New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Eric Weisbrod
- Referee Ted Unkel
- Referee Daniel Radford
- Referee Ian McKay
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | Toronto FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | New York City FC | A | 2–5 | L |
| 28 Oct | New England Revolution | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | Chicago Fire FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Nov | Internacional CF Miami | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Oct | New York City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–5 | L |
| 18 Oct | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Oct | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| New York Red Bulls | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #12 |
| 25 | Points | 17 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 4 / 7 | W / D / L | 3 / 8 / 7 |
| 29 | Scored | 24 |
| 39 | Conceded | 32 |
| -10 | GD | -8 |
| 1.39 | PPG | 0.94 |
| 39% | Win % | 17% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
1/5
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 9 G | 2 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 7 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Red Bull Arena as New York Red Bulls face off against Toronto FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 15' Dru Yearwood is having his name booked by the referee on 15.
- 20' New York Red Bulls have won 422 goals from 286 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 22' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Chris Mavinga.
- 24' Magnificent from Tom Barlow! That is 25 goals in 286 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 26' Brian White is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 5 goals this season for the .
- 27' What a strike from Brian White! The score is 3-0.
- 32' Jared Stroud has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 32.
- 37' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jason Pendant, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 41' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Richie Laryea is replaced by Tony Gallacher.
- 46' Toronto FC ring the changes. Jonathan Osorio has done his job and it is now time for Ralph Priso-Mbongue to step up.
- 50' Brilliant from the ! Tsubasa Endoh makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 50.
- 55' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 57' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Tsubasa Endoh is replaced by Jozy Altidore.
- 62' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Toronto FC winning 0% of all matches.
- 63' Fresh legs for New York Red Bulls! Daniel Royer comes on to replace Brian White.
- 68' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 73' Tony Gallacher has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 409 appearances.
- 76' Jayden Nelson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nick DeLeon at the 76 minute mark.
- 78' Dru Yearwood makes way for Amr Tarek at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York Red Bulls.
- 83' Toronto FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 85' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Ryan Meara.
- 90' Another substitution for New York Red Bulls to replace Florian Valot by Caden Clark on 90 minute.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Jayden Nelson.
- Another three points for New York Red Bulls.
Lineups
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Dru Yearwood ↓ Amr Tarek 78'
- 24
- 33
- 26
- 27
- 18
-
42
Brian White ↓ Daniel Royer 63'
- 6
-
22
Florian Valot ↓ Caden Clark 90'
-
74
Tom Barlow ↓ Mandela Egbo 78'
- 8
Bench
- 1
-
39
Mandela Egbo ↑ 78'
- 90
- 10
-
77
Daniel Royer ↑ 63'
-
23
Cristian Casseres Jr. ↑ 63'
-
3
Amr Tarek ↑ 78'
- 11
-
37
Caden Clark ↑ 90'
Coach
Gerhard Struber
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 23
- 96
- 4
- 21
-
31
Tsubasa Endoh ↓ Jozy Altidore 57'
- 20
- 10
-
18
Nick DeLeon ↓ Jayden Nelson 76'
-
22
Richie Laryea ↓ Tony Gallacher 41'
- 44
Bench
- 26
- 3
- 27
-
17
Jozy Altidore ↑ 57'
- 13
- 90
-
6
Tony Gallacher ↑ 41'
-
80
Jayden Nelson ↑ 76'
-
97
Ralph Priso-Mbongue ↑ 46'
Coach
Greg Vanney
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lewis Morgan | 5 |
| Luquinhas | 3 |
| Tom Barlow | 3 |
| Emil Forsberg | 3 |
| Pozuelo | 2 |
| Elias Manoel | 2 |
| Kemar Lawrence | 2 |
| Caden Clark | 2 |
Head to Head
New York Red Bulls Form
2020-11-08
New York Red Bulls
2–1
Toronto FC
W
2020-11-02
New York City FC
5–2
New York Red Bulls
L
2020-10-28
New York Red Bulls
1–0
New England Revolution
W
2020-10-24
Chicago Fire FC
2–2
New York Red Bulls
D
2020-10-18
New York Red Bulls
1–1
Orlando City SC
D
2020-10-14
Toronto FC
1–1
New York Red Bulls
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.08
New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York Red Bulls win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
New York Red Bulls or Draw
79%
Draw or Toronto FC
44%
New York Red Bulls or Toronto FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: New York Red Bulls win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
5.1%
0 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls
| Handicap | New York Red Bulls covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 17% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 21% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

