FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Nagoya Grampus, 2016

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Primeira Liga 2016/17 · 2016

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

0 – 2

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sat 29 Apr 2017 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Nagoya Grampus — Primeira Liga .

FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0 games · 0 pts
Nagoya Grampus 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3.10

Draw 3.20

Nagoya Grampus 2.30

Head-to-Head

FK Zalgiris Vilnius 6 games · Avg 1.5 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2017-04-29 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0–2 Nagoya Grampus 2016-12-18 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2016-03-13 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2015-11-01 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2015-03-09 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Recent Form

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Apr	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–2	L
22 Apr	Gamba Osaka	A	0–2	L
17 Apr	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	0–1	L
09 Apr	Vegalta Sendai	A	1–0	W
31 Mar	Kawasaki Frontale	H	1–2	L
18 Mar	Vissel Kobe	A	0–2	L

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Apr	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	A	2–0	W
21 Apr	PFK Levski Sofia	H	3–0	W
15 Apr	Gamba Osaka	A	1–2	L
09 Apr	FC Tōkyō	H	0–0	D
01 Apr	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–0	W
19 Mar	Kawasaki Frontale	A	0–3	L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FK Zalgiris Vilnius launch into their encounter with Nagoya Grampus.
FK Zalgiris Vilnius will have plenty to reflect on. Nagoya Grampus were simply the better side today.

Lineups

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Form

2017-04-29 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2017-04-22 Gamba Osaka 2–0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius L 2017-04-17 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0–1 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2017-04-09 Vegalta Sendai 0–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius W 2017-03-31 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1–2 Kawasaki Frontale L 2017-03-18 Vissel Kobe 2–0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius L

Nagoya Grampus Form

2017-04-29 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2017-04-21 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 PFK Levski Sofia W 2017-04-15 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2017-04-09 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 FC Tōkyō D 2017-04-01 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2017-03-19 Kawasaki Frontale 3–0 Nagoya Grampus L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

0.97 FK Zalgiris Vilnius xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.23 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Zalgiris Vilnius29% Draw31% Nagoya Grampus40%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes45% 0% No55%

Avg goals/match: 2.2

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	38%	62%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

FK Zalgiris Vilnius or Draw

59%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

71%

FK Zalgiris Vilnius or Nagoya Grampus

69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FK Zalgiris Vilnius20% Draw52% Nagoya Grampus28%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.2%

0 – 0

13.4%

0 – 1

12.4%

1 – 0

9.5%

0 – 2

Actual

1 – 2

7.9%

2 – 1

6.2%

2 – 0

2 – 2

3.9%

1 – 3

3.3%

0 – 3

3.2%

3 – 1

Asian Handicap — FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Handicap	FK Zalgiris Vilnius covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	17%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	22%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	12%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

FK Zalgiris Vilnius keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.