Sunday , 16 August 2026

Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2023
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 22:00 UTC Nissan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 90+4' John Tolkin pen

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct New York Red Bulls H 0–1 L
15 Oct New England Revolution H 3–2 W
07 Oct Philadelphia Union A 0–0 D
05 Oct Orlando City SC H 0–1 L
01 Oct Seattle Sounders FC H 0–0 D
24 Sep San Jose Earthquakes A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Nashville SC A 1–0 W
07 Oct Toronto FC H 3–0 W
04 Oct FC Cincinnati A 2–1 W
30 Sep Chicago Fire FC H 0–1 L
23 Sep D.C. United SC A 5–3 W
20 Sep Austin FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Nashville SC New York Red Bulls
#1 Position #8
40 Points 25
18 Played 18
12 / 4 / 2 W / D / L 7 / 4 / 7
35 Scored 29
14 Conceded 39
+21 GD -10
2.22 PPG 1.39
67% Win % 39%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
42% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
16% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Nashville SC are 1st (40 pts). New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
5/1
61-75
5/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
1/5
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nashville SC
Sam Surridge 10 G
Hany Mukhtar 6 G 4 A
Warren Madrigal 5 G 2 A
New York Red Bulls
Julian Hall 9 G 2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba 7 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.86 Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nashville SC47% Draw26% New York Red Bulls27%
Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw
73%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
53%
Nashville SC or New York Red Bulls
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nashville SC39% Draw43% New York Red Bulls18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.8%
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap Nashville SC covers Push New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 22% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
33%
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.