or Manchester United FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Newport County AFC24% Draw40% Manchester United FC36%
Actual: Manchester United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
5.9%
1 – 3
5.7%
0 – 1
5.3%
0 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
4%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Newport County AFC

Handicap Newport County AFC covers Push Manchester United FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 15% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 20% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 14% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Newport County AFC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.