New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2021

New York Red Bulls

1 – 0

Full Time

Philadelphia Union

Sat 15 May 2021 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 52' Aaron Long

Y 61' Sean Nealis

Y 79' Dru Yearwood

Leon Flach 90' Y

Jack Elliott 90' Y

R 90' Dru Yearwood

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at Subaru Park.

New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
Philadelphia Union 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 20 games · Avg 2.4 goals Philadelphia Union

Last 5 meetings

2021-05-15 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union 2020-09-06 New York Red Bulls 0–3 Philadelphia Union 2020-08-25 Philadelphia Union 1–0 New York Red Bulls 2019-10-20 Philadelphia Union 4–3 New York Red Bulls 2019-09-22 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Philadelphia Union

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	Philadelphia Union	H	1–0	W
08 May	Toronto FC	H	2–0	W
01 May	Chicago Fire FC	H	2–0	W
25 Apr	Los Angeles Galaxy	A	2–3	L
18 Apr	Sporting Kansas City	H	1–2	L
21 Nov	Columbus Crew SC	A	2–3	L

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	New York Red Bulls	A	0–1	L
12 May	New England Revolution	H	1–1	D
08 May	Chicago Fire FC	A	2–0	W
01 May	New York City FC	H	0–2	L
25 Apr	Internacional CF Miami	H	1–2	L
18 Apr	Columbus Crew SC	A	0–0	D

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		Philadelphia Union
#11	Position	#6
42	Points	50
34	Played	34
12 / 6 / 16	W / D / L	14 / 8 / 12
48	Scored	66
62	Conceded	52
-14	GD	+14
1.24	PPG	1.47
35%	Win %	41%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

24% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

7/7

16-30

4/3

31-45

8/7

46-60

7/10

61-75

4/6

76+

8/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Philadelphia Union

0-15

4/6

16-30

6/7

31-45

8/7

46-60

12/2

61-75

17/5

76+

8/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	13 G	3 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	8 G	1 A

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski	19 G	2 A
Bruno Damiani	13 G	3 A
Cavan Sullivan	9 G	6 A

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and new york red bulls launch into their encounter with philadelphia union.
5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering philadelphia union that had 305 games and scored 521 goals.
9' Brilliant from the ! Cory Burke makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 9.
14' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jim Curtin might look to freshen things up shortly.
19' A quiet spell here at Subaru Park. philadelphia union seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
24' Sergio Santos is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for new york red bulls so far.
29' The travelling philadelphia union supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
34' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
36' Another change for Philadelphia Union made on 36 minute. Amro Tarek leaves to be changed by Thomas Edwards.
41' philadelphia union are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
46' Christian Casseres Jr. has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
51' philadelphia union fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
52' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Aaron Long.
54' Omir Fernandez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Frankie Amaya at the 54 minute mark.
58' Another substitution for New York Red Bulls to replace Anthony Fontana by Kacper Przybylko on 58 minute.
61' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Sean Nealis.
66' Leon Flach, a USA midfielder, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
71' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with philadelphia union winning 100% of all matches.
76' The Philadelphia Union manager makes a substitution. Caden Clark departs to be replaced by Dru Yearwood.
78' It is a substitution in New York Red Bulls team. Sergio Santos is replaced by Matthew Real on 78 minute.
79' It’s a booking for Philadelphia Union player. Dru Yearwood gets a Yellow card.
84' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
89' new york red bulls is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
90' Leon Flach catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
90' Quinn Sullivan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alejandro Bedoya at the 90 minute mark.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for new york red bulls players.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

27
Kai Wagner
18
Andre Blake
3
Jack Elliott
11
Alejandro Bedoya ↓ Quinn Sullivan 90'
21
Anthony Fontana ↓ Kacper Przybylko 58'
19
Cory Burke
15
Olivier Mbaizo
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Matthew Real 78'
5
Jakob Glesnes
31
Leon Flach
10
Jamiro Monteiro

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

7
Thomas Edwards ↑ 36'
16
Dru Yearwood ↑ 76'
18
Ryan Meara
42
Brian White
21
Omir Fernandez ↑ 54'
47
John Tolkin
4
Andres Reyes
17
Cameron Harper ↑ 76'

Coach Gerhard Struber

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Daniel Gazdag	4
Patryk Klimala	3
Kaku	2
Indiana Vassilev	2
Kacper Przybylko	2
Milan Iloski	2
Ilsinho	2
Neil Pierre	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2021-05-15 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union W 2021-05-08 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Toronto FC W 2021-05-01 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Chicago Fire FC W 2021-04-25 Los Angeles Galaxy 3–2 New York Red Bulls L 2021-04-18 New York Red Bulls 1–2 Sporting Kansas City L 2020-11-21 Columbus Crew SC 3–2 New York Red Bulls L

Philadelphia Union Form

2021-05-15 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union L 2021-05-12 Philadelphia Union 1–1 New England Revolution D 2021-05-08 Chicago Fire FC 0–2 Philadelphia Union W 2021-05-01 Philadelphia Union 0–2 New York City FC L 2021-04-25 Philadelphia Union 1–2 Internacional CF Miami L 2021-04-18 Columbus Crew SC 0–0 Philadelphia Union D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.32 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.53 Philadelphia Union xG

I would bet for: New York Red Bulls or Philadelphia Union 74% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls37% Draw26% Philadelphia Union37%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.85

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

64%

Draw or Philadelphia Union

63%

New York Red Bulls or Philadelphia Union

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls24% Draw46% Philadelphia Union30%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.6%

1 – 2

8.6%

0 – 1

0 – 0

7.7%

2 – 1

7.4%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 2

6.7%

2 – 2

5.7%

2 – 0

1 – 3

4.4%

0 – 3

3.3%

3 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	17%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	59%	—	41%
+1	59%	20%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	12%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

22% ✗

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.