Saturday , 14 November 2026

Newcastle United FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, FA Cup 2024-25 LAST 16

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 13:45 UTC St James' Park 51,566 HT 45' · FT 45'
Alexander Isak pen 22' 1–0
1–1 44' Yankubah Minteh
1–2 114' Danny Welbeck

Overview

Match Preview

Newcastle United FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC — FA Cup at St James' Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Taylor
  • Assistant 1 Gary Beswick
  • Assistant 2 Constantine Hatzidakis
9 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 11.0 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–2 L
26 Feb Liverpool FC A 0–2 L
23 Feb Nottingham Forest FC H 4–3 W
15 Feb Manchester City FC A 0–4 L
08 Feb Birmingham City FC A 3–2 W
01 Feb Fulham FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Newcastle United FC A 2–1 W
25 Feb AFC Bournemouth H 2–1 W
22 Feb Southampton FC A 4–0 W
14 Feb Chelsea FC H 3–0 W
08 Feb Chelsea FC H 2–1 W
01 Feb Nottingham Forest FC A 0–7 L

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Newcastle United FC gets underway.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' Sandro Tonali is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Newcastle United FC so far.
  • 20' The travelling Brighton & Hove Albion FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 22' A goal from the Sweden international Alexander Isak! He fires home on 22 to make it 1-0!
  • 27' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Georginio Rutter suffering a number of foals already.
  • 29' Tariq Lamptey was booked on 29.
  • 34' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 35' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Adam Webster.
  • 36' It’s gonna be a card for Joelinton.
  • 41' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 44' What an equalizer from Yankubah Minteh!
  • 45' It’s gonna be a card for Carlos Baleba.
  • 50' Newcastle United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 55' Brighton & Hove Albion FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 56' Bruno Guimaraes gets the nod from Newcastle United FC. He replaces Lewis Miley and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 61' It looks like no one’s ball. Brighton & Hove Albion FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 66' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 69' It is a substitution in Newcastle United FC team. Kieran Trippier is replaced by Matt Targett on 69 minute.
  • 74' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 79' Jan Paul van Hecke has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
  • 80' A tactical swap from Brighton & Hove Albion FC — Danny Welbeck on, Georginio Rutter off on 80 minutes.
  • 83' Anthony Gordon has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 83.
  • 86' It is a substitution in Newcastle United FC team. Alexander Isak is replaced by Callum Wilson on 86 minute.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Tariq Lamptey is booked for Brighton & Hove Albion FC — card on 90.
  • 90' Another change for Brighton & Hove Albion FC made on 90 minute. Kaoru Mitoma leaves to be changed by Solly March.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.56 Newcastle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Newcastle United FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC 74% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United FC34% Draw26% Brighton & Hove Albion FC40%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Newcastle United FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
66%
Newcastle United FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United FC28% Draw43% Brighton & Hove Albion FC29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
8%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.1%
0 – 0
6%
1 – 0
6%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Newcastle United FC

Handicap Newcastle United FC covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 18% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 18% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.