Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2023
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 22:00 UTC Nissan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 90+4' John Tolkin pen

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct New York Red Bulls H 0–1 L
15 Oct New England Revolution H 3–2 W
07 Oct Philadelphia Union A 0–0 D
05 Oct Orlando City SC H 0–1 L
01 Oct Seattle Sounders FC H 0–0 D
24 Sep San Jose Earthquakes A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Nashville SC A 1–0 W
07 Oct Toronto FC H 3–0 W
04 Oct FC Cincinnati A 2–1 W
30 Sep Chicago Fire FC H 0–1 L
23 Sep D.C. United SC A 5–3 W
20 Sep Austin FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Nashville SC New York Red Bulls
#1 Position #5
33 Points 22
14 Played 15
10 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 6 / 4 / 5
31 Scored 25
11 Conceded 32
+20 GD -7
2.36 PPG 1.47
71% Win % 40%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Nashville SC are 1st (33 pts). New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
/1
46-60
3/
61-75
3/2
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
5/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2 Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 59% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nashville SC49% Draw25% New York Red Bulls26%
Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.12
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw
74%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
51%
Nashville SC or New York Red Bulls
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nashville SC41% Draw42% New York Red Bulls17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
6.3%
0 – 0
6%
3 – 0
5.7%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap Nashville SC covers Push New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 17% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 22% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
33%
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.