New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Eric Weisbrod
- Referee Ted Unkel
- Referee Daniel Radford
- Referee Ian McKay
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | Toronto FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | New York City FC | A | 2–5 | L |
| 28 Oct | New England Revolution | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | Chicago Fire FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Nov | Internacional CF Miami | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Oct | New York City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–5 | L |
| 18 Oct | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Oct | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| New York Red Bulls | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #12 |
| 42 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 6 / 16 | W / D / L | 9 / 12 / 13 |
| 48 | Scored | 52 |
| 62 | Conceded | 67 |
| -14 | GD | -15 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 35% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
0-15
7/7
16-30
4/3
31-45
8/7
46-60
7/10
61-75
4/6
76+
8/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 13 G | 3 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 8 G | 1 A |
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Red Bull Arena will turn into a battlefield for New York Red Bulls and Toronto FC.
- 5' Chris Mavinga has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' New York Red Bulls player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 300 games and scored 397 goals.
- 22' Poor challenge from Chris Mavinga. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 24' New York Red Bulls is taking the lead after the goal scored by Tom Barlow on 24.
- 26' The USA Brian White breaks the deadlock on 26 minutes. 2-0!
- 27' Brian White with the second goal in the match!
- 32' New York Red Bulls receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 32.
- 37' Jayden Nelson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 41' Tony Gallacher gets the nod from Toronto FC. He replaces Richie Laryea and will look to change the dynamic.
- 46' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Jonathan Osorio departs to be replaced by Ralph Priso-Mbongue.
- 50' Against the run of play, Tsubasa Endoh has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 55' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 57' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Jozy Altidore on, Tsubasa Endoh off on 57 minutes.
- 62' New York Red Bulls are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 63' Daniel Royer gets the nod from New York Red Bulls. He replaces Brian White and will look to change the dynamic.
- 68' New York Red Bulls currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 73' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His New York Red Bulls side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 76' Toronto FC ring the changes. Nick DeLeon has done his job and it is now time for Jayden Nelson to step up.
- 78' Amr Tarek is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dru Yearwood at the 78 minute mark.
- 83' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Daniel Salloi scoring 1 goals.
- 85' The referee shows New York Red Bulls player a Yellow card on 85.
- 90' Time for substitution for New York Red Bulls. Florian Valot is replaced by Caden Clark.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Jayden Nelson.
- Toronto FC will have plenty to reflect on. New York Red Bulls were simply the better side today.
Lineups
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Dru Yearwood ↓ Amr Tarek 78'
- 24
- 33
- 26
- 27
- 18
-
42
Brian White ↓ Daniel Royer 63'
- 6
-
22
Florian Valot ↓ Caden Clark 90'
-
74
Tom Barlow ↓ Mandela Egbo 78'
- 8
Bench
- 1
-
39
Mandela Egbo ↑ 78'
- 90
- 10
-
77
Daniel Royer ↑ 63'
-
23
Cristian Casseres Jr. ↑ 63'
-
3
Amr Tarek ↑ 78'
- 11
-
37
Caden Clark ↑ 90'
Coach
Gerhard Struber
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 23
- 96
- 4
- 21
-
31
Tsubasa Endoh ↓ Jozy Altidore 57'
- 20
- 10
-
18
Nick DeLeon ↓ Jayden Nelson 76'
-
22
Richie Laryea ↓ Tony Gallacher 41'
- 44
Bench
- 26
- 3
- 27
-
17
Jozy Altidore ↑ 57'
- 13
- 90
-
6
Tony Gallacher ↑ 41'
-
80
Jayden Nelson ↑ 76'
-
97
Ralph Priso-Mbongue ↑ 46'
Coach
Greg Vanney
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lewis Morgan | 5 |
| Emil Forsberg | 3 |
| Luquinhas | 3 |
| Tom Barlow | 3 |
| Brian White | 2 |
| Pozuelo | 2 |
| Kemar Lawrence | 2 |
| Caden Clark | 2 |
Head to Head
New York Red Bulls Form
2020-11-08
New York Red Bulls
2–1
Toronto FC
W
2020-11-02
New York City FC
5–2
New York Red Bulls
L
2020-10-28
New York Red Bulls
1–0
New England Revolution
W
2020-10-24
Chicago Fire FC
2–2
New York Red Bulls
D
2020-10-18
New York Red Bulls
1–1
Orlando City SC
D
2020-10-14
Toronto FC
1–1
New York Red Bulls
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.04
New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York Red Bulls win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.27
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
New York Red Bulls or Draw
79%
Draw or Toronto FC
44%
New York Red Bulls or Toronto FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: New York Red Bulls win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 0
5.3%
3 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
4%
3 – 2
4%
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls
| Handicap | New York Red Bulls covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 17% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 22% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

