New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Eric Weisbrod
- Referee Ted Unkel
- Referee Daniel Radford
- Referee Ian McKay
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | Toronto FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | New York City FC | A | 2–5 | L |
| 28 Oct | New England Revolution | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | Chicago Fire FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Nov | Internacional CF Miami | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Oct | New York City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–5 | L |
| 18 Oct | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Oct | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| New York Red Bulls | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #11 |
| 22 | Points | 14 |
| 15 | Played | 14 |
| 6 / 4 / 5 | W / D / L | 3 / 5 / 6 |
| 25 | Scored | 22 |
| 32 | Conceded | 29 |
| -7 | GD | -7 |
| 1.47 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 40% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
0-15
5/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Red Bull Arena as New York Red Bulls face off against Toronto FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' Ayo Akinola has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 15' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Dru Yearwood.
- 20' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. New York Red Bulls seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 22' Chris Mavinga picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 24' Brilliant from the ! Tom Barlow makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 24.
- 26' Brian White has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 26 minutes.
- 27' What composure from Brian White! The USA international strokes it home. 3-0.
- 32' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Jared Stroud on 32 minutes.
- 37' The travelling Toronto FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 41' Tony Gallacher is replacing Richie Laryea for the Toronto FC side.
- 46' Another change for Toronto FC made on 46 minute. Jonathan Osorio leaves to be changed by Ralph Priso-Mbongue.
- 50' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Tsubasa Endoh makes it 3-1.
- 55' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 57' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Tsubasa Endoh departs to be replaced by Jozy Altidore.
- 62' Both keepers have barely been tested. New York Red Bulls and Toronto FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 63' It is a substitution in New York Red Bulls team. Brian White is replaced by Daniel Royer on 63 minute.
- 68' Tim Parker has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 73' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 76' Another change for Toronto FC made on 76 minute. Nick DeLeon leaves to be changed by Jayden Nelson.
- 78' The New York Red Bulls manager makes a substitution. Dru Yearwood departs to be replaced by Amr Tarek.
- 83' The energy levels are beginning to show. Greg Vanney might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 85' The referee calls foul for Ryan Meara. He receives a Yellow card.
- 90' Caden Clark gets the nod from New York Red Bulls. He replaces Florian Valot and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' Jayden Nelson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Toronto FC.
Lineups
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Dru Yearwood ↓ Amr Tarek 78'
- 24
- 33
- 26
- 27
- 18
-
42
Brian White ↓ Daniel Royer 63'
- 6
-
22
Florian Valot ↓ Caden Clark 90'
-
74
Tom Barlow ↓ Mandela Egbo 78'
- 8
Bench
- 1
-
39
Mandela Egbo ↑ 78'
- 90
- 10
-
77
Daniel Royer ↑ 63'
-
23
Cristian Casseres Jr. ↑ 63'
-
3
Amr Tarek ↑ 78'
- 11
-
37
Caden Clark ↑ 90'
Coach
Gerhard Struber
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 23
- 96
- 4
- 21
-
31
Tsubasa Endoh ↓ Jozy Altidore 57'
- 20
- 10
-
18
Nick DeLeon ↓ Jayden Nelson 76'
-
22
Richie Laryea ↓ Tony Gallacher 41'
- 44
Bench
- 26
- 3
- 27
-
17
Jozy Altidore ↑ 57'
- 13
- 90
-
6
Tony Gallacher ↑ 41'
-
80
Jayden Nelson ↑ 76'
-
97
Ralph Priso-Mbongue ↑ 46'
Coach
Greg Vanney
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lewis Morgan | 5 |
| Emil Forsberg | 3 |
| Luquinhas | 3 |
| Tom Barlow | 3 |
| Caden Clark | 2 |
| Brian White | 2 |
| Pozuelo | 2 |
| Elias Manoel | 2 |
Head to Head
New York Red Bulls Form
2020-11-08
New York Red Bulls
2–1
Toronto FC
W
2020-11-02
New York City FC
5–2
New York Red Bulls
L
2020-10-28
New York Red Bulls
1–0
New England Revolution
W
2020-10-24
Chicago Fire FC
2–2
New York Red Bulls
D
2020-10-18
New York Red Bulls
1–1
Orlando City SC
D
2020-10-14
Toronto FC
1–1
New York Red Bulls
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.26
New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York Red Bulls win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.64
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
New York Red Bulls or Draw
79%
Draw or Toronto FC
43%
New York Red Bulls or Toronto FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York Red Bulls win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 2
5.5%
1 – 0
5.5%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.6%
0 – 0
3.9%
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls
| Handicap | New York Red Bulls covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 17% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 21% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 12% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

