Newcastle United FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, FA Cup 2024-25 LAST 16

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FA Cup · 2024-25

Newcastle United FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 13:45 UTC St James' Park 51,566 HT 45' · FT 45'

Alexander Isak pen 22' 1–0

1–1 44' Yankubah Minteh

1–2 114' Danny Welbeck

Y 29' Tariq Lamptey

Y 35' Adam Webster

Joelinton 36' Y

Y 45' Carlos Baleba

Anthony Gordon 83' R

YR 90' Tariq Lamptey

Y 92' Diego Gomez

Overview

Match Preview

Newcastle United FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC — FA Cup at St James' Park.

Newcastle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Brighton & Hove Albion FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Anthony Taylor
Assistant 1 Gary Beswick
Assistant 2 Constantine Hatzidakis

19 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 8.9 goals/game 🟥 5 total

Head-to-Head

Newcastle United FC 17 games · Avg 2.2 goals Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-02 Newcastle United FC 1–2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2024-10-19 Newcastle United FC 0–1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2024-05-11 Newcastle United FC 1–1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2023-09-02 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3–1 Newcastle United FC 2023-05-18 Newcastle United FC 4–1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Recent Form

Newcastle United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Mar	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	H	1–2	L
26 Feb	Liverpool FC	A	0–2	L
23 Feb	Nottingham Forest FC	H	4–3	W
15 Feb	Manchester City FC	A	0–4	L
08 Feb	Birmingham City FC	A	3–2	W
01 Feb	Fulham FC	H	1–2	L

Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Mar	Newcastle United FC	A	2–1	W
25 Feb	AFC Bournemouth	H	2–1	W
22 Feb	Southampton FC	A	4–0	W
14 Feb	Chelsea FC	H	3–0	W
08 Feb	Chelsea FC	H	2–1	W
01 Feb	Nottingham Forest FC	A	0–7	L

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC

Harvey Barnes

3 G

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Newcastle United FC welcome Brighton & Hove Albion FC for this crunch clash at St James' Park.
5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
10' It looks like no one’s ball. Brighton & Hove Albion FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
15' Newcastle United FC is showing some good football. However, Newcastle United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
20' The home supporters are growing impatient. Newcastle United FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
22' What a strike from Alexander Isak! The score is 1-0.
27' Brighton & Hove Albion FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
29' The referee shows Brighton & Hove Albion FC player a card on 29.
34' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
35' A meaty challenge results in booking for Adam Webster on 35.
36' The referee calls foul for Joelinton. He receives a card.
41' Newcastle United FC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Brighton & Hove Albion FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
44' What an equalizer from Yankubah Minteh!
45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Carlos Baleba on 45.
50' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
55' Over 55 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
56' A tactical swap from Newcastle United FC — Bruno Guimaraes on, Lewis Miley off on 56 minutes.
61' Brighton & Hove Albion FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
66' Newcastle United FC have won 448 goals from 339 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
69' Newcastle United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Matt Targett is hanging Kieran Trippier on the field on 69 minute.
74' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
79' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
80' Brighton & Hove Albion FC make a change. Georginio Rutter trudges off to be replaced by Danny Welbeck on 80 minutes.
83' A meaty challenge results in booking for Anthony Gordon on 83.
86' It is a substitution in Newcastle United FC team. Alexander Isak is replaced by Callum Wilson on 86 minute.
90' Tariq Lamptey has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
90' Time for substitution for Brighton & Hove Albion FC. Kaoru Mitoma is replaced by Solly March.
Full Time. Brighton & Hove Albion FC beats Newcastle United FC

Lineups

Newcastle United FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

39
Bruno Guimaraes ↑ 56'
9
Callum Wilson ↑ 86'
22
Nick Pope
13
Matt Targett ↑ 69'
36
Sean Longstaff
23
Jacob Murphy ↑ 56'
17
Emil Krafth
28
Joe Willock ↑ 56'
18
William Osula

Brighton & Hove Albion FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

18
Danny Welbeck ↑ 80'
27
Mats Wieffer ↑ 80'
37
Thomas McGill
26
Yasin Ayari
16
Eiran Cashin
7
Solly March ↑ 90'
11
Simon Adingra
8
Brajan Gruda ↑ 69'
25
Diego Gomez ↑ 69'

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Neal Maupay	4
Danny Welbeck	3
Evan Ferguson	3
Dan Burn	2
Deniz Undav	2
Leandro Trossard	2
Alexander Isak	2
Callum Wilson	2

Head to Head

Newcastle United FC Form

2025-03-02 Newcastle United FC 1–2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC L 2025-02-26 Liverpool FC 2–0 Newcastle United FC L 2025-02-23 Newcastle United FC 4–3 Nottingham Forest FC W 2025-02-15 Manchester City FC 4–0 Newcastle United FC L 2025-02-08 Birmingham City FC 2–3 Newcastle United FC W 2025-02-01 Newcastle United FC 1–2 Fulham FC L

Brighton & Hove Albion FC Form

2025-03-02 Newcastle United FC 1–2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC W 2025-02-25 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2–1 AFC Bournemouth W 2025-02-22 Southampton FC 0–4 Brighton & Hove Albion FC W 2025-02-14 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3–0 Chelsea FC W 2025-02-08 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2–1 Chelsea FC W 2025-02-01 Nottingham Forest FC 7–0 Brighton & Hove Albion FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.56 Newcastle United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.58 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG

I would bet for: Newcastle United FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC 74% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Newcastle United FC34% Draw26% Brighton & Hove Albion FC40%

Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.14

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Newcastle United FC or Draw

60%

Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC

66%

Newcastle United FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Newcastle United FC28% Draw43% Brighton & Hove Albion FC29%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.6%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

2 – 2

6.3%

0 – 1

6.1%

0 – 0

1 – 0

0 – 2

5.4%

2 – 0

5.2%

1 – 3

4.3%

3 – 1

4.2%

2 – 3

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Newcastle United FC

Handicap	Newcastle United FC covers	Push	Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	11%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	18%	63%
-0.5	37%	—	63%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	18%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	11%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.