Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Nashville SC

0 – 1

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 22:00 UTC Nissan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 90+4' John Tolkin pen

Y 39' Andres Reyes

Y 45' Frankie Amaya

Fafa Picault 45' Y

Y 45' Sean Nealis

Y 70' Kyle Duncan

Overview

Match Preview

Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Nissan Stadium.

Nashville SC 27 games · 60 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Nashville SC 9 games · Avg 1.2 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-21 Nashville SC 0–1 New York Red Bulls 2023-03-05 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Nashville SC 2021-11-07 Nashville SC 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2021-06-19 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Nashville SC

Recent Form

Nashville SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Oct	New York Red Bulls	H	0–1	L
15 Oct	New England Revolution	H	3–2	W
07 Oct	Philadelphia Union	A	0–0	D
05 Oct	Orlando City SC	H	0–1	L
01 Oct	Seattle Sounders FC	H	0–0	D
24 Sep	San Jose Earthquakes	A	1–1	D

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Oct	Nashville SC	A	1–0	W
07 Oct	Toronto FC	H	3–0	W
04 Oct	FC Cincinnati	A	2–1	W
30 Sep	Chicago Fire FC	H	0–1	L
23 Sep	D.C. United SC	A	5–3	W
20 Sep	Austin FC	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Nashville SC		New York Red Bulls
#1	Position	#10
60	Points	33
27	Played	26
18 / 6 / 3	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 11
55	Scored	34
21	Conceded	48
+34	GD	-14
2.22	PPG	1.27
67%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

22% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

11% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

48% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season

23% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Nashville SC are 1st (60 pts). New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC

0-15

3/1

16-30

7/3

31-45

5/2

46-60

6/2

61-75

5/6

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/6

46-60

5/8

61-75

2/6

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nashville SC

Sam Surridge	16 G	1 A
Hany Mukhtar	13 G	6 A
Warren Madrigal	5 G	2 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	10 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Nissan Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Nashville SC and New York Red Bulls.
5' Nashville SC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nashville SC must find a spark to ignite this game.
15' Nashville SC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
20' The travelling New York Red Bulls supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gary Smith will be considering his options from the bench.
30' New York Red Bulls is showing some good football. However, New York Red Bulls are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
33' Fafa Picault has so much to prove this time. He replaces Randall Leal on 33 minute.
38' Dylan Nealis is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nashville SC so far.
39' It’s a booking for New York Red Bulls player. Andres Reyes gets a card.
44' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Frankie Amaya on 45.
50' Kyle Duncan has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
55' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
56' Cameron Harper has so much to prove this time. He replaces Omir Fernandez on 56 minute.
61' Cameron Harper, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
66' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gary Smith might look to freshen things up shortly.
70' That is a card for New York Red Bulls. Kyle Duncan will be fuming at that decision.
72' Time for substitution for New York Red Bulls. Frankie Amaya is replaced by Dru Yearwood.
76' The whistle greets Sam Surridge as he departs to be replaced by Teal Bunbury.
77' The crowd applauds Alex Muyl as he leaves the pitch. Jacob Shaffelburg steps in for Nashville SC.
82' New York Red Bulls started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 82.
86' A tactical swap from New York Red Bulls — Dylan Nealis on, Kyle Duncan off on 86 minutes.
87' Elias Manoel makes way for Jorge Hurtado at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York Red Bulls.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Nashville SC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gary Smith

New York Red Bulls Lineups

4-4-1-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tony Jouaux

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Hany Mukhtar	3
Fabio	2
John Tolkin	1
Kyle Duncan	1
Emil Forsberg	1
Mohammed Sofo	1
Maxim Choupo-Moting	1
Patrick Yazbek	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.7 Nashville SC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.04 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Nashville SC45% Draw27% New York Red Bulls28%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.74

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw

72%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

55%

Nashville SC or New York Red Bulls

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nashville SC36% Draw46% New York Red Bulls18%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.3%

1 – 0

10.1%

2 – 1

9.3%

2 – 0

9.1%

0 – 0

8.3%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

5.7%

3 – 1

5.3%

3 – 0

2 – 2

4.9%

0 – 2

3.5%

3 – 2

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap	Nashville SC covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	16%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	23%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	14%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

19% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Nashville SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Nashville SC Form

New York Red Bulls Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Clean Sheet