New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2021

New York Red Bulls

1 – 0

Full Time

Philadelphia Union

Sat 15 May 2021 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 52' Aaron Long

Y 61' Sean Nealis

Y 79' Dru Yearwood

Leon Flach 90' Y

Jack Elliott 90' Y

R 90' Dru Yearwood

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at Subaru Park.

New York Red Bulls 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Philadelphia Union 27 games · 39 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 20 games · Avg 2.4 goals Philadelphia Union

Last 5 meetings

2021-05-15 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union 2020-09-06 New York Red Bulls 0–3 Philadelphia Union 2020-08-25 Philadelphia Union 1–0 New York Red Bulls 2019-10-20 Philadelphia Union 4–3 New York Red Bulls 2019-09-22 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Philadelphia Union

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	Philadelphia Union	H	1–0	W
08 May	Toronto FC	H	2–0	W
01 May	Chicago Fire FC	H	2–0	W
25 Apr	Los Angeles Galaxy	A	2–3	L
18 Apr	Sporting Kansas City	H	1–2	L
21 Nov	Columbus Crew SC	A	2–3	L

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	New York Red Bulls	A	0–1	L
12 May	New England Revolution	H	1–1	D
08 May	Chicago Fire FC	A	2–0	W
01 May	New York City FC	H	0–2	L
25 Apr	Internacional CF Miami	H	1–2	L
18 Apr	Columbus Crew SC	A	0–0	D

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		Philadelphia Union
#10	Position	#6
33	Points	39
26	Played	27
9 / 6 / 11	W / D / L	11 / 6 / 10
34	Scored	54
48	Conceded	44
-14	GD	+10
1.27	PPG	1.44
35%	Win %	41%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

26% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/6

46-60

5/8

61-75

2/6

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Philadelphia Union

0-15

4/6

16-30

4/7

31-45

6/4

46-60

9/1

61-75

14/3

76+

6/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	10 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski	16 G	2 A
Bruno Damiani	8 G	1 A
Cavan Sullivan	7 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Philadelphia Union kicks off things out of here…
5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Christian Casseres Jr. made 291 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
9' Cory Burke puts New York Red Bulls on the lead.
14' The 29-year-old Olivier Mbaizo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
19' New York Red Bulls are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Philadelphia Union backline.
24' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His New York Red Bulls side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
29' A quiet spell here at Subaru Park. New York Red Bulls seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
34' It looks like no one’s ball. New York Red Bulls is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
36' The supporters are chanting for Thomas Edwards. He replaces Amro Tarek on 36 minute.
41' Supporters expect more eagerness from Aaron Long, as he is very good at scoring at Subaru Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
46' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Philadelphia Union winning 100% of all matches.
51' Jamiro Monteiro has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 22 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
52' The referee shows Philadelphia Union player a Yellow card on 52.
54' The Philadelphia Union bench stirs into life. Frankie Amaya is withdrawn and Omir Fernandez gets his opportunity.
58' The crowd applauds Anthony Fontana as he leaves the pitch. Kacper Przybylko steps in for New York Red Bulls.
61' It’s a booking for Philadelphia Union player. Sean Nealis gets a Yellow card.
66' New York Red Bulls currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
71' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
76' The crowd applauds Caden Clark as he leaves the pitch. Dru Yearwood steps in for Philadelphia Union.
78' Matthew Real gets the nod from New York Red Bulls. He replaces Sergio Santos and will look to change the dynamic.
79' Controversy at the stadium! Dru Yearwood argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
84' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
89' Philadelphia Union fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
90' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Leon Flach.
90' Quinn Sullivan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alejandro Bedoya on 90 minute.
1-0 the final result. Philadelphia Union will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

27
Kai Wagner
18
Andre Blake
3
Jack Elliott
11
Alejandro Bedoya ↓ Quinn Sullivan 90'
21
Anthony Fontana ↓ Kacper Przybylko 58'
19
Cory Burke
15
Olivier Mbaizo
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Matthew Real 78'
5
Jakob Glesnes
31
Leon Flach
10
Jamiro Monteiro

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

7
Thomas Edwards ↑ 36'
16
Dru Yearwood ↑ 76'
18
Ryan Meara
42
Brian White
21
Omir Fernandez ↑ 54'
47
John Tolkin
4
Andres Reyes
17
Cameron Harper ↑ 76'

Coach Gerhard Struber

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Daniel Gazdag	4
Patryk Klimala	3
Milan Iloski	2
Ilsinho	2
Neil Pierre	2
Tom Barlow	2
Sergio Santos	2
Omir Fernandez	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2021-05-15 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union W 2021-05-08 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Toronto FC W 2021-05-01 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Chicago Fire FC W 2021-04-25 Los Angeles Galaxy 3–2 New York Red Bulls L 2021-04-18 New York Red Bulls 1–2 Sporting Kansas City L 2020-11-21 Columbus Crew SC 3–2 New York Red Bulls L

Philadelphia Union Form

2021-05-15 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union L 2021-05-12 Philadelphia Union 1–1 New England Revolution D 2021-05-08 Chicago Fire FC 0–2 Philadelphia Union W 2021-05-01 Philadelphia Union 0–2 New York City FC L 2021-04-25 Philadelphia Union 1–2 Internacional CF Miami L 2021-04-18 Columbus Crew SC 0–0 Philadelphia Union D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

0 / 4

1.32 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.58 Philadelphia Union xG

I would bet for: New York Red Bulls or Philadelphia Union 74% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls37% Draw26% Philadelphia Union37%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.9

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

63%

Draw or Philadelphia Union

63%

New York Red Bulls or Philadelphia Union

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls24% Draw45% Philadelphia Union31%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.4%

1 – 2

8.7%

0 – 1

7.9%

0 – 0

7.3%

2 – 1

7.3%

0 – 2

6.8%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 2

5.8%

2 – 0

4.7%

1 – 3

4.6%

0 – 3

3.5%

3 – 1

3.2%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	17%	69%
-0.5	31%	—	69%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	20%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	13%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

21% ✗

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.