Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Nashville SC

0 – 1

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 22:00 UTC Nissan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 90+4' John Tolkin pen

Y 39' Andres Reyes

Y 45' Frankie Amaya

Fafa Picault 45' Y

Y 45' Sean Nealis

Y 70' Kyle Duncan

Overview

Match Preview

Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Nissan Stadium.

Nashville SC 34 games · 77 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Nashville SC 10 games · Avg 1.6 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-21 Nashville SC 0–1 New York Red Bulls 2023-03-05 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Nashville SC 2021-11-07 Nashville SC 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2021-06-19 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Nashville SC

Recent Form

Nashville SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Oct	New York Red Bulls	H	0–1	L
15 Oct	New England Revolution	H	3–2	W
07 Oct	Philadelphia Union	A	0–0	D
05 Oct	Orlando City SC	H	0–1	L
01 Oct	Seattle Sounders FC	H	0–0	D
24 Sep	San Jose Earthquakes	A	1–1	D

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Oct	Nashville SC	A	1–0	W
07 Oct	Toronto FC	H	3–0	W
04 Oct	FC Cincinnati	A	2–1	W
30 Sep	Chicago Fire FC	H	0–1	L
23 Sep	D.C. United SC	A	5–3	W
20 Sep	Austin FC	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Nashville SC		New York Red Bulls
#1	Position	#11
77	Points	42
34	Played	34
23 / 8 / 3	W / D / L	12 / 6 / 16
71	Scored	48
25	Conceded	62
+46	GD	-14
2.26	PPG	1.24
68%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season

24% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Nashville SC are 1st (77 pts). New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC

0-15

4/1

16-30

10/3

31-45

6/4

46-60

7/2

61-75

7/7

76+

16/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

7/7

16-30

4/3

31-45

8/7

46-60

7/10

61-75

4/6

76+

8/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nashville SC

Sam Surridge	21 G	1 A
Hany Mukhtar	16 G	8 A
Warren Madrigal	5 G	2 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	13 G	3 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	8 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at Nissan Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Nashville SC and New York Red Bulls.
5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nashville SC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nashville SC and New York Red Bulls are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nashville SC that had 231 games and scored 341 goals.
30' Frankie Amaya is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for New York Red Bulls so far.
33' Another change for Nashville SC made on 33 minute. Randall Leal leaves to be changed by Fafa Picault.
38' New York Red Bulls are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
39' Andres Reyes has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 39.
44' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
45' Frankie Amaya picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
50' New York Red Bulls have won 443 goals from 302 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
55' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
56' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 56 minute. Omir Fernandez leaves to be changed by Cameron Harper.
61' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tony Jouaux might look to freshen things up shortly.
66' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nashville SC and New York Red Bulls are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
70' The referee has no hesitation. Kyle Duncan is booked for New York Red Bulls — card on 70.
72' The whistle greets Frankie Amaya as he departs to be replaced by Dru Yearwood.
76' Nashville SC ring the changes. Sam Surridge has done his job and it is now time for Teal Bunbury to step up.
77' It is a substitution in Nashville SC team. Alex Muyl is replaced by Jacob Shaffelburg on 77 minute.
82' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nashville SC and New York Red Bulls are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
86' The supporters are chanting for Dylan Nealis. He replaces Kyle Duncan on 86 minute.
87' Fresh legs for New York Red Bulls! Jorge Hurtado comes on to replace Elias Manoel.
It finishes all square. Nashville SC and New York Red Bulls share the spoils 0-1.

Lineups

Nashville SC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gary Smith

New York Red Bulls Lineups

4-4-1-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tony Jouaux

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Hany Mukhtar	3
Fabio	2
Julian Hall	1
Rafael Mosquera	1
Sam Surridge	1
Emil Forsberg	1
Mohammed Sofo	1
Maxim Choupo-Moting	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.7 Nashville SC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.05 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Nashville SC45% Draw27% New York Red Bulls28%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.75

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw

72%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

55%

Nashville SC or New York Red Bulls

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nashville SC36% Draw46% New York Red Bulls18%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.3%

1 – 0

10%

2 – 1

9.3%

2 – 0

9.1%

0 – 0

8.3%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

5.7%

3 – 1

5.3%

3 – 0

5.1%

2 – 2

4.9%

0 – 2

3.4%

3 – 2

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap	Nashville SC covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	16%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	23%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	14%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

19% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Nashville SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Nashville SC Form

New York Red Bulls Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Clean Sheet